Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1)-(4/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ALB-2   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-3   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ALB-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS TRES MORENA         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
GREATER CAUSE Sep22         (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 120 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of AVAIL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
PRO BUSINESS Sep05 Aug18 Aug02     (fournier )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of PINK CADILLAC by DIABOLICAL)
F S LIBERTY BELLE Sep05 Jun15       (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of ACUTE BAND by KING OF THE ROXY)
PUNKIN PUDDIN         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by PROCEED out of LESSTALKMOREACTION by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
SPOONIN SHUGA         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
  (by PROCEED out of CARRIESAYSITBEST by MALIBU MOON)
THATSATERRIBLIDEA         (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by PROCEED out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
SHES ACTING SINGLE Sep25 Aug31 Jun15     (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 120 3.50    
  (by COMFORT out of FINAL DISPERSAL by DISPERSAL)
 
ALB-2   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESA PROSPECTOR Sep22 Sep11 Aug04 Jun09 May11 (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
TATAS JOE MARK Jul20 Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 Feb22 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50    
THIRSTY ECHO Sep22 Sep07 Sep01 May11 Apr27 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 30.00    
MT. TAYLOR Sep25 Sep12 Apr28 Mar22 Jan12 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
GO LAKER GO Sep25 Aug31 Mar28 Feb22 Dec05 (b)DE CRUZ 124 3.00    
MENTIROSA Sep25 Sep06 Aug17 May11 Apr28 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BRAZEN NOW Sep15 Sep01 Apr28 Apr13 Mar22 (galvez emmanuel)ROSENDO J 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
ALB-3   10/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPEACHABULL Sep15 Jan10 Dec05 Nov07 Oct05 (barrios berna)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 12.00    
KID CUSTER Sep19 Jul26 May11 Mar14 Jul21 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
CHARLIE DYNASTY Aug23 Jul19 Jun08 May18 May12 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
SHEZA HAILSTORM Jul28 Sep07 Jul22 Jun25 May20 (vale)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
SHUG'S ROCKET Sep08 Aug23 Jul19 Jun14 Mar29 (l)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
WALL STREET LOGIC Jun08 May27 May11 Mar28 Mar12 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
I'M A DREAMER TOO Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 May27 May05 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEAU VERO Sep15 Aug03 Jul19 Mar21 Mar08 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
 
ALB-4   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP ROCK Sep01 Aug17       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 1.40 63% 0.60    
PLAYTHEMARKER Sep19 Aug23 Apr13 Mar01 Feb18 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAXIMUM BULL Sep12 Aug23 Jun07 Mar07 Feb15 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 4.50    
MONARCHOS DREAM Mar22 Nov14 Sep02 Jul15 Jun04 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 15.00    
ROLL PENNY ROLL Sep02 Jun07 Apr21 Mar29 Mar22 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
TEE BREAKER Sep15 May11 Mar29 Mar08 Feb02 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.