Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/5/2)-(6/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(6/1/2)-(1/5/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(1/5/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/5/6/8)-(7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/8)-(7/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/8)-(7/4)-(5/7/1/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(5/7/1/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(5/7/1/8)-(7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/8)-(7/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/8)-(7/1/3)-(4/2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECTIONISTIC Sep22 Sep23 Jul22 Apr30 Mar20 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
2  MY SUMMER DREAM Sep10 Aug06 Jul04 Jun10 Apr29 (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00 10% 9.50    
3  SUBSIDIZE Sep29 Aug27 Aug03 Jul03 Jun17 (koriner bri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
4  GIVE ME THE LUTE Sep29 Sep04 Jul23 Feb10 Jan13 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
5  WESTWARD LOOK Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 121 5.00 8% 10.90    
6  JAMMING EDDY Sep29 Aug18 Jul30 Jul02 Sep02 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00    
7  MONGOLIAN LEGEND Jul21 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr02 (wallace jerry)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
 
SA-2   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT AND SHOOT Sep29 Sep04 Jul30 Jun16 May05 (kruljac ian)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 10.00    
2  MISS KALINE Sep29 Jun17 Apr21 Feb12 Jan02 (bell r)FREY KYLE 120 1.80 11% 8.50    
3  ZZYZX Oct08 Sep15 Aug17 Jul29 Jul08 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 120 20.00    
4  COURT SNORT Oct09 Sep03 Aug17 Aug04 Jun16 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
5  MODERA Oct14 Sep22 Aug17 Jun25 May19 (craigmyle)RAMIREZ S 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
6  MIDNIGHT SILENCE Sep22 Aug31 Jun11 May12 Apr21 (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 124 6.00    
 
SA-3   10/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S BULLETPROOF Sep16 Aug10 Dec17 Nov12 Oct16 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00    
2  ALTERNATE ROCK Oct01 Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 Apr20 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  SHE'S RESILIENT Sep29 Aug17 Jul23 Jun17 Apr29 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 10.00    
4  PHENOM Apr22 Feb20 Jan13 Nov20 Oct30 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  KO OLINA Oct15 Sep01 Jul28 Jun23 Jun10 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
6  STRESSED Oct06 Aug12 Jun24 May21 Apr07 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
SA-4   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO SECRET Sep29 Aug17       (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 113 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Oct23 Sep17 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00 11% 8.20    
3  CHURCHMEISTER Sep29 Aug26 Apr23 Mar26   (jon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
4  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Oct06 Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jul01 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.00    
5  NON TOXIC Sep17 Sep04 Aug18     (drysdale ne)HERRERA A 120 20.00    
6  TOKAMAK Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Nov19 Sep30 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  BUFFETT Oct06 Aug11 Jul22 May20 Nov24 (papaprodromou)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00    
 
SA-5   10/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARELY FUNTIONAL Sep30 Aug27 Aug04 Jul09 Jun11 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 4.00 53% 0.90    
2  DOS VICIOS Oct09 Aug10 Jun17 May28 May05 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 119 12.00    
3  DISCRETIONARY DAY Oct09 Aug27 Jul30 Apr30 Feb27 (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 122 3.00    
4  ANDY CAN U HEAR ME Sep30 Sep08 Jul28 Jun17 May07 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 3.50    
5  GEEZER Sep30 Aug05 Jan07 Dec18 Nov27 (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  MYSTIC FLYER Oct09 Sep08 Aug11 Nov27 Oct29 (mccarthy mich)FRESU ANTONIO 119 5.00 7% 14.10    
7  BOSS SULLY Sep02 Aug04 Jul23 May28 Apr21 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.00    
8  BUCK OWENS Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-6   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEVON Jun25         (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50    
SCR  FLAT ON Sep04 Jul08 May29 Apr30 Apr01 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00    
3  TORQUEWRENCH Oct01 Aug24 Aug06     (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.50    
4  GRANNY'S IPA Oct01 Jul28 Jun17     (cassidy james)SMITH E 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
5  RANGER JOE Sep15         (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  PAT CAN'T COUNT Sep17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 Mar04 (wallace jer)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 10.00    
7  CRYPTOHOLIC Oct06 Sep23 Sep01 Jul30 Jun04 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
SA-7   10/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX MAGPIES (IRE) Sep29 Nov19       (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00 8% 10.90    
  (by FAST COMPANY out of LIKE ME by DUKE OF MARMALADE (IRE))
2  NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Aug19 Jul28 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 6.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of PONTY ROYALE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
3  PIONEER PRINCE Jan21         (mandella richard )SMITH E 121 3.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
4  MOBE TOWN Jul28 Nov05 Oct21 Sep10   (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 121 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of EMPRESS OF MIDWAY by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  PETCOFF Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 Jun03 Feb19 (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00 39% 1.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
6  CLASSICAL Oct01 May04       (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 121 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
7  DR. SOULFIRE Oct01 Aug28 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of MIDST by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
8  VEGAS BURNER Oct01 Apr22 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
SCR  NYQUILER Sep23 Sep04 May20     (saavedra anth)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 30.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of YANQUEE REIGN by YANKEE VICTOR)
SCR  KHANTARO D'ORO         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROMAN CERES by ROMAN RULER)
 
SA-8   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDYSRUBY Sep03 Aug04 Mar11 Jan07   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
2  SWEET MOTHER MARY Sep01 Aug18 Jun16 May26   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 119 8.00    
3  JENSCO Aug24 Aug05 Apr30     (shirreffs joh)FRESU ANTONIO 119 2.50 13% 6.60    
4  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Jun16 May14 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 119 15.00    
5  KRISTI'S TIGER Sep29 Aug05 Jul03 May29 Apr28 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
6  GOOD AS GONE Feb19 Jan02 Oct23 Oct01 Aug21 (knapp stev)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 6.00    
7  REPORT Oct07         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
SA-9   10/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY RANSOM Sep08 Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 (sierra javie)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 20.00    
2  LUKA GRAZIE Sep24 Aug31 Jul28 Jun24 Nov18 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 15% 5.90    
3  CATEMACO Sep30 Aug27 Nov05 Sep25 Aug28 (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 5% 18.30    
4  GRAZED Sep29 Aug11 Jul28 Jun10 Aug18 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Sep30 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16   (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 119 10.00 7% 13.20    
6  MEESH Sep08 Aug05 Jun17     (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 119 6.00    
7  TOM AND JAZZY Sep30 Aug31 Aug06 Jul09 Jun16 (puype mike)HERRERA A 119 4.00    
8  GYPSY TEARS Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Aug05 Jun24 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.