Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(6/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(6/4/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/2/5)-(1/7/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/7/6/8)-(6/7/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/8)-(6/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/8)-(6/7/1/3)-(2/8/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(2/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(2/8/1/6)-(6/7/9/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/6)-(6/7/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/6)-(6/7/9/8/1)-(9/6/1/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-8   WIN (6/7/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/8/1)-(6/7/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/8/1)-(6/7/9/8/1)-(6/7/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/9/8/1)-(9/6/1/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SA-9   WIN (9/6/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/4/3)-(9/6/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/4/3)-(9/6/1/4/3)-(9/6/1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGING Apr20 Mar21 Feb17 Jan19 Dec01 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARVER Apr20 Jun08 May05 Dec30 Dec04 (cortez e)BAZE C 126 4.50    
3  BELLY UP Mar23 Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 (koriner bria)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  AGENCY Mar22 Jan03 Oct14 Sep06 Aug03 (glatt mark)SMITH E 126 1.20    
5  BETTERDAYSRCOMING (IRE) Mar16 Feb01 Jun16 Apr26   (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
SA-2   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVINOPHOBIA May03 Feb01 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.00    
2  THE KEY IS UNITY Mar23 Mar09 Nov19 Sep15 Sep02 (vallejo gen)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 5.00 ★    
3  MONGOLIAN MASTER Apr09 Apr25 Apr16 Mar21 Feb24 (lucas robe)CRUZ DIAZ 126 20.00    
4  TROTSKY Mar22 Feb16 Jan26 Dec28 Sep22 (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 126 3.50 ★    
5  WESTERN AVENUE Apr06 Feb22 Jan25 Dec26 Nov29 (knapp steve)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 126 1.60 64% 0.60    
6  DISTANT FLEET Apr18 Mar21 Feb15     (peri)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 3.00    
 
SA-3   05/16/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEP IT OUT (IRE) Apr04 Mar08 Feb08 Jan01 Nov16 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 3.50    
2  LITA WAY Apr04 Mar09 Feb08 Jan01 Nov09 (sherman stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 4.50    
3  GIRLCANTHELPIT Apr25 Mar08 Feb08 Jan17 Jan01 (mandella gary)FREY KYLE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLUE OASIS Mar09 Feb08 Jan01 Sep29 Sep02 (yakteen tim)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  AURATIUM Apr25 Jun07 Apr27 Mar15 Feb18 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50    
6  THEBESTISYETTOBE (IRE) Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep10   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 126 4.00 75% 0.30    
 
SA-4   05/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA VILLE LUMIERE         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MALIBU DRIVE by MALIBU MOON)
2  LIGHT WON UP         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 119 2.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FACTOROFWON by THE FACTOR)
SCR  TIPPY         (lopez geo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 119 20.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of TIPPERARY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  FIRE ILE         (hanson rya)VAN DRAYDEN 119 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of YES IT'S JACKIE by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  WICKED WIND         (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00 7% 14.40    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of WICKED TEMPER by TAPIT)
6  VELVET DREAM         (lopez george )PEREIRA TIAGO 119 3.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of TRENDY NEVE by KELA)
 
SA-5   05/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEUS' WAR Mar22 Jan25 Dec28 Nov09 Nov01 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
SCR  JERRY'S SPIRIT May02 Mar22 Feb16 Dec06 Oct31 (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 2.00    
3  HALO UNCLE Apr26 Apr04 Mar09 Feb02 Jan07 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 121 5.00    
4  GOLDEN RIVER Feb21 Jan26 Dec01 Nov09 Oct06 (ruva)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 15.00    
5  J. B. BOOKS Apr18 Feb22 Dec18 Nov24 Oct14 (agu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00    
6  CHIEF WILD EAGLE Mar21 Dec29 Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 (mccanna tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 20.00 15% 5.80    
7  IDIOT'S GOLD Apr26 Mar09 Feb21 Jan24 Dec15 (lopez george )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
8  COUSIN RICHIE Apr05 Feb23 Jan24 Dec18 Nov24 (ledezma s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-6   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREMAN DAN Mar16 Feb17 Feb09 Jan01 Nov13 (wallace jerry)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPERMAX Mar29 Nov09 Sep06 Aug16 Feb11 (sadler john)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 126 10.00    
3  TAMARANDO STAR Apr26 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr06 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BE PUNCTUAL Mar02 Jan31 Jan04 Dec06 Aug23 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 126 3.50    
5  DAMAZIO Mar16 Jan31 Oct26 Sep14 Aug10 (mullins jef)CARMONA SERAFIN 121 3.00    
6  MICI'S EXPRESS Apr20 Mar14 Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 1.80 37% 1.70    
7  ASMODEUS Apr26 Jan25 Dec21 Nov10 Oct12 (mill)ANTONGEORGI JR 126 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
SA-7   05/16/2025 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND SPEED Apr26         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
2  TIGHT SQUEEZE Apr05         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  BOOSTER CLUB Mar29         (lewis craig)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
SCR  KIKURIDE Apr25 Apr05       (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
5  ROSA PARKS (GB) Nov22 Oct26       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
6  PRESS YOUR LUCK Apr18 Feb22 Feb08 Jan03 Dec14 (o'neill doug)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GUILTYOFHAVINGFUN Apr05 Feb22 Jan23 Nov22 Oct26 (mat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.50    
8  LAVA LUCY Apr18 Mar14 Feb23 Jan16 Dec14 (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
9  MUSICAL NUMBER Mar14 Feb08 Jan18 Dec08 Oct19 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00    
SCR  HOW ABOUT PAVEL Mar28 Mar14 Feb09 Jan23 Dec08 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  CORALGABLESKAYLIN Aug04 Jun22 Jun15     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 20.00    
 
SA-8   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY NEA Apr20 Mar17 Feb28 Jan26 Dec28 (alvarez edwin)CHAVEZ DEYBIS 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BEAUTY JENNY Jan17 Nov08       (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 12.00    
3  COCONUT GIRL Apr26 Mar28 Mar09 Jan31 Jan03 (ivory john )BARANDELA SOFIA 126 6.00    
4  PETITE ANGE Apr26 Mar16 Feb09 Oct31 Aug29 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 126 1.60    
5  A. P'S LUCKY CHARM Dec13         (alvarez edw)CARMONA SERAFIN 121 30.00    
6  DIXIE ALLURE Mar17 Feb22 Jan23     (palma hect)ORANTES R 113 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  LADY DOSIA         (m)ROJAS EDUARD 118 8.00 22% 3.60    
8  BABE KELSO         (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 118 10.00 12% 7.50    
9  SPIRITUAL THOUGHT         (meier r)FREY KYLE 118 8.00 19% 4.30    
10  MEMORYSINTHEPARK Aug24 Oct08       (winick debbie)FLORES P 126 30.00    
 
SA-9   05/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MAMA SUE Apr18 Mar17 Feb15 Jan25 Dec27 (miyadi steven)FRESU ANTONIO 126 3.50 7% 13.00    
2  SUPER ELLIE Apr20 Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 Jan01 (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 4.00    
3  MADEIRA WINE Apr18 Jan28 Nov27 Oct05 Aug09 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIGHLANDS Apr18 Mar17 Feb07 Dec27 Nov09 (lopez geor)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 10.00 7% 13.40    
5  PUTT FOR DOUGH Apr19 Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 Dec28 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00    
6  LADY MONCLAIRE Apr25 Feb22 Jan03 Nov03 Oct06 (bal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  TIERGARTEN Apr18 Mar29 Mar17 Feb21 Feb07 (papaprodromou)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00    
8  VALKYRIAN (IRE) Apr18 Mar22       (badilla manuel)BAZE C 124 6.00    
9  EMPRESS ELLIE Mar22 Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Jun22 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.