Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/7)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/7)-(2/6/3)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(2/1/5)-(7/5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/5/4/3)-(6/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/3)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(4/5/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(2/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/3)-(2/1/4/7)-(4/1/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/7)-(4/1/6/3)-(5/2/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(5/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(5/2/4/1)-(2/6/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/1)-(2/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SA-10   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUTT DILLIN Feb02 Jan03 Nov03 Oct17   (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 5.00    
2  MAX N' LOU Jan03 Dec01 Oct13     (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.50    
3  LORD DUNMORE Jan18 Oct25 Aug23     (sadler w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  TARGARYIS Feb02 Dec26 Oct20     (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 3.50    
5  DIRTY WORDS Nov17         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  MY BOX OF LIGHT         (sadler w)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
7  EASY BREEZY         (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 12.00 14% 6.00    
 
SA-2   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDSOME TICKET Jan23 Apr05 Feb25 Dec17 Nov24 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00    
2  JERRY'S SPIRIT Dec06 Oct31 Oct04 Sep13 Dec09 (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
3  TROTSKY Jan26 Dec28 Sep22 Sep02 Aug08 (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR. DISRESPECTFUL Jan18 Sep30 Aug06 May28 May06 (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00    
5  ZOMBO BOMBO Jan15 Dec01 Sep02     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 2.50    
6  PRATCHETT Dec29 Nov30 Feb11     (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
SA-3   02/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADED FOR OM Aug01 Jun13 May03 Apr07 Mar09 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  GEM MINE Jan16 Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 Aug01 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  MS MCWHINNEY Jan20 Jun15 May27 Apr20 Mar04 (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00    
SCR  ACTIVATED (IRE) Nov17         (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50    
5  READY JET GO Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 Aug12 Jun04 (cunningham br)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LONG MAYSHE REIGN Jan20 Dec27 Nov17 Oct18 Sep05 (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.00    
 
SA-4   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY TIGER Jan19 Dec13 Nov29 Oct25 Oct06 (rodriguez )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50    
2  GREATFUL ATTITUDE Jan20 Dec08 Nov29 Nov03 Oct14 (trujillo m)FREY KYLE 124 3.00    
SCR  PONDERGATING Jan20 Dec01 Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 (rondan feli)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LA POPIS Dec07 Nov30 Nov10 Oct25 Oct14 (medin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 8.00 5% 18.20    
5  MADAME GAZELLE Nov30 Oct25 Oct07 Sep22 Sep02 (rodriguez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  POINT AND SHOOT Dec18 Sep21 Aug17 Apr28 Mar08 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 124 10.00    
7  MORNING ADDICTION Jan19 Jan01 Nov30 Nov01 Sep15 (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
SA-5   02/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERHON (FR) Nov16 Sep06 Aug22 Jul20 Jun16 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
2  SEE THROUGH IT Feb01 Dec15 Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 12.00    
3  FAST BUCK Jan18 Nov30 Oct13 Sep28 Aug31 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 121 8.00 7% 13.90    
4  UNCONQUERABLE KEEN (IRE) Dec28 Dec01 Oct27 Aug31 Aug02 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  TURN ON THE JETS (IRE) Dec01 Oct27 Aug31 Jun16 Dec30 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
6  SORRENTO SKY (IRE) Dec01 Oct14 Sep08 Jun13 May19 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  ELWOOD BLUES Mar16 Feb18 Jan07 Dec09 Jun18 (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 122 4.50    
 
SA-6   02/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLOPING MAJOR Jan23 Dec15 Nov30 Oct12 Sep22 (thomas jamey)OROZCO E 124 15.00    
2  UNCLE DUSAN Dec07 Dec09 Nov23 Oct28 Oct02 (s)ROJAS EDUARD 124 15.00    
3  SIX HOT GRANDS Jan23 Nov24 Nov15 Oct26 Sep08 (stortz marc)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  GETEMDUSTY Jan16 Nov30 Nov02 Oct19 Sep20 (miyadi s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  NOT MY RODEO Dec07 Nov09 Sep28 Jul21 Jun21 (delima cli)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  ONE BIG SMILE Jan23 Nov30 Nov02 Aug02 Feb25 (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50    
7  SHAUN'S JAZZ Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 (ruvalcaba a)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
8  LURKING FEAR Jan31 Dec07 Nov17 Oct04 Sep22 (farias jorge)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.50    
9  UPDRAFT Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep22 Aug04 (bauti)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 15.00    
 
SA-7   02/16/2025 4290ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 45 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY CAVALIER Jan20 Nov23 Oct19 Aug31 Aug11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
2  FEEL THE MAGIC Jun15 Apr05 Mar09 Jul01   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 61% 0.70    
3  TRAVAIL Dec28 Dec08 Oct26 Aug25 Jun20 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 5.00    
4  SAND BAGGER Jan20 Dec27 Nov25 Nov10 Oct07 (stute gary)BAZE C 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  BLACK AS MY HEART Dec28 Sep05 Oct01 Aug11 Jun10 (baltas richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
7  STEPBROTHERAUSTIN         (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAXVILLE Jun07 May11 Mar22 Feb23 Jan26 (garcia anto)HERRERA A 124 12.00    
SCR  WHITE MOUNTAIN Sep09         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYINTHEMORNING Jan20 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Sep22 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  LOCHMARA Nov23 Nov02 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 (bautista j)ORANTES R 119 8.00    
3  TIGERIZE Dec07 Jul05 Jun02 May05 Apr21 (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAPPY CHAPPY Jan20 Dec06 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (tamayo isid)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  SPREAD THE RISK Jan20 Dec29 Nov24 Nov10 Oct19 (hess b)BAZE C 124 5.00    
6  ICY MISCHIEF Jan20 Nov29 Oct25 Sep14 Jul20 (meier r)FREY KYLE 124 2.00 11% 8.10    
7  RESPECT THE CROWN Feb08 Jan19 Jan01 Dec13 Nov10 (uranga jesu)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 6.00    
 
SA-9   02/16/2025 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Baffle Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME WARRIOR Dec01 Oct31 Oct05 Aug24 Jul27 (alvarado rube)FRESU ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of LE MI GEAUX by FIRST SAMURAI)
2  TRIPLE DIAMONDS Jan19 Nov15       (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 11% 7.80    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of FLORENTINE DIAMOND by SMILING TIGER)
3  STYLE CAT Jan18 Dec29 Dec01 Nov01 Oct06 (alvara)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of KITTENS TRIP by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  FOMO JOE Dec29 Nov17       (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of REIN IN AVARICITY by INCLUDE)
5  SCIPIO Dec28 Dec01 Nov01 Sep08 Aug02 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SOUL SPIRIT by QUALITY ROAD)
6  FREEDOM'S NOT FREE Jan05 Oct14 Sep01     (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WONDERFULADVENTURE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  MAXIMUS Dec15 Nov17 Oct20     (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ONE PLAYFUL ACT by FLAT OUT)
 
SA-10   02/16/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOTNOTE Jan20 Nov30       (quinon)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of AGENT PROVOCATEUR by INTERACTIF)
2  LILA Jan20 Nov30       (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
3  MAKENARITA Jan20 Dec26 Nov30     (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TEQUILA SUNRISE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  INNER FURY (IRE)         (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.50    
  (by INNS OF COURT out of CHINA IN MY HANDS by DARK ANGEL)
5  DANDY VANDY (FR) Nov30 Nov03 Sep27     (damato ph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 5.00    
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of PIGOTA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
6  PURA VIDA PRINCESA Jan20 Nov16 Oct06 Sep08   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BETYAR by UNCLE MO)
7  CALMATE Jan20 Dec26 Oct18 Sep21   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
8  INNOVATIVE         (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 12.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LANTIZ by TIZWAY)
9  WATERSHED MOMENT Jan20 Oct12 Sep06     (baltas richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TIZ BRISKA by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.