Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - July 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/1/6)-(1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(1/6/3)-(2/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/4/6)-(3/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/6/4/5)-(1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/1/5)-(3/6/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/4/5)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(1/8/4)-(5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(5/2/4)-(8/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(8/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCHET CREEK Jun26 May29 May15 Apr27 Apr10 (dizeo din)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 3.00 ★    
2  CAN MAN DO Jul03 May29 Oct06 Aug29 Aug08 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  STRANGE ARRANGE Jul04 Apr27 Apr06 Oct13 Sep21 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40 61% 0.60    
4  ALIBI IKE Jul06 Jun19 May25 May15 Apr26 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
5  MALIGATOR Jul03 May29 May15 Dec05 Nov19 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
 
HAW-2   07/17/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY AGENT Jun26 May11 Apr27 Apr06 Oct06 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  STORM BACK Jun26 May31 Dec19 Oct08   (becker scott)FELIX E 120 10.00    
3  ALADANTE Jul03 May11 Apr17 Apr06 Dec04 (hughes w)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50    
4  ROYAL AND READY Jun26 Jun08 May01 Apr10 Oct10 (tracy tan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
5  SAN ANTON (IRE) Jun13 Nov23 Mar26 Feb04 Dec30 (rosin w)MOJICA O 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  WAGON POWER Jun28 Jun09 May18 Sep08 Aug12 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GUNNY SACK Jun29 Jun05 May18     (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 120 5.00    
8  BLACK RUSSIAN Jun26 May11 Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 (perez man)TROXTELL BRITTANY 114 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-3   07/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR HIS HALF Jul03 Jun01 May11 Mar30 Mar14 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 1.20 49% 1.00    
2  WILDWOOD QUEEN Jul03 Jun19 May28 May03 Apr11 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.50    
3  PALACE MAGIC Jul03 May25 May04 Apr17 Mar30 (dizeo din)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN NOTE Jul06 Jun15 May29 May01 Mar30 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00    
5  HEAVENLY HASH Jul03 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
6  FAST N HAPPY May11 Apr20 Apr06 Mar14 Feb27 (young r)COLON H 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
 
HAW-4   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIZIOSA Jun13 May18 Apr12 Apr02 Mar01 (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
2  WRITTEN CONSENT Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr17 Mar30 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  MISS SAIPAN Jun01 May04 Apr13 Oct06 Sep05 (bahena fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50    
4  DIXIE PENNY May18 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Feb16 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  ORNERY ANGEL Jul03 May27 May13 Oct31 Oct13 (quinonez )ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00    
6  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun08 May25 May18 May04 Jul21 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANISKY Jun26 Jun08 May22 May01 Feb28 (simonovich dan)COLON H 122 6.00 ★    
2  UNCAPTURED PULSE Jun29 Jun08 May22 May08 Apr27 (rosas rig)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00    
3  VIA DEL CORSO Jul06 Jun26 Jun05 Apr30 Apr20 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Jul06 Jun12 Oct06 Sep19 Sep03 (martinez joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CANYON SHADOWS Jul06 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 (kirby fran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECESSION Jul06 Jun12 May10 Apr10 Mar06 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  LARRY THE POET Jul06 May24 May10 Jan26 Oct19 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
8  RED MOSCATO Jun15 May27 Apr29 Oct15 Sep19 (lopez eli)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
9  ALVIN Jul06 Jun08 May25 May11 Apr17 (spagnola i)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
 
HAW-6   07/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Jun29 May25 May11 Apr24 Apr03 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
2  JOE THE TAILOR Jul06 Jun03 May22 Oct13 Aug25 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 ★    
3  GABAGOOL Jun19 May29 May15 Apr02 Mar12 (campbell j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
4  HURTS SO BAD Jun26 May29 Apr27 Apr10 Dec10 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
5  STAR OF KODIAK Jun24 May08 Apr03 Oct26 Oct13 (quinonez maximi)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
SCR  COMISKEY PARK Jun19 Jun10 May25 Aug15 Jul28 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
7  DEVILS RED Jul06 Jun19 May25 May08 Apr17 (reid r)COLON H 122 8.00    
8  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL May25 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb19 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
HAW-7   07/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKE UP Jun29 Jun01 May11 Apr10 May18 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
2  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Jun29 Jun08 May29 May15 Apr20 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  DOUBLE THUNDER Jun01 May18 May04 Apr06 Feb07 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 ★    
4  GLOBAL EMPIRE Jul06 Jun21 Jun05 May18 May04 (spagnola ida)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MILLARD'S SMILE Jul05 Jun12 Mar22 Mar12 Mar01 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  LITTLE STEVEN Jun08 May22 Apr17 Mar08 Feb14 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
7  CONI'S COUP Jun05 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
HAW-8   07/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIP TO BALI Jun29 Oct06 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SPECIAL SKIPPY by SKIP AWAY)
2  DAISY MAE ATTACK Jun14 May10 Apr22 Oct31 Sep08 (childers s)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SECOND HAND ROSY by MILITARY)
3  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Jun29 May08 May01 Apr17 Apr03 (nesbitt amy)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  SABRE ATTACK Jun17         (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ALASKAN PARADOX by ALASKAN FROST)
5  SADIE'S SWEET RIDE Jun12 Jun01       (block chris)FELIX E 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
6  HARPER BRIANA Jun29 Jun07 May20 May10 May01 (alonso fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by SOUL OF EKATI out of AUNDREYA by SUMMER CLOUD)
7  TIZMEONEMORETIME Jun29 Jun07 May20 May06 Apr17 (alonso fernando)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of TIZ AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  CHELA Jun29 Jun01       (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of AVENTINA by DYNAFORMER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.