Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/5/6)-(3/6/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/6/1)-(5/2/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/6/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(5/2/6)-(7/1/2/8) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/6)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(7/1/2/8)-(6/7/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (7/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/1/2/8)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/8)-(6/7/3)-(4/5/8/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/7/3)-(4/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU ENJOY MYSELF Aug12 Jul08 Jun24 May21 Apr01 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 12.00    
DRAGON DREW Sep03 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 (ellis andre)PRUITT CIERA 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TIZ LORD Aug13 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.00    
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Aug05 Jul22 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
CAJUN BERTI Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Sep18 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 6.00    
 
ASD-2   09/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LYING GHOST Sep02 Aug12 Jun28 Jun15 Jun08 (gardipy raymon)PRUITT CIERA 119 8.00    
EXPLOSIVE Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40    
SHAMAYIM Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
SOL DEL SUR Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 Jul14 (maxwell )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 25.00    
FLY NIGHTLY Aug02 Jun07 May24 Apr30 Apr15 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
TEXAS RAIN Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 121 6.00 7% 13.50    
 
ASD-3   09/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND CONCERTO Sep03 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 (anderson we)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Sep03 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 4.00    
ITWASTHISBIG Sep03 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Jun30 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.00 30% 2.30    
ETHAN'S ANIMAL Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jul08 (desjarlais r)BENNETT MATHEW 124 10.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MOON Sep10 Aug26 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (gourneau jerr)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00    
CAPTIVE KITTEN Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Aug05 Jul22 (morse )PATTERSON R 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
ASD-4   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR BEYOND Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 (ellis andre)ALI RONALD 122 20.00    
BEE LA SOUL Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 (constant ro)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
MASTER OF DISGUISE Aug25 Jun07 May26 Apr28 Apr07 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80    
LUCKY APPEAL Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 (gardipy ray)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 12.00    
LT. NORM Aug25 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 (desjarlais r)BENNETT MATHEW 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-5   09/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLINTLOCK Sep02 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (cole ter)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 8.00 18% 4.50    
CHERBOURG Sep02 Aug02 Jul19 Jul13 May26 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00 16% 5.10    
PARZANNI Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 (anderson wendy)PRUITT CIERA 116 12.00    
MAYBE SO Aug27 Aug12 Aug05 Jun14 May18 (gourne)PATTERSON R 117 1.40    
WILD QUEENIE Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul05 Jun05 (brown jared)TOWNSEND SHAVON 121 30.00    
MYSTERY DANCE Aug12 Jul14 Jul02 Jun23 Jun11 (gaskin st)SEECHARAN A 121 2.50    
DIRTY FLIRT Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May27 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
AMPLIFY Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 117 20.00 6% 17.00    
 
ASD-6   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRISCO KID Jul02 May27 Sep16 Sep04 Aug19 (keshane nor)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 5.00    
DOUBLE TIME Aug25 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May27 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00    
BIG INVESTMENT Sep02 Aug19 Aug13 Aug05 Jul23 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIDE EM Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jun18 (husbands tif)BENNETT MATHEW 124 30.00    
FOUR ACES HIGH Aug25 Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 (morse )PATTERSON R 124 25.00    
COLONEL KLINK Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 0.80 41% 1.40    
ORCADIAN STORM Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul22 (constant rory)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
ASD-7   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFLEY SPECIAL Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00    
MATH MYSTERY Sep03 Aug20 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (fraser lorn)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 10.00 6% 15.70    
UNDER BUDGET Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 Jun23 May27 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00    
SHARP LIKENESS Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Jul08 Jun17 (brown jared)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
BEREA Aug20 Jul29 Jul05 Jun13 May24 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50 20% 4.10    
MAIBELLA Sep03 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (stanford maria)CHICKENESS S 123 30.00    
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun23 (maxwell curti)PARRIS SACHIN 118 40.00    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul06 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 5.00 12% 7.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.