Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/5/8)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(5/1)-(2/9/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/9/10/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/9/10/6)-(3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/6)-(2/9/5/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/6)-(2/9/5/10/6)-(2/9/5/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/10/6)-(3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/6)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/10)-(3/4/5/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/10)-(3/4/5/10/9)-(3/4/5/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-3   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECTACULAR TIGER Jul11 Jun27 May31 Apr27 Apr06 (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 4.00 45% 1.20    
2  STREET MOGUL Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 Jun15 Aug11 (morris l)DURAN F 122 5.00    
3  POLE TO POLE Aug02 Jul26 Jun21 May03 Jun23 (rosales jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  LITTLE BOY LUTE Jul11 Jun14 May18     (simkins rosie)GUTIERREZ M 121 12.00    
5  FAST TIMES Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Jun08 May04 (gibson vince)HALDAR J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MR. EXECUTIVE Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 May24 Apr27 (wright blaine)KRIGGER K 122 1.80    
 
EMD-4   08/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN ORDINARY         (thomas jamey)KRIGGER K 120 6.00    
2  MONTE DE CHEVRE Aug01         (wisdom anne)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 15.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS RUN Aug01         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 4.00    
4  WRECKLESS RHETT Aug01 Jul13       (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  MATTS ADVISOR Aug01         (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  MIKE'S EXCESS Jul13         (lenzini m)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 112 20.00    
SCR  TWENTYTHREEONBLACK Aug01 Jul13       (birdwell tena)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 15.00    
8  ASHRYVER Aug01         (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-5   08/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 May25 May03 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 6.00 27% 2.60    
2  MOVE OVER (GB) Aug02 Jul18 Jul11 Jun21 Jun06 (hernande)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.00    
3  A SKIP IN THE PARK Jul25 Jun28 Jun07 Sep15 Aug30 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 3.50 ★    
4  BROTHER O' BRIEN Jul13 Jun14 May18 Apr27 Mar29 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 4.00    
5  RIGHT HAND RYDER Aug02 Jul20 Jul11 Jun27 May17 (rosales )AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  SANGER Jul25 Jun08 May25 May10 Apr16 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 4.50    
 
EMD-6   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S BACK         (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 15.00    
  (by TAP BACK out of LAUREN SQUARED by SQUARE EDDIE)
2  RIGHT AND TIGHT Jul26         (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of FAR OUT FREEBIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  SHES VALS BARKLEY         (wisdom anne)CRUZ M 119 15.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of VAL DE SAIRE by HARBOR THE GOLD)
4  OBSIDIAN STORM         (bozell alan)OROZCO E 119 15.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of LOOKS PROMISING by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  CANDY CREEK Jul20 Jun22       (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 119 4.00 ★    
  (by GAME WINNER out of PORTAL CREEK by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
6  BOUJEE BRITCHES Jul26         (baze rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SCANDAL by BLAME)
7  ANNIE OAK LEE         (peery debbie)WHITAKER J 119 12.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of ANNIE OVER by ATTA BOY ROY)
8  THEBIGGERTHEBETTER Jul26         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of DIAMONDS R by ALTERNATION)
9  VESTA         (evans justin)KRIGGER K 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by FORTUNATE PROSPECT out of AMAVALIDHOPE by VALID APPEAL)
10  EMPIRE BELLA Jul20 Jun22       (gibson vince)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of MY LITTLE MINX by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
EMD-7   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT GREY Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May17 May03 (essex charle)HALDAR J 121 10.00 9% 10.50    
2  CHEERING FOR LAYLA Jul27 Jul03 Jun08 May11 Apr19 (hobson si)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 120 6.00    
3  VHAGAR Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
4  POP CHART Jul27 Jul13 Jul03 Jun07 May26 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS Jul19 Jun15 Jun01 Jan20 Nov23 (puentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
6  PRANCING MATILDA Jul19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun13 May26 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
7  SORORITY PARTY Jul13 Jun28 May25 Apr17 Mar19 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 4.50    
 
EMD-8   08/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POKER ALICE Aug02 Jul11 Jun07 May10 Apr27 (perez sergi)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 20.00    
SCR  SONOMA DREAMING Jul19 Jun29 May31 Aug09 Jun14 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
3  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Jul18 Jun29 Jun21 Jun08 May25 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Aug02 Jul03 Jun15 Jun07 May17 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
5  SAVONA (IRE) Jul05 May26 Apr24 Apr03 Jan21 (rosales jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 125 12.00 9% 10.40    
6  STEPUP Aug03 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 May26 (navarro jose)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
7  BOB'S VAI Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 Jun22 Jun15 (cryderman)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 120 15.00    
8  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Jul27 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May25 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
9  BOURBON GLAZE Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun13 Mar09 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 ★    
10  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Aug03 Jul03 Jun15 May31 Apr29 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.