Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/2/3)-(5/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-8   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   08/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHARDS COMMAND Aug04 Jul18 Jul07 Jun27 Jun07 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 123 4.50 31% 2.30    
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Jul18 Jul07 Apr01 Mar10 Feb13 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 0.20 34% 1.90    
QUEEN RHONDA Jul18 Jun27 May31 May17 Nov02 (gilkyson ashley)CARTER KYLE 123 10.00    
CORDILLERA Aug04 Jul18 Jul07 Jun27 May31 (moe lorne)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
STAY UP Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 May17 (strachan james)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
 
CTM-4   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MUM'S MUD Aug04 Jul26 Jul11 Jun24 May23 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
NASAS PRINCESS Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May16 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jul12 Aug02 Jun07 May04 Sep01 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNITE SCORE Aug02 Aug16 Jul12 Jun28 May25 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 4.50    
STARFALL Jul19 Jun13 May30 May16 Apr19 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 1.40 42% 1.40    
 
CTM-5   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLAVA Aug01 Jun15 May30 Sep14 Aug27 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 4.50    
WEDGE POND Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 Jun07 May24 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 51% 0.90    
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Jul19 Jun24 Jun06 Sep07 Aug23 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LINCHPIN STORM Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 May10 May03 (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 125 6.00    
GONE NUTS Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 May30 May10 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
CTM-6   08/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EITHERINORINTHEWAY Aug03 Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (coney jason)FOSTER R 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MCKINZIE out of LITTLE DANCER by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
HOLMDEL HORNET Jul07 Jun24 Jun07 Oct26 Oct12 (smith )STEADMAN LEON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINNING SCOOP by BERNARDINI)
SKY MUSIC Aug03 Jul26 Jul11     (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SKYLIGHTER by SKY MESA)
BLUE QUILL Jul26 Jul18 Jun24 Sep13   (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
OUR SUNSHINE Jul26 Oct06 Sep07 Aug30 Jul31 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 6.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
DR BROKER Aug09 Jul18 Jun24 May03 Oct27 (rycroft tim)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
 
CTM-7   08/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER Jul18 Jul07 Jun28 Jun07 May24 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
RACE HOME Aug01 Jun24 Jun07 Mar04 Feb18 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
TIGERITO Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 Jun13 May31 (rumsey cory)LAHOE RUJA 123 5.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  A MAN'S MAN Aug01 Jul18 Jul07 Jun15 May31 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 123 8.00    
WESTERBERG Aug02 Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 123 15.00    
AMEER Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May31 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 4.50    
 
CTM-8   08/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINI MARKET Jul26 Jul07 Jun24 May31 May17 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
CHATTY GAL Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 May30 May09 (jones danny )NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
COUNT ON IT Aug04 Jun24 May31 Sep13 Aug03 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
SCR  KULSUM Jul26 Jun28 Jun13 May31 Oct27 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 4.50    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Aug04 Jul26 Jul07 Jun07 May17 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
TEXAS LEGACY Aug01 Jul18 Jul07 Jun24 Oct12 (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 15.00    
AWESOME TAYLOR Jul25 Jul07 Jun06 May23 Mar27 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.