Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(3/2/1)-(4/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(4/3/2)-(6/2/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(6/2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(6/2/4/7)-(8/2/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SR-4   WIN (6/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/4/7)-(8/2/3/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/7)-(8/2/3/6)-(7/6/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-5   WIN (8/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/3/6)-(7/6/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/6)-(7/6/3/2)-(1/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SR-6   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(1/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SR-7   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/3/8/6)-(1/2/3/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY DOE Jul05 Jun08       (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of LITTLE DOE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
2  SURF STAR Jul20 Jul05 Jun08 May10   (franko dan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of MADRE LUNA by RAHY)
3  CARE FOR AUTISM         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of TOO HOT FOR CURLIN by CURLIN)
4  RUMPUS A. P.         (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00    
  (by RUMPUS CAT out of DREAM OF MINE by MINESHAFT)
5  DAME PRANCEALOT         (bautista jorg)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of MACABRE by HARD SPUN)
6  SPICY ROSSO         (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  WINSOME LOVE         (badilla manuel)DURAN F 122 4.00 6% 15.10    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LUSCIOUS LONNA by BENCHMARK)
8  NINE FOOLS         (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 122 4.50    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of POWER OF NINE by CAPSIZED)
 
SR-2   08/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER OF ZION Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 Apr13 Mar23 (bond)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.50 5% 18.20    
2  MR. T'S THIRSTY Jul21 Jun22 May05 Apr13 Mar22 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  ZIPPY BABY Nov03 Sep02 Jul29 Jul21 Jun11 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  TITOS WITH A TWIST Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 May05 Mar22 (torres arno)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00    
5  GRAZEN SUN Jul06 Jun09 May05 Apr21 Mar23 (wright blaine)DURAN F 125 4.00    
6  MAJOR TOM Jul21 Jun28 Jun15 Apr28 Apr12 (maravilla)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 5.00    
 
SR-3   08/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATTY LEROYBROWN Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun15 May26 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of CHATTY CATTY by GRAZEN)
2  BIG SOIREE         (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of SILVER SOIREE by TAPIZAR)
3  NEPHELE Jul20 Jun23 Jun08     (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of KATSAROS by CURLIN)
4  CHOKECHERY SHARI Jul05 Jun08       (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOKECHERYMARY by CAPSIZED)
5  A CLEAR BEHEST Jul20 Jul05 Jun08     (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00    
  (by MANY RIVERS out of BEHEST by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  SHIPPING LANE         (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  GRACIE'S BIG DAY Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 May26   (freeman edw)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CASH OFFER by SHACKLEFORD)
8  AUTISM INSPIRATION         (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WICKED WAHINE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
SR-4   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESKAR Jul21 Jul06 Mar24 Nov12 Oct16 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00    
2  LEADING THE PACE Jul21 Jul06 May27 Feb03 Jan27 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
3  DANZ TILL TEN Jul07 Jun23 May11 Apr12 Mar24 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00    
4  LAST BABY Jun23 Jun14 May04 Apr12 Mar16 (stor)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.50 6% 15.50    
5  BIG STICK Jul04 Jun15 May07 Apr16 Mar24 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
6  FORD FLYER Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May10   (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 51% 0.90    
7  DRIVE BY Jun22 May25 May04 Apr06 Feb02 (rondan f)BAUTISTA L 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SR-5   08/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTS OF LONDON Jun22 May18       (ruvalcaba a)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 2.50    
2  IT IS WRITTEN         (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
3  COIFFEUR         (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
4  ARA Jul05 Jun22 Jun08     (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00    
5  TRIPLE SLIPPER Jun21         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 12.00    
6  TOBACCO HONEY Jul05 Jun15 Sep16 Sep09   (jauregui)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  JEANNER Jun02         (haley gloria)ALVARADO T 122 5.00    
8  RIDIN'THESTORMOUT Jun23 May18 Apr27 Apr05 Mar15 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
SR-6   08/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Apr26 Feb23 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 125 3.50    
2  WILD WAGER Jun23 Jun08 Jul04 Jun16 Apr15 (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUPLICATION Jul28 Mar29 Mar08 Feb18 Jan27 (maravilla j)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
4  COUNT ASHER Jul04 Jun14 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 8.00    
5  WALKING BOSS Jul27 Jul05 Jun15 May27 May04 (greiner g)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00    
6  GALLANT WARREN Jul05 Jun15 May26 May05 Apr14 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  JERRY JEFF WALKER Jul28 Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 May04 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 4.00 30% 2.40    
8  LYING GHOST Jul05 Jun15 May26 Apr27 Apr13 (greiner ga)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 
SR-7   08/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN MOLOTOV Jun14 Apr26 Apr06 Mar10 Nov11 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  ELEGANT SWAY Jul04 Jun14 May11 Mar29 Mar10 (meier r)HERRERA HUGO 125 5.00 11% 8.50    
3  LADY GREGORY Jun14 May27 Apr06 Mar29 Feb24 (molinaro r)FLORES P 125 6.00 ★    
4  MADEIRA WINE Dec10 Oct28 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50    
5  GADDING Jun07 May10 Sep03 Jul07 Jun04 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 12.00    
6  LUSMA Jul28 Feb02 Jan01 Nov25 Oct02 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SONOMA DREAMING Jun14 Mar16 Jun03 Apr29 Apr07 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
8  SMILING MOLLY Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 Nov11 Sep25 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 127 6.00 ★    
9  SWIFT NONNI Jul28 Jul04 May11 Dec15 Sep30 (stor)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.