Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/6)-(3/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(3/2/1)-(8/6/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(8/6/1/7)-(2/4/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-4   WIN (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7)-(2/4/8/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/7)-(2/4/8/5)-(7/2/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/5)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/5)-(7/2/1/3)-(6/7/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-6   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(6/7/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(6/7/3/2)-(7/3/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/2)-(7/3/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-8   WIN (7/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Mar11 Dec07 Nov25 Nov01 Sep28 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 122 4.00    
2  AWESOME OUTLAW Mar03 Dec05 Nov22 Nov06 Oct11 (hale ja)GONCALVES R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  HERO TIME Mar04 Jan31 Jan10 Nov26 Nov14 (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 2.50    
4  MIRANDEN Apr22 Apr01 Dec13 Nov21 Nov14 (young e)QUINONEZ B 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  CINCO STEVE Feb23 Nov22 Oct26 Oct17 Sep26 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
WRD-2   03/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LORD CREW Apr01 Mar18 Nov13 Oct07 Sep14 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 125 12.00    
2  LONE TREE Mar03 Feb23 Nov23 Nov14 Oct16 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 0.60 62% 0.60    
3  BLAME DENNIS Feb23 Jul20 Jun29 Jun21 May27 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 125 6.00    
SCR  PEA EYE Mar03 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 Dec20 (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 120 10.00    
5  SWEET MUSIC MAN Feb07 Jan17       (ashford ray)BIRZER E 120 3.00    
6  TIZ RIGHT ON TIME Feb08         (dunlap)FLETCHER D 120 15.00 6% 15.30    
 
WRD-3   03/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEUTRALIZE Mar04 Jan05 Dec05 Oct10 Aug31 (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 122 15.00 7% 13.00    
2  MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Feb28 Jan17 Dec12 Nov30 Nov09 (davidson bren)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  SMART OKIE Mar04 Dec05 Nov25 Oct18 Oct03 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  OKIE TROUBLE Dec05 Nov02 Oct16 Sep18 Aug23 (padilla juan)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00    
5  UNBRIDLED LUNAR Feb28 Jan31 Dec27 Nov23 Sep26 (loy dewai)WETHEY JR 119 3.00    
6  SEXY BROWN Dec12 Nov25 Nov02 Oct09 Aug23 (cogburn l)KIMES C 122 3.00    
 
WRD-4   03/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRECIOUS CARGO Jun27 Jun12 May14 Nov18 Oct20 (stephens )TRIANA JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FULLY FUNDED Mar11 Feb23 Dec11 Aug08 Jul27 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 2.00    
3  MISSION LOCKOUT Nov14 Oct30 Oct12     (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00    
4  FRONT ROW SHOW May07 Apr16 Mar19     (cogburn l)KIMES C 125 3.00    
5  MAGICAL MAX Mar03 Dec11 Oct19     (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00    
6  VISUAL POWERHOUSE Nov13 Oct19 Sep27 Sep12   (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
7  GOSPEL HOT ROD Dec11 Nov30 Nov01 Sep27 Aug16 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEGEND'S JOURNEY Dec11 Oct30 Oct12 Sep27 Aug30 (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
WRD-5   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDTAPPER WIN Mar03 Jan30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov27 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 20.00    
2  PAY RAISE Mar03 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  RU MOR STARTER Feb28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan12 Nov19 (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 125 5.00    
4  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Mar05 Feb08 Dec28 Apr12 Mar16 (jansen ken)ERAMIA E 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  WICKED PRINCE Feb14 Jan19 Dec14 Oct17 Sep07 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LEMON MERINGUE Feb16 Jan24 Dec20 Oct01 Sep02 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 4.00    
7  CAT COUNTY Mar03 Feb21 Feb07 Jan27 Jan01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.00    
8  BUREAUCRATIC Sep21 Aug26 Aug03 Jul12 Jun22 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 9% 9.80    
 
WRD-6   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE SMOKE Dec13 Nov22 Oct18 Sep06 Aug23 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 125 3.00 9% 10.30    
2  MISSIN HOLLYWOOD Aug23 Jul18 Apr29 Apr09 Mar18 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 14% 6.40    
3  EARS TO ME Jun30 May15 Apr22 Apr03 Dec14 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MEGA SHACK Dec05 Nov06 Oct04 Aug29 Jun26 (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
5  STORMS LAST Mar03 Jan18 Jan05 Dec11 Nov09 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 5.00    
6  SWORD OF GOLD Dec04 Nov22 Oct26 Oct09 Sep18 (moreno carlo)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 20.00    
7  RED DIRT RICH Feb16 Jan26 Oct09 Sep05 May06 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 125 1.60 56% 0.80    
 
WRD-7   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Blue Ribbon Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPETITIVE BOND Feb28 Nov30 Oct18 Sep29   (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ANOTHER BOND GIRL by DON'T GET MAD)
2  RASPBERRY MARTINI Mar03 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Sep29 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of PLUM GORGEOUS by HANSEN)
3  EIREANN Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Sep11 Aug17 (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of COLOMBE by MONARCHOS)
4  PENNY POWERS Mar03 Nov23 Oct12     (young e)QUINONEZ B 122 10.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of IT'S SCHILLER TIME by ARTIE SCHILLER)
5  IMAMIDNIGHTSPECIAL Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct12   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of IMSORTASPECIAL by BIG BROWN)
6  ELEGANT ECHO Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep07   (williams alan)BIRZER E 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of VIOLATION by VIOLENCE)
7  CALEB'S FINEST Mar03 Feb01       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of TEAM ONE by ORATORY)
8  LITTLE IRIS Feb28 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of SOFT CHEESE by QUALITY ROAD)
 
WRD-8   03/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMAN UP         (bravo f)GONCALVES R 120 6.00    
  (by REVVED UP out of CAMANA BAY by CONGRATS)
SCR  GOSPEL SHARE Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 Oct17 Sep11 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 4.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of WITTICISM by ISTAN)
3  VITA'S SONG         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 5.00 6% 15.90    
  (by WILBURN out of LEVIA VITA by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  CRYSTAL SLIPPER         (cogburn l)KIMES C 120 20.00 5% 17.40    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of EMMAS SILVER ROSE by SILVER HAZE)
5  GETTIN OUT OF HERE Mar03 Nov30 Nov02 Sep29   (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of STREET ANGEL by PICCOLINO)
6  MI MARNIE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 5.00 6% 15.90    
  (by MITOLE out of MARNIE THE MARINER by MIDSHIPMAN)
7  SHE'S A BOND TOO Mar03 Jan26 Dec07 Nov22 Nov13 (davidson )TRIANA JR 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ANOTHER BOND GIRL by DON'T GET MAD)
8  OSAGE EXPRESS         (swango randy)HUCKABY RONNIE 115 12.00    
  (by KICK ON out of AFTON EXPRESS by WOOD REPLY)
9  MOMMA WINK         (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of POLLY'S WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.