Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/5/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-3   WIN (6/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/4)-(1/8/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
LRC-4   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/7/4)-(1/8/2/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/4)-(1/8/2/6)-(2/6/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
LRC-5   WIN (1/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/2/6)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/6)-(2/6/5/7)-(7/4/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
LRC-6   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(7/4/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(7/4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-7   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/7/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/7/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LRC-9   WIN (4/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9/8)-(4/7/2/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   09/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT LAW         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.00 45% 1.20    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  SUPREME CONFIDENCE         (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of MAGGIE SIMON by SIMON PURE)
3  PRIME AND READY         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 120 8.00 8% 10.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHOTGUN'S STAR by INCLUDE)
4  CALMATE         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
5  SPECIAL LOOK         (hollendorfer jerr)FREY KYLE 120 2.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LION'S TERMS by LION HEARTED)
 
LRC-2   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANCHE Sep07 Aug10 Jul20 Oct07 Aug13 (kitchi)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.00    
2  JOE DON LOONEY Aug25 Aug09 May24 Apr08 Mar04 (barocio li)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 4.00    
3  MARSH CREEK Jul04 May05       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
4  STAY ON THE FENCE Aug02 May25 May11 Apr06 Mar04 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MANITOWISH Sep13 Aug10 Dec26 Dec10 Jun18 (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00    
6  TOOK CHARGE Aug06 Jun09 May27 May06 Apr23 (valenzuela)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 6.00 47% 1.10    
 
LRC-3   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET STORM Mar17 Feb02 Dec30 Dec01   (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  STREET TALKER Sep02 Jul28 Jun13 Apr26   (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 8.00    
3  RESEMBLANCE Sep15         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
4  LE MANS Jul28 May27 Apr07     (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50    
5  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Sep15 Sep02       (periban j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  NEXT TRICK Sep02 Jul25 Jul05     (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
7  CODY BOY Sep01 Aug08 Jun30 Jun01 May04 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
LRC-4   09/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINSITWELL Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 Jun16 May18 (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 6.00    
2  L SQUARED Aug16 Jun30 Apr07     (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 5.00    
3  UPLIFT Sep06 Aug04 Jul07 Jun07 Apr20 (hess b)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 3.00    
4  EVERTORIANO Jun30 Apr27 Feb16     (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EDDIE'S WAVE Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 Nov10   (hollendorfer jerr)FREY KYLE 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  CLASSIC ALPHIE Aug15 Jul21 Jul04 Jun14 May24 (papaprodromo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.00 24% 3.30    
7  SHARP WONDER Sep02 Jul28 Jun23 May18 Mar31 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
LRC-5   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING FOR NANA Aug18         (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  QUEEN OF THE TRACK Jul09 Jun24 May13 Apr17 Mar26 (castaneda kelly)HARVEY B 126 15.00 21% 3.80    
3  KEYCHAIN GIRL Jun29 Jun09 May17 Apr19 Sep23 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 126 8.00    
4  CHOLLIMA Aug22 Jul06 Jun23 Jul04 Jun23 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 121 8.00    
5  MYLITTLERUNAWAY Aug17 May05 Mar05 Feb18   (vuocolo al)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 6.00    
6  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Aug17 Feb23 Jan20 Dec15 Nov10 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GYPSY LYNN Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 Feb11 Jan19 (deleon rafael)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
8  TROUBLE N PARADISE Jul06 Jun23 Apr22 Mar08 Feb11 (trela rosemary)ORTEGA CESAR 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
LRC-6   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSTOSO Sep14 Jun22 May27 May18 Apr05 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00    
2  MIDNIGHT LOVE Aug23 Aug03 Jun30 Jun08 May10 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  BLACKJACK AND BEER Mar16 Feb03 Dec09     (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 122 10.00    
4  DES DOIGTS Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 May10 Apr19 (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00    
5  TWILIGHT MOON Jun30 Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 Dec16 (berman er)RAMIREZ S 122 8.00 6% 15.90    
6  WHEREVER YOU ARE Aug23 Jun23 May24 Apr15 Aug19 (belvoir vann)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  LETSHAVEONEMORE Sep14 Aug23 Aug11 Jul06 Jun14 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-7   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Aug16 Jul06 Apr29 Jul09 Jul01 (lucas rober)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  ABADON Sep02 Aug17 Jul25 Jul06 Jun09 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 126 4.50    
3  SLEW'S JOY Aug25 Jul25 Jul07 May27 May05 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 3.00    
4  DR. TROUTMAN Sep01 Aug10 Jul21 Jun22 Jun01 (uranga jesu)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 8.00 17% 4.80    
5  JERRY JEFF WALKER Sep02 Aug24 Aug09 Jul28 Jul05 (aquino )ALCALA ROSARIO 126 15.00 7% 14.10    
6  SGT POWELL Sep01 Jul20 Jun30 Nov24 Oct15 (valenzuela)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 3.50    
7  SMARTY NOSE Sep06 Aug25 Jul06 Apr07 Dec31 (castaneda kelly)HARVEY B 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
LRC-8   09/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dark Mirage Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASCENDANCY Sep02 Jul21 Jun22 May18 May04 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
2  COFFEE IN BED Aug03 May26 Apr21 Mar09 Jan20 (mandella richard )FREY KYLE 124 1.60    
  (by CURLIN out of SUMPTUOUS by HENNESSY)
3  VICTORIOUS May04 Mar16 Feb07 Jan04 Nov26 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CASHING TICKETS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  SHOW CARD Sep02 Jun08 May05 Mar16 Feb18 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
5  INDY'S STAR Aug18 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May12 (powell leon)HERRERA A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PROMENADE STAR by HAYNESFIELD)
6  GILA Aug16 Jul04 Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 (hess b)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BASHOOSHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
LRC-9   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR RIDE Sep02 Aug08       (capestro p)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 20.00    
2  MUJER DE ORO         (periban jor)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 10.00 12% 7.30    
3  HEARTS FANTASY Sep02 Aug10       (moger ed )RAMIREZ S 120 20.00    
4  MUSICAL NUMBER         (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  DYIN A THIRST Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 May26 Apr25 (brinkerhoff )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
6  YOU BETTER YOU BET Sep13         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
7  WE THE HOBBY         (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 5.00 13% 7.00    
8  AMELIA'S ECHO Aug30 Aug11 Jul06     (moger jr)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 3.00 ★    
9  WIZARDESS         (scolamieri )AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.