Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Sunday - April 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (4/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LA-5   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   04/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY JOE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec22 Nov23 (aquino )ALCALA ROSARIO 123 6.00    
MIDNIGHT METAL Mar21 Mar02 Feb02 Aug26 Jul23 (rubin ho)BAUTISTA L 116 15.00    
EFFECTIVE GIG Nov10 Oct26 Sep29 Sep02 Aug24 (preci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
NOT GONNA LAST Nov16 Sep22 Jun09 May12 Feb03 (castaneda k)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 123 4.50 62% 0.60    
SONIC BREES Mar22 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Dec15 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 123 2.50 8% 11.80    
DRIVER'S ED Dec13 Oct13 Sep02 Jul06 Jun22 (rodr)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 1.80 6% 14.80    
BONUS TORNADO Oct31         (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 4.00    
 
LA-5   04/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWPARK (IRE) Mar22 Mar08 Feb15 Mar09 Sep23 (nunez j)ALCALA ROSARIO 123 10.00    
LAMPY Mar22 Mar08 Dec15 Nov16 Nov03 (williams artu)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
QUE SERA SIR RALPH Dec13 Oct04 Aug02 Jul07 Apr21 (a)ROJAS EDUARD 123 1.20    
GORDY'S BOY Feb02 Dec18 Dec01 Nov01 Oct12 (preciado g)CRUZ DIAZ 123 15.00 10% 8.70    
MR. MERCEDES Jan05 Oct20 Sep22 Aug20 Aug13 (lucas j)FLORES P 123 10.00    
GROSS PROFIT Mar21 Feb02 Nov01 Sep21 Aug10 (rubin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.