Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/5)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/4/1)-(1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/6)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/7/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/1)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1)-(2/6/3)-(1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-10   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN CAT Jul22 Jul08 Jun13 May20 Apr28 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 122 2.00    
SCR  CALIBRATE Sep23 Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 May03 (rosin w)JORDAN R 115 1.80    
INCA EMPIRE Jul22 Jun30 Jun14 May25 Dec16 (flores oscar)BACON W 121 5.00 8% 11.10    
SHOTSHELL Jul26 Jul08 Jun14 May25 May04 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
MOWINS Jul13 Jun26 Apr21 Aug23 Aug05 (lauer michael)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
 
PRM-5   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY RAPHA Jul19         (martin e)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of IT'S THE SWEDE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  QUIETLINE Jul26         (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
  (by TIMELINE out of ELEGANTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
BAND'S FREE SPIRIT Jul26         (chleborad lyn)BACON W 114 2.00 77% 0.30    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LEADING THE BAND by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  THERMO Jul19         (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 3.00    
  (by ISOTHERM out of GLITZY LADY by LIAISON)
TOMS PROSPECTOR Jul19         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MISS WAIKIKI by MISWAKI)
CASH'S PAL Jul26 Jul13       (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MS MAGIC by MAGICIAN (IRE))
 
PRM-6   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 2 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUE'S REWARD Jul19         (chleborad)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
RUN FOR GOLD         (chleborad lyn)BACON W 114 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUN WITH THE BRAVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
WAGON POWER         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of MY HEART'S LOVE by A.P. INDY)
ON A HUNCH Jul19         (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TANGO'S KITTY by JERSEY TOWN)
BRASA         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SWEDE by YANKEE VICTOR)
MULTIFACTOR         (von ke)JORDAN R 119 3.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MYTHICAL VIXEN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PRM-7   08/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.332K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MY KINDAGIRL Aug03 Jul13 Jun23     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 1.20 72% 0.40    
CANADIAN JANE Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 May20 Jul08 (martin wi)TRIANA JR 119 15.00    
R F FINISH LINE Jul29         (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 119 3.50    
SCR  BACKSEAT BABY Jun23 May20 Aug12 Jun30   (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00    
SUPINE DUCHESS Jul29 Jul13 Jun15 May31 May10 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
WICKED HOT FOOT Jul27 Jul07 Jun17 May10 Jul01 (young nic)MEDINA ANGEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ASHLEIGH' BACK Jun28 May31       (martin willia)BACON W 114 20.00    
 
PRM-8   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26.724K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROLLER BOY Jul26 Jul03 Jun16 Jun01 May11 (guillory )TRIANA JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
IOWA CLUB Jul26 May25 Jun09 Sep24 Aug22 (von ke)JORDAN R 125 4.00 39% 1.60    
PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun09 May25 (eikleberr)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 16% 5.10    
SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Jul26 Jun10 May26 May11 Sep30 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
ROWDY RAY Jul12 Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (hargens bob)TOHILL S 125 3.50    
DIXIE THREE G Aug02 Jul13 Oct07 Sep23 Aug21 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 121 12.00    
DEER RUN Jul21 Jun30 Jun17 May26 Sep24 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
PRM-9   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETS ROCK N STROLL Jul13 Jun14 May26 May11 Sep24 (dieter dalto)JORDAN R 123 10.00    
MIDNIGHT RULES Jul26 Jul03 Jun14 May25 Dec06 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
I LOVE ROCKNSTROLL Jul26 Jul12 Jun16 Jun03 May20 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  RAZOR WIRE Jul29 Jul03 Jun15 May27 Sep30 (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 2.50    
ELIOT NESS Jul14 Jun22 Jun08 Apr30 Apr14 (arnett g)BACON W 118 5.00    
WICKLOW LADDIE Jul26 Jul03 Jun16 May27 May11 (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
PRM-10   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIPPA Jul20 Jun29       (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
ESCAPE MAP Jun29 Jun08       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
HOT SHOT SHOPPER Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Apr28   (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 118 6.00    
DR. WOODS MIRACLE Jul29 Jul14 Jun02 May24 May03 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 3.50    
VANALEE Jul20 Nov30       (gleason t)TRIANA JR 118 15.00    
YOU HAVE NO IDEA Jul14 Jun29 Apr27 Feb19 Nov10 (donlin larry )BACON W 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
KATELYN'S MESS Jul20 Apr21       (schleis casey)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.