Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/1/5)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/3)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/5)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/1)-(7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/2/5)-(4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-6   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(4/5/7)-(8/7/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(8/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/9/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/9/4)-(8/7/6/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSETIVELY PERFECT Mar25 Mar11 Dec04     (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 120 1.00 40% 1.50    
SPIRIT TO PASSEM Mar11         (ibarra)NAVA ALFREDO 120 12.00    
PROBLEM KID Mar25         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 8.00 10% 8.90    
SHELLEY'S ROSE Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb20 Feb08 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 4.00    
CLOUD ANGEL Mar25 Mar18 Dec11 Oct29 Oct15 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 120 1.80    
 
WRD-2   04/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMAN UP Mar31 Mar17       (bravo f)GONCALVES R 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by REVVED UP out of CAMANA BAY by CONGRATS)
GOSPEL TREASURE Mar19 Dec13 Nov09 Aug23   (williams s)ERAMIA E 120 5.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of AUDACIOUS ANGEL by CITY ZIP)
GOSPEL CLARITY Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 Sep28 (williams st)WETHEY JR 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of CONFUSED by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SHEZAFASHION QUEEN Mar24 Mar10 Aug17 Jun29 May14 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SHEZAFASIONISTA by FASHION FIND)
FELONY FLATS Mar23         (dunlap shon )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of THE PENGUIN by DEVIOUS COURSE)
BLUE MOON RIVER Mar19 Mar10 Dec13 Nov02 Oct10 (corderman)TRIANA JR 125 3.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
 
WRD-3   04/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKA Mar18 Feb22 Feb08 Jan28 Jan05 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 1.80    
KAMIKAZE Mar11 Feb23 Oct30 Oct04 Sep11 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 125 3.00    
LOOKIN LUCKY AGAIN Mar18 Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Sep27 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
KARSON KAY Mar26 Mar10 Mar04 Feb14 Jan26 (dunlap)FLETCHER D 125 5.00    
TEARDROP TIARA Mar16 Feb23 Feb14 Jan18 Dec15 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
WRD-4   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE WINNING EDGE Mar24 Mar08 Feb20 Jan25 Jun01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.00    
SCR  MOE DINGERS Nov06 Oct17 Sep07 Jul11   (biehler mich)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00    
INSTANT KARMA Mar24 Feb21 Jan31 Sep21 Aug24 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
PEA EYE Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 122 1.80    
DRAW YOUR BOW Mar24 Nov30 Aug10 Jul22 Jun16 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00 22% 3.60    
NIGHTLINGER Mar24 Mar11 Feb23 Jan31   (childs ru)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 5.00    
 
WRD-5   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIP THE MONEY Oct18 Aug16 Jun15 May27   (corderman)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
NIGHT PASSAGE Nov29         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SIMMERON Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 Dec07 Oct18 (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 5.00    
TZEDAKAH Apr01 Dec07 Oct18 Sep29 Jun28 (swan patr)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 123 3.50    
LUCKY TAPITURE Mar18 Jan19 Nov01 Sep27 Aug31 (lee mark)BIRZER E 122 2.50    
WORK ZONE Mar24 Mar15 Feb21     (davidson brent)KIMES C 116 12.00    
 
WRD-6   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEUCADIA Mar25 Mar11 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 6.00    
NORMA JEAN BLING Mar18 Feb19 Jan16 Dec21 Dec07 (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
BACLIFF Mar25 Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 Aug24 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 5.00    
PREDICTING Mar26 Mar04 Nov30 Oct12 Sep27 (stephens )TRIANA JR 125 3.50    
SHE BADGER Mar25 Mar11 Jan04 Nov01 Sep18 (dunlap shon )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Mar26 Mar04 Feb16 Oct31 Apr23 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 4.00    
MIZ RITHYM Mar25 Mar04 Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
WRD-7   04/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCH OF SWORDS Oct19 Sep17 Jul03 Jul13 Jun29 (dixon )FLETCHER D 125 20.00    
DOUBLE R CAT Mar25 Mar10 Dec13     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 5.00    
TEXOMA Mar25 Mar10 Feb21 Feb05 Dec04 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 3.00    
WARHAMMER Mar18 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Sep12 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 120 1.60 69% 0.50    
VISUAL POWERHOUSE Mar17 Nov13 Oct19 Sep27 Sep12 (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FULLY FUNDED Mar25 Mar17 Mar11 Feb23 Dec11 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 6.00    
MAGICAL MAX Mar17 Mar03 Dec11 Oct19   (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
KNOW THE CODE Dec11         (biehler mich)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 6.00    
 
WRD-8   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRISTBAND Mar31 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Aug30 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
SCR  TOUGH TROOPER Mar25 Mar10 Feb23 Jan31 Dec04 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 4.00    
HAY SCOOBY DOO Mar25 Nov26 Nov01 Oct11 Sep18 (williams alan)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
RIGHT CIDER Mar25 Dec07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep06 (rodriguez)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
ISAIDWHATISAID Mar25 Dec07 Nov19 Nov01 Oct11 (caster boyd)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 15.00    
LINCOLNS BRISKET Mar25 Mar04 Sep07 Aug16 Apr30 (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 125 8.00 10% 9.40    
SHARP AS DAMASCUS Mar26 Dec11 Nov18 Oct11 Oct13 (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 125 10.00 16% 5.30    
ZIM'S TRANS AM Nov25 Nov09 Sep27     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 8.00 37% 1.70    
CHEROKEE SUNRISE Mar19 Feb28 Jan19 Dec13 Nov30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
10  LEGEND'S JOURNEY Mar17 Dec11 Oct30 Oct12 Sep27 (pruitt m)KIMES C 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.