Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(6/5/2)-(4/5/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/5/8/6)-(4/2/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/6)-(4/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(6/9/2/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-4   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(6/9/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(6/9/2/8/1)-(3/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/9/2/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/8/1)-(6/9/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/8/1)-(6/9/2/8/1)-(6/9/2/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/2/8/1)-(3/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/8/1)-(3/1/8)-(4/3/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(4/3/2/6)-(6/8/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(6/8/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(6/8/7/9)-(5/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/9)-(6/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/9)-(6/8/7/9)-(6/8/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/9)-(5/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (5/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/7)-(5/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/7)-(5/9/7)-(5/9/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/06/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOW LUCKY Jul26 Jul04 Jun07 May11 Mar28 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50    
2  THE GODDESS FACTOR Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 May31 Apr23 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
3  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (harris holly)IORIO MELISSA 121 8.00    
4  DAME CATHERINE Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun14 Apr02 (bernardini ju)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 6% 17.00    
5  JOY AND PROSPERITY Aug24 Jul13 Jun20 Oct12 Sep20 (harris holly)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
6  SHAKREVENGE Aug17 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 May17 (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  PALLOTTA SISTERS Jun22 May01 Jan29 Dec27 Nov01 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 1.80    
SCR  LADY JASMINE Aug23 Jul26 Jun12 May24 Dec12 (englehart chri)PENNINGTON F 121 10.00    
SCR  CROSSATI Aug22 Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 May03 (plaza alberto)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50    
 
MTH-2   09/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY CAUSE         (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 118 5.00    
2  ICY HILLS         (moreno-barban)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00 11% 8.50    
3  QUEEN VALENTINE Aug30         (cruz jaime)PANAIJO JORGE 118 5.00    
4  MAMA LENCHITA Aug22 Aug15       (ramirez l)COTTO L 118 8.00    
5  LUCY'S ON A ROLL         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  TOASTTOTHESTONES         (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  GRANDMASGOTAGUN Aug30 Aug16       (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
MTH-3   09/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BOY ROCKY Aug09 Aug02 Jul20 Jun08 May26 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
2  K PAZ Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jul06 Jun22 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 5.00    
3  TWIRLING EXPRESS Jul12 Jun08 May26 May09 Nov03 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
4  NEW YORK STRONG Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Sep08 Aug24 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
5  CURIOUS SOUL Jul13 Jun22 Jun10 May06 Feb25 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 3.50 11% 8.30    
6  MY LIAM Aug22 Aug16 Jul04 May29 May15 (ramirez l)COTTO L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIMPLY DISREGARDED Jul24 Jun11 Apr26 Mar28 Mar14 (coletti edward)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
8  THAT SUN OF A GUN Jul27 Jun22 May26 May12 Mar16 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  TAPRIXIE Aug10 Jul13 Apr05 Apr13 Mar07 (pompay ter)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 6.00    
SCR  PRIME MOTIVE Sep01 Aug15 Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00    
 
MTH-4   09/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOON TIME TIDE Aug01 Jul04       (owens edd)VARGAS A 118 4.00    
2  LET'EM HATE Aug14 Jul31       (pecoraro a)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  ELSIE'S SMILE         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
4  ALMA'S LAW Aug16         (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  COUNT MY BLESSINGS         (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ICY LEGS Aug16         (jimenez jose )PANAIJO JORGE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  DR. PATTEN Aug15 Jul27       (ryan s)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
 
MTH-5   09/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING SHOT Aug08 Jul18 Jun21 May31 May18 (wilson tony)JARA FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KHOZANALL Aug08 Jul26 May24     (yanez reynaldo)LEON SONNY 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  SNOW IS FLYING Feb26 Jan31 Jan04 Dec13 Oct02 (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 119 12.00    
4  SLIVER OF SUNSHINE Aug08 Jul18 Jun04 May22 Apr01 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00    
5  LOOKIE HERE Jul26 May25       (levine bruce)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
6  WILDCAT FIRE Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr25 (breen kel)VARGAS A 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  PRINCESS CHLOE Aug02 Jun14 May22 May10 Apr12 (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 15.00    
8  THAT THING YOU DO Aug08 Jul26 Aug31     (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 3.50 9% 10.20    
9  PRETTY SHY Aug09 Oct04 Sep14 Jul28 Jul14 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SEXPECTATIONS Jul13 May17       (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 4.00    
SCR  ITSACHARDONNEIGH Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May01 (breen j)SUTHERLAND C 119 15.00    
 
MTH-6   09/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER DOG Aug16 Aug10 Jun15 May17 May10 (gonzalez claudio)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  WITHOUT PRETENCE Aug14 Jun21 May31 Apr25 Mar27 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
3  PRIVATE DESIRE Aug03 Jul02 Feb23 Feb02 Jan03 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  DIAMOND HEIST Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May31 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
5  BOARDWALK JACK Jul19 Jun28 Aug25 Jul26   (owens edd)VARGAS A 118 4.50    
SCR  SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT Sep01 Aug06 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (gonzalez c)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 15.00    
SCR  VINSANITY Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00    
8  LEVEE WAS DRY Aug10 Jul27 Jun21 May31 Apr25 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   09/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH GIRL Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (crowell susan)OCASIO M 121 15.00    
2  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jul27 Jun14 May17 Apr19 Mar16 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 117 10.00 5% 17.40    
3  SERENE KATHLEEN Aug15 Aug01 Jun27 Oct04 Sep14 (schultz l)VARGAS A 120 2.50 9% 10.40    
4  PRETTY THING (IRE) Aug09 Jul13 Jun20 May31 Apr18 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 Apr03 Mar12 (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 4.50    
6  ELEANOR RIGBY Aug20 Jul25 May03 Apr23 Mar31 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EAZY WHIRLED Aug24 Jul18 Jun22 Jun07 May17 (spina charles)MOYA F 117 10.00    
8  STAY OPPORTUNISTIC Aug16 Jul08 May20 May05 Apr09 (brown howard )RIVERA D 119 30.00    
9  MICHAELA Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 May04 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
 
MTH-8   09/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILDOON Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
SCR  A COZY THING Aug24 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May17 (pantaleo jose)JARA FERNANDO 115 6.00    
3  YES MY LADY LINO Aug30 Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
4  CAPTURED DARLING Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 Jun15 Feb14 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  SALT AND LIGHT Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
6  KATE'S LOVE Aug24 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 May10 (bertone joann)OLVER MADISON 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
7  CARATS FOREVER Aug24 Jul18 Jun15 Sep14 Jun30 (owens jr)SUTHERLAND C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  CASSIE'S VAULT Aug24 Jun27 Jun07 May10   (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
9  LET HER RUN Aug24 Aug02 Jun22 May24 Dec26 (owens jr)LEON SONNY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-9   09/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELL ME SOME LIES Jul26 Jun07 Nov30 Nov03 Oct06 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 121 12.00    
SCR  STARVIEW TWINKLE Aug24 Aug08 Jul13 Jun21 May25 (mazza jose)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
SCR  MRS. KATZ Aug17 Aug01 May10 Apr19 Mar29 (o'connell kath)SUTHERLAND C 121 6.00    
SCR  LADY EMBRACE Jul27 Jun27 May04 Apr11 Mar21 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 117 12.00    
5  PRETTY PICTURE Aug03         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  FORWARD DEPLOYED Jul19 Jun01 Feb08 Jan04 Dec08 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50    
7  BLAME THE BANKER Aug17 Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 May25 (synnefia)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  SINGALONG KAYLA Aug17 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 May25 (wilson tony)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
9  BOTTLE ROCKET (FR) Aug16 Jul23 Jun22 Jun05 May01 (trombetta michae)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  NAKED EYE Aug08 Jul26 Jul06 Jun07 Jun01 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 117 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.