Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(6/1/4)-(6/9/3/5/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/9/3/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/9/3/5/7)-(11/6/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (6/9/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/5/7)-(6/9/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/5/7)-(6/9/3/5/7)-(6/9/3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/3/5/7)-(11/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/5/7)-(11/6/8/2)-(2/3/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (11/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/8/2)-(11/6/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/6/8/2)-(11/6/9/8/2)-(11/6/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/6/8/2)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/6/8/2)-(2/3/4/6)-(3/2/10/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(3/2/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(3/2/10/8)-(8/9/6/4/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (3/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/8)-(3/2/10/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/8)-(3/2/10/5/8)-(3/2/10/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/10/8)-(8/9/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/9/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/4/2)-(8/9/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/4/2)-(8/9/6/4/2)-(8/9/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIES HONOR Jul30 Jul03 Jun06 May25 May09 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 126 3.50    
SCR  GIBSON Sep01 Aug04 Jun17 Jun02 May13 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
3  HE'S A FINE BABY Aug12 Jul15 May17 Jan19 Sep14 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.00 57% 0.80    
4  DUE WE DARE Aug27 Jul15 Jun17 May25 May05 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 124 12.00 17% 4.90    
5  A TRUE TARGET Aug22 Apr24 Jan02 Dec18 Nov27 (patt jr)MECHE COLE 119 30.00    
6  RANDY DAYTONA Aug26 Jul30 Jun29 Jun17 Jun02 (melancon d)BATISTA X 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LINCOLN PRODUCTION Aug18 Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (gomez rafael )LOZADA CARLOS 124 30.00    
SCR  PARTY AT JAYS Aug29 Aug08 Jul05 May31 Mar16 (thompson ke)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 5.00    
 
LAD-2   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A THOUSAND ARROWS Aug21 Aug02 Jun29 Jun10   (wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ T 121 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN CHAMP Aug21 Jul15 Jul01 Jun03 May14 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 1.00    
3  I BET YOU WONT Jul15 Jun22 Jun02 May25   (schmidt deni)JOURNET JARRED 119 8.00    
4  HE'S SUPER WICKED Sep01 Aug07 Jun13 May31 May15 (faul jason)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 9% 10.20    
5  SERRANO'S WARRIOR Jul23 Jul15 Jun10 Jun02 May03 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
6  BLACK CLOUD Aug13 Jul23 Jun22 Jun02   (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  V CUT Sep02 Mar21 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 (morris rowdy)PENA JONUELLE 116 10.00    
 
LAD-3   09/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEYSTRIKE Jun09 Apr13 Mar22 Feb01 Jan19 (wilson melto)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
2  METRONOME Aug13 Jun23 Jun09 May24 Apr04 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 122 12.00    
3  PINEHURST (IRE) Aug09 Jul11 Jul03 Jun01 May03 (roubion )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  EAGLE IN THE AIR Sep02 Apr17 Feb08 Jan03 Jul12 (melancon d)BATISTA X 119 20.00    
5  GARNET JUBILEE Sep01 Jul25 Oct12 Sep17 Feb25 (wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ T 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROCK N ROLL BOLT Aug13 Jul05 Jun27 May29 Mar16 (camejo jos)GONZALEZ NICASIO 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
7  DRUM BUNNY Aug27 Jun22 May25 Apr20 Mar22 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  OUR PACT Sep02 Aug13 Aug05 Jul19 Jun29 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 117 30.00    
9  MITOLE'S LIMIT Aug29 Jun14 Jun01 Mar15 Jan29 (jacks e)VARGAS P 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
10  CIEL Aug05 Jun07 May19 Apr26   (nixon thomas)EDISON JOCELYN 113 12.00    
 
LAD-4   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMOPOLITANKITTEN Sep01 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 May16 (zeno benjami)JOURNET JARRED 120 30.00    
2  BRAND BOIS Aug22 May30 May07 Apr19 Feb22 (journet al)RAMIREZ JR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUNDIGRASMAMBO Aug30 Jul18 Jul03     (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 120 30.00    
4  JUST RAIN Aug01         (ellis randy )EDISON JOCELYN 115 30.00    
5  ROBERTS REVENGE Aug04 Jun23 Sep26 Sep16   (gibson jona)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 4.50    
6  WON BRIGHT LIGHT Aug30 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 May10 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  THE LADY BULLS EYE Aug20 Jul30 Jul05 Jun24 Jun09 (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 123 30.00    
8  MOPAC TRAFFIC Sep01 Jul30 Jun29 Jun16 Jun03 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  RISKY SECRET Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 Jun10 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 3.00 ★    
10  REAL SILK Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Feb23 (hibdon mar)BATISTA X 120 5.00    
11  TWANG Sep06 Aug16 Oct20     (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
12  NIGHT TIZZY Sep06 Aug19 Jul04 Jun16 Apr30 (beene li)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
SCR  DON'T BLINK TWICE Feb15 Jan31 Dec04 Nov15 Oct29 (rivera nest)SANTIAGO EDWARD 123 20.00    
 
LAD-5   09/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT TO FLY Aug29 Aug06 Jun17 May13 Mar07 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
2  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Sep06 Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 May17 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 48% 1.10    
3  STAYED IN FOR HALF Aug29 Aug06 Jul06 May31 Mar28 (jacks e)VARGAS P 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  ONLY A DREAM Aug19 Jul16 Jun29 May19 Aug27 (gonzalez jaim)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHIEF BRADY May10 Apr27 Mar22 Mar09 Jan26 (roubion steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
6  CLASSY SOCKS Jul28 Jul03 May25 Apr18 Apr06 (fogarty de)RAMIREZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HARRY'S ONTHEFLY Aug17 Jul20 Jun14 Oct04 Aug22 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50    
8  SIGN OF WAR Aug19 Aug06 May24 May02 Feb16 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 116 10.00    
SCR  TREATY Aug26 Jul18 Jun24 Jun03 May19 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00    
 
LAD-6   09/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Aug28 Aug02 Jul05 Jun06 May16 (romero j)MECHE COLE 119 12.00    
2  B MINOR Jul25 Jul16 Jun14 May25 Jan22 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  BATTLE SCARS Sep02 Jul21 Jul01 Jun22 May17 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  LUCKY PROMISE Aug25 Jun08 Apr17 Mar29 Feb07 (fogarty des)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 30.00    
5  STANS HOME RUN May17 Apr06 Feb28 Feb15 Feb05 (jacks e)VARGAS P 120 5.00 ★    
6  IMA BIG BOPPER Aug11 Jul21 Jul03 Jun07 Mar07 (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 120 30.00    
7  SLIM JIMMY Sep08 Aug18 Jul30 Jul04 Jun15 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 12.00    
8  JACKS SPRING BREAK Aug05 Nov30 Nov01 Oct09 Sep07 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  SPECIAL MOMENT Jul13 Jun27 Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 (roubion st)BATISTA X 120 20.00    
10  DRIED PEPPER Aug30 Aug02 Apr19 Mar08 Feb19 (gonzalez i)RAMIREZ JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   09/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIRE JUNE Aug12 Jul22 Jun27 Jun10 May17 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 5.00    
2  SWIZZLECITY Aug04 Jul22 Jun10 May20 Sep23 (fogarty desmo)LOZADA CARLOS 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAPELLA RED Aug28 Aug02 Jun10 May20 Apr16 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 4.00    
4  SELECTIVELY SWEET Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 May17 Apr18 (gonzalez i)RAMIREZ JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SISTER SAINT Aug06 Jul22 Jul14 Jun22 May26 (burkes bobby)BOREL H 124 8.00    
6  UTSIRA Aug11 Jul22 Jun16 Jun03 May26 (cravens ro)BATISTA X 124 12.00 13% 6.70    
7  SMART IZZY Aug06 Jul14 Jun10 May26 May12 (hatcher d)SINGH R 121 12.00    
8  CHATON ROUGE Jul04 Jun03 May11 Apr05 Mar21 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
9  SALOMEINTHEHOOP Aug02 Jun22 Jan12 Dec28 Aug05 (suarez aubri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
10  DON'T TOUCH Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 May20 May11 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.