Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/2/6)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/3/6)-(6/5/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(6/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(6/5/8)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-5   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(3/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(3/6/5)-(1/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-6   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(1/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(1/7/4)-(6/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-7   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(6/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LRC-8   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Sep02         (periban jo)ORANTES R 115 2.00 31% 2.20    
DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Aug16 Jul21 Jul07 May24 Apr05 (bryant stev)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50    
DAWSON Sep15 Jul02 May29     (hernandez jose)ORTEGA CESAR 122 6.00    
HE DID         (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 6.00 6% 17.00    
RESEMBLANCE         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
LRC-2   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER B WORTH IT Aug31 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 May25 (aquino angela )ORTEGA CESAR 120 6.00    
STAY ZAPPY Jun30 Oct08 Sep16     (treece ch)RAMIREZ S 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
UNIFIED A. P. Sep08 Aug08 Dec16 Dec01 Aug04 (freeman edw)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 3.00    
BORNTOSTAYTHIRSTY Aug18 Jul20 Jun22 Jan27 Jan01 (figueroa )OLAGUE J 113 3.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  SPICY SPOUSE Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 Apr26 Apr04 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.50    
O C RHAPSODY Jul04 Jun15       (stevens sa)ORANTES R 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-3   09/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON TIME TAM Aug08 Jul06       (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by TAMARANDO out of YOU'RE LATE by LUCKY PULPIT)
LESS IS MORE Sep02         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 3.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of BLAME THE AGENT by JIMMY CREED)
MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM Aug08         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
FIBONACCIS RIDE         (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of WILD CAROLINE by WILDCAT HEIR)
APPLE VALLEY GIRL Aug16 Jul26       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LETS GET FRISKY by MARINO MARINI)
GOBERNADORA ELY Sep02 Aug11 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOVENOR CHARLIE out of TIME FOR SALLY by TIME TO GET EVEN)
 
LRC-4   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun30 May24 (knapp steve)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 5.00    
SEEKING QUALITY Aug18 Aug03 Jun23     (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 5.00    
NOBLE RUNNER Aug23 Aug02 Jul04     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 120 12.00 13% 6.90    
JANE KENDEIGH Aug04 Jun02 Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 (damato philip)BAZE C 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
COLLECTMYTHOUGHTS May26 Apr23       (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 126 1.80    
GIANIS GIRL         (shidaker duff)HARVEY B 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
HALLELUJAH HIGH Aug29         (miller pet)ORANTES R 113 8.00    
 
LRC-5   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPREAD THE RISK Aug15 Jun28 May26 Apr28 Feb18 (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
SCR  AMELIA BLEU Sep06 Aug15 Jul05 Oct28 Sep08 (campuzano l)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 3.50    
SWEET LIL' DARLIN Jun23         (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 5.00    
PRINCESS MAGIC Aug30 Jun25 May26 Jan20 Dec03 (ellis ronald )AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.50    
DISCREPANCY Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr05 (yakteen ti)ORANTES R 113 2.50 22% 3.60    
RESPECT THE CROWN Sep08 Jul28 Jun08 May17 Apr05 (stute gary)BAZE C 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
RIPPIN A WAY Sep16         (hernandez jose)ORTEGA CESAR 120 20.00    
IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST Aug25 Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 Apr06 (brinkerhoff )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00 5% 18.60    
 
LRC-6   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE KID Aug22 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun02 (nunez jesus)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 4.50    
ROCK N ROLL SONG May19 Apr21 Jan21 Dec17 Nov18 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 126 3.50    
WRONG TURN CUPID Jun29 May18 May04 Dec17 Sep16 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 1.80 58% 0.70    
SUGAR SUGAR Aug22 Jun23 Feb11 Jan13 Dec08 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 126 3.00    
BONITA LEONA Aug25 Jul28 Jul06 Jun14 Mar17 (aquino angela )GARCIA ERICK 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOVELY COLLEEN Aug31 Jul20 Jul07 Jun08 Jul08 (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
LRC-7   09/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOWN IDEA Aug15 May31 Apr28 Apr06 Mar15 (sadler w)BAZE C 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Jul07 May25 May03 Apr05 Feb25 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 3.50    
WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Jul07 Mar10 Feb10 Jan15 Dec17 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 119 20.00    
DANZING REBEL Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May05 Apr12 (delima cliffo)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRYPTO RIDE Jun30 Jun02 Apr21 Mar17 Feb10 (garcia anto)HERRERA A 124 8.00    
EREBUS Sep01 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 (lopez george )PAYERAS EDGAR 126 20.00    
RHINO Aug22 Jul07 Jun07 May05 Apr19 (deleon rafael)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BE PUNCTUAL Aug23 Aug08 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 5.00    
 
LRC-8   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSMEYOUFOOL Aug15 Jul07 Jun23     (knapp stev)ORANTES R 113 2.50    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Aug16 Sep16 Aug27 Jul31   (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
CHURCHMEISTER Aug11 Jul07 Dec09 Oct27 Sep29 (nunez jesu)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHIRAG Aug16 Jul07 Apr29     (periban jor)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 6.00    
MCCLUSKY Sep01         (belvoir vann)BAZE C 120 8.00    
OCASEK Aug16 Jul25 Jun13 Jul14 May20 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 126 1.40 62% 0.60    
NATURAL CAT Jul13 Jul07 Apr21     (vuocolo al)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 30.00    
NOTCH Sep02 Aug11 Aug04 Jul13 Jul05 (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.