Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-4   WIN (5/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/3)-(5/10/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/3)-(5/10/8/9/3)-(5/10/8/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
RUI-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
RUI-11   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANTOM RAIN Aug20         (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 10.00    
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of PHANTOM TOUCH by GHOSTLY MOVES)
TAZ MARKING         (mcqueen)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00    
  (by MARKING out of SCAMMONY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
FEARLESS YODA         (vurgun zafer)VILLANUEVA C 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FEAR THE KITTEN out of YODA BLUE by SUAVE PROSPECT)
HEZEKIAH'S RULE         (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 15.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of RULES LIKE A GIRL by ROMAN RULER)
HOLY BULLET Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
WILD DISTRACTION         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 117 8.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of DUBLIN DIVA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
I'M A DREAMER TOO Jun23         (munoz guadal)MEDINA ANTHONY 120 30.00    
  (by MARKING out of ARTIC CRUSH by ARAGORN)
LEIGHTON'S DREAM         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 5.00 8% 12.10    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PROMISED PLEASURE by SKIP TRIAL)
NOT TO FANCY Aug20 Aug06 Jul21     (danley fr)AMAYA RUIZ 117 4.50    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of ROLL BLOOMERS ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
10  COMFORT J BYRD Aug19 Jul30 Jun25 Jun09   (z)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by COMFORT out of MOCKINGJAY by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  WAY TO RULE Jun23         (fincher w)HEBERT J 117 8.00    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of SWAPPING LANES by THE WAY HOME)
SCR  F S TSUNAMI         (mcqueen la)RODRIGUEZ H 117 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of MISTY LAKE by SALT LAKE)
 
RUI-7   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Overnight Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PASSION BELLE Jul14 Jun24 May07 Apr29 Apr15 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
  (by EXCESSIVE PASSION out of ONE TOUGH BELLE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
DELIA Jul23 Jun24 Mar05 Jan29 Dec01 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 4.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of SHEZAPIRATE by DESERT GOD)
BELLA DONA Mar12 Oct30 Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CHARLOTTE'S DRONE by B. G.'S DRONE)
CORRINA CORRINA Jul23 Apr09 Mar05 Feb05 Dec12 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 1.80 19% 4.40    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of SCARED MONEY by CARSON CITY)
BYE BYE BRANDI Apr09 Mar05 Jan29 Dec19 Dec06 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 12.00    
  (by MARKING out of RINGBACK by GONE HOLLYWOOD)
TIGHT FITTIN JEANS Jul23 Apr02 Mar07 Feb05 Jan01 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CURVY KITTEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 
RUI-11   09/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Overnight Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY STORM Jul16 Jun25 Apr23 Apr15 Mar19 (g)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ZARDANA by CRIMSON TIDE)
GODDARD Jul30 Jun16 May21 Apr08 Mar26 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 9% 10.50    
  (by TAPIT out of JACKPOT JOANIE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SHERIFF BROWN Jun16 May21 Apr02 Mar05 Nov04 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 1.80 17% 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) Apr17 Mar07 Dec01 Oct10   (hone bart)LOPEZ KARLO 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SARBACANE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Jun18 May21 Apr15 Mar14 Jan10 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LA MILANESA by MR. GREELEY)
CLAVICHORD Jul30 Jun16 May21 Apr08 Mar12 (buechle)FUENTES T 123 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SOLO PIANO by EMPIRE MAKER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.