Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/2/6)-(3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/6)-(3/2/1)-(3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/1)-(6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/5/2)-(1/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/5/3)-(5/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/7/4)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-6   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(3/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(3/6/5)-(7/3/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LRC-8   WIN (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ON SUNDAY Aug25 Aug08 Jun30 Oct07 Sep02 (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
ANTIBES May24 Apr20 Mar16 Feb23 Jan26 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 2.50 18% 4.50    
LAST CALL PAUL Sep01 Aug04 Jul05 Jun01 May04 (knapp ste)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
RATLEFF Jul28         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
DRIVE FOR SHOW Aug25 Jun29 Jun09 Apr20 Mar15 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 5.00    
HE'SQUITE MISCHIEF         (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
REMI OR NOT Aug08 Jul05 Jan12     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 8.00    
 
LRC-2   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPI HAPI Sep01 Aug01 Jun29 May26 May04 (uranga jesus )PAYERAS EDGAR 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIRTH OF COOL Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 Jun15 May25 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 2.50 32% 2.20    
TAISHAN Aug18 Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 Feb25 (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
NAUVOO Aug18 Aug01 Jun29 May03 Apr05 (knapp steve)BAZE C 126 4.00    
MIKE OPERATOR Jul07 Jun23 Apr19 Jan01 Dec09 (aquino angela )GARCIA ERICK 126 4.00    
LOW EXPECTATIONS Aug01 Jul04 May27 May03 Apr05 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 3.00    
 
LRC-3   09/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORE ROAD         (sadler john )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BROADWAY UNIONS Aug15 May19 Apr26 Aug17 Jul21 (kitchingm)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.00    
BIG GAIN Jan12         (sadler w)BAZE C 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
CANGREJO         (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00    
JERRY'S SPIRIT Dec09         (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 3.00    
WILD RECRUIT Aug18 Jun08 Aug24     (koriner bria)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.50    
 
LRC-4   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DON'T GET IT Aug16 Jul20 May27 Apr27 Mar16 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 126 3.50    
KIMMER Aug29 Aug09 Jul07 Jun09 May17 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INCREDIBLE SHOT Aug29 Aug09 Jun14 May19 Apr27 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
KID AZTECA Jun14 May19 Apr19 Mar20 Jan05 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 3.00    
WITHOUT BORDERS Jul27 Jun30 May24     (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
SHOT OF COURAGE Aug22 Jul28 Jun15 May19 Apr07 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
LRC-5   09/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU BETTER YOU BET         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
THIRSTY DESTINY Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May26 (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00    
PEBBLES B AWESOME Aug16 Jul26       (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET ELLA RAE Jul05 Jun22 May26     (hernandez jose)ORTEGA CESAR 120 5.00    
TAIL ON FIRE         (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 22% 3.50    
STANFORD HOTTIE Aug11         (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 120 1.60    
 
LRC-6   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOD'S FAVOR Sep05 Aug08 May27     (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 126 3.00    
ROUND IN CIRCLES Aug29 Aug01 Jun02 Jan06 Nov17 (ivory john )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 20.00    
SCR  BRUINS MASTERY Aug23 Jun22 Aug18 Oct15   (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.00    
STORMING GRAY Aug01 Feb18 Jan15 Dec09 Nov18 (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
IN YOUR LIFE Aug29 Aug08 Jul07 Nov19   (eurton pete)HERRERA A 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
PIPPA PHILIPA Aug29 Jul26 Jul06 Jun01 May18 (garcia anto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 4.50    
MORGAN'S BLUFF Aug23 Mar30 Feb10 Jan05 Aug17 (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
LRC-7   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULA CANDY Aug18 Apr28 Mar24 Feb03 Jan06 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 6.00    
CAISSON Dec17 Oct14 Sep24 Aug18 Jun11 (ortiz manuel )AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00    
CORNELL Aug03 Jun29 Jun09 Jan28 Jan01 (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
MANITOWISH Aug10 Dec26 Dec10 Jun18 May21 (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50    
KING APOLLO Aug18 Jul20 Jun16 Feb24 Jan26 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
RED CROSS KNIGHT Aug18 Aug01 Jul05 May19 Apr21 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 126 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
LRC-8   09/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDS N SUDS Aug16 Jul20 Jul06     (knapp steve)BAZE C 120 3.00    
DADDYGAVEITTOME Aug22 Aug01       (alvarez edwin)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOT SHOT         (barocio li)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 3.50 9% 10.50    
HELLOVA LOUELLA         (raudale)RAMIREZ J 120 15.00 8% 12.20    
CIOPPINA PASADINA         (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.50    
LUCKY SERMON         (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 6.00    
CHIPS         (freeman edw)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.