Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Legacy Downs
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LEG-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LEG-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LEG-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/5/4/7)-(6/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LEG-4   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(6/2/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
LEG-5   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LEG-1   09/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEAT CODE Sep06 Aug16 Apr13 Mar29 Mar17 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 4.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S CHEEKY by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
2  AVERYZ DAY         (dieter)FLETCHER D 122 8.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SING BABY SING out of AWESOME ROSE by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  STRENGTHBEYOND Sep01 Aug11 Aug03     (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  YUTAN TAPIT Sep06 Aug18 Apr27 Apr19 Feb18 (rivera p)DELORME L 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SISTI'S PRIDE by FORESTRY)
5  ROPE BURN Aug31 May03 Apr13 Mar17 Mar03 (musquiz a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
6  WANN BOMBER Sep06 Aug18 Apr13     (anderson c)KIMES C 122 3.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SWEETEDGE by ADDED EDGE)
 
LEG-2   09/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE AINT A BEAUTY Apr26 Apr19       (rivera)FLETCHER D 125 5.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DISTANT DELTA by DECARCHY)
2  DAZZLE YOU MY WAY Sep13 Aug31 Apr26 Apr12 Mar22 (mcclain stanley)KIMES C 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of DAZZLE YOU by DAZZLING FALLS)
3  RUBY LYNN Sep06 Aug25 Jul29     (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GOLDIE'S MISSILE by GOLDEN MISSILE)
4  GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE Sep01         (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GAMBLER'S DREAM by FLASHBACK)
5  ALL LEGS Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 May04 Apr26 (musquiz j)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
6  DEVIL'S JUSTICE Sep13         (burns dale)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DEVIL WATER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
7  MISS BLAZEN Sep13         (gonzalez v)DELORME L 122 12.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
 
LEG-3   09/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUINESSEY Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 (black marissa)KIMES C 125 2.00    
2  OUTRIGHT Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 May12 (ramaekers)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  SUMMER ALL YEAR Sep14 Sep01 Jul04 Jun02 Apr05 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Sep01 Jun29 Jun09 Jun01 May19 (luke l)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50    
5  ROSIE'S BOY Sep15 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 (bliss d)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 12% 7.20    
6  PERVASIVE Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 (muckey john)BETHKE A 125 2.50    
 
LEG-4   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER LESTER Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 2.00    
2  TIZ RED TIME Sep08 Sep02 May03 Apr14 Mar30 (thompson grady)DELORME L 125 10.00    
3  WILLHE LOVE Aug16 May03 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  BEST UP Sep08 Aug31 May03 Apr13   (rivera)FLETCHER D 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
5  ANCHOR LINE Aug24 Jul21       (wise jason)KIMES C 122 1.60 18% 4.50    
6  COLONEL PUNCH Sep06 Aug18 Aug11 Jun30 May03 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50    
7  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Sep08 Sep02 Aug03 Jun23 Jun08 (becker s)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LEG-5   09/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor's Speed Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND CITY Sep06 Aug17 Jul22 Jul05 Jun08 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 125 2.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of CALLISTA by TAPIT)
2  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Sep02 Aug18 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 (anderson c)KIMES C 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FAMILY TREE by SMART STRIKE)
3  SHADOW MATTER Aug17 Jul07 Jun08 Apr27 Feb23 (condon schuyl)FACKLER CHRIS 120 3.50    
  (by MACHO UNO out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
4  BRAINSTORM Aug24 Jul10 Nov25 Sep23 Mar18 (black marissa)DELORME L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BOOK REVIEW by HALF A YEAR)
5  EXPLOSIVE PRIDE Sep14 Sep02 Aug17 Jul10 Jun26 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of AMIE'S DINI by BANDINI)
6  MISTER CHAIRMAN Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 May27 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LULU'S NUMBER by NUMEROUS)
7  HURTS SO GOOD Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 Jun30 May25 (ramaekers eric)MARTINEZ R 122 6.00 6% 14.90    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OLD TIME RELIGION by BUDDHA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.