Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-7   WIN (6/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-8   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/3)-(8/1/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-9   WIN (8/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/3)-(8/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/3)-(8/1/2/3)-(8/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-7   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.5K) 35 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZACANGO PRIDE Aug30 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Feb21 (guadarrama om)JIMENEZ DAVID 123 3.50    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of SILVER SAILS by SAIL ME AGAIN)
2  CANDY HAPPY         (lusk travis)LUSK TYSON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RIDE ME FAST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  ELENA'S DIAMOND Sep06 Jun23 Aug05 Jul22   (johnson robe)VALENZUELA R 125 4.50    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of INDIAN STAR by INDIAN TERRITORY)
4  TRAILERS BULL PEN Jul27 Jun30 Jun16 May26   (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 10.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of COLOR ME SEXY by MISREMEMBERED)
5  SUNRISE MAGIC Aug04 Jun23       (mitchell r)LARSEN S 123 8.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of TAIMA THUNDER by COLONEL JOHN)
6  HER LITTLE INDIAN Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 (hadley joe)VIRGEN JESUS 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of HER AGAIN by TRAPPER)
7  SOVEREIGN DEELITES Sep06 Aug30 Aug03     (nielsen rodn)CARDENAS JACOB 128 15.00    
  (by SOVEREIGN PRIDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  GLORYS ROMANCE Sep08 Aug31 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 (richins britt)JUAREZ BRAYAN 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by STAND FOR GLORY out of RED RIVER ROMANCE by DUNKIRK)
 
SWF-8   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Sep07 Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 (simpson gary)LUSK TYSON 128 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  MANY AMBITIONS Sep07 Sep02 Aug03 Jun30 May11 (evans kash)VIRGEN JESUS 128 10.00    
3  SYNNIN AND WINNIN Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Apr08 Mar12 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS GRAND SLAM Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 125 8.00    
5  BAM BAM AGAIN Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (giles raelee)CARILLO DANIEL 128 6.00 9% 10.70    
6  VANTAGE POINT Sep08 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  TAG ME Sep01 Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 Aug03 (scudder r)RIVAS CARLOS 128 4.50    
8  MUSKET POWDER Sep02 Aug24 Aug18 Jul27 Jul20 (scudder mike)VALENZUELA R 128 8.00    
 
SWF-9   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Exacta Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KONA SKYE Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
2  SATIN HEART Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Sep23 (scudder rick)VALENZUELA R 125 4.50 14% 6.20    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
3  SUNRISE MISCHIEF Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 (story shaun)VIRGEN JESUS 126 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of PLEASING SUNRISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  HOWBEIT Sep08 Aug25 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 8.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
5  STREET BEHAVIOR Sep06 Aug03 Jun29 Jun16 Jun09 (moody ski)RIVAS CARLOS 128 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  BUCK OWENS Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul13 Jun30 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
7  NEEDABETTERJOCK Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 (scudder mike)ARANA MINOR 128 8.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of NEED TO BELIEVE by HOLY BULL)
8  COWBOY CLIFF Sep01 Aug25 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by ONE UNION out of COWGIRL JULIE by SALEEK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.