Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sacramento
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAC-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAC-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/5/1)-(7/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAC-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/2/5)-(2/6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAC-4   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(2/6/4/1)-(5/1/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAC-5   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(5/1/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(5/1/6/7)-(2/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAC-6   WIN (5/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/7)-(2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/7)-(2/4/6)-(1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAC-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(10/4/8/2/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAC-8   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(10/4/8/2/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
SAC-9   WIN (10/4/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/2/7)-(10/4/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/2/7)-(10/4/8/2/7)-(10/4/8/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAC-1   07/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DI LAURIAN Jun17 May26 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00    
MIDNIGHT METAL Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Dec11 (thomas jame)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 1.40 34% 1.90    
GORDY'S BOY Jun25 Jun03 May07 Mar25 Mar04 (preciado )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 2.50 20% 4.10    
TAKE THE TWO TEN Jun30 May27 May05 Apr16 Mar31 (torres arnold )HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
MR BOTANICALS Jul01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
SAC-2   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SANDY SURPRISE Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr16 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 125 6.00    
STORMIN GALILEO Jun25 Jun03 May13 Apr28 Apr07 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXTRA INNINGS Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May28 May06 (fran)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 5.00    
BOSS OF THEMOSS Jul02 Jun17 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 (preciado guil)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.00    
MR. CLUTCH Jun30 May28 Apr01 Dec09 Sep18 (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 125 3.00 8% 10.80    
ALMANERA (IRE) Jun10 Apr23 Mar12 Jan13 Dec04 (thomas ruby)OROZCO IRVING 125 1.60 65% 0.50    
 
SAC-3   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAD BOD Jun24 May21 Apr29 Apr14 Mar12 (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAY JUAN Jun16 May28 Apr28 Apr02 Nov04 (ramos jesus)OROZCO IRVING 121 4.00    
FULLY LOADED Jul02 May28 May05 Apr28 Mar12 (greiner gary)FLORES P 121 2.00    
MUAY THAI (IRE) Jun16 May27 Apr23 Mar26 Feb17 (trujillo victo)ROMAN A 121 1.80    
SPEEDY TOM Jul04 Jun18 Aug28 Aug21 Aug14 (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 12.00 16% 5.40    
R M C HOOK'EM Feb17 Jan22 May08 Apr17 Mar13 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00 56% 0.80    
 
SAC-4   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK MYSTERY Jun23 Jun04 May27 Apr23 Apr08 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 122 3.50    
RAY AND KRIS         (trujillo victor )PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ONE BIG SMILE Jun23 May28 May06 Apr16 Apr01 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50    
VALERIE Jul08 May21 May12 Apr29 Apr08 (becerra iva)BURNHAM MATILDA 107 6.00    
DANZ TILL TEN Jul01 Jun09 May19 Mar17   (howey quinn)ALVARADO T 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
JERSEY BABE Jun24 May27 May04     (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00    
BRONZE ONE May28 May13 Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 (ramos jesus)HERRERA HUGO 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
SAC-5   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORAL CAT Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 May14 (franko daniel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of MADRE LUNA by RAHY)
HAYWOOD Jun25         (moger jr)DURAN F 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of LETMETAKEASELFIE by MORE THAN READY)
REGAL REDWOOD Jun25         (moger jr)OROZCO IRVING 120 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LUSCIOUS LONNA by BENCHMARK)
AUTISM INCLUSION Jul08         (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of SOUTHERN SEED by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
CONQUEST SECRET         (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 117 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISS SEA CUP by SEA OF SECRETS)
BOOK EM TAMO Jun25         (steiner jack)ALVARADO T 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TAMARANDO out of BOOK'EM BABE by JOHANNESBURG)
LAKERVILLE ROSE         (davis c)FLORES P 117 10.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of TOPS IMAGE by HE'S TOPS)
 
SAC-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE MOTION May27 Mar04 Jun25     (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 125 3.00 14% 6.20    
JAYS ANGEL Jun25 Jun09 May27 May21 Apr23 (franko da)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.00    
SUE GENEROUS Jun25 Jun17 May26 Apr29 Apr08 (guerrero emilio)FLORES P 122 5.00    
SHEZA QUEEN BEE Jul08 Jun18 Apr28 Mar18 Feb11 (preciado guil)RIVERA SANTOS 122 12.00    
THREAD COUNT Jun09 May20 Apr15 Mar09 Jan16 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
LADY GREGORY Jun25 May27 May04 Apr16 Apr01 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
JERSEY STAR Jun18 May26 Jan06 Nov18 Oct28 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DRAW NEAR Jul01 Jun16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
 
SAC-7   07/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG DIFFERENCE Jul01 Jun23 May05 Mar19 Feb05 (mcdaniel )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 15.00    
BUTTONWOOD TREE Jun30 May29 May06 Jul28 Jul02 (bellasis tim)DURAN F 125 5.00 60% 0.70    
SNAKE ISLAND Jun16 May28 May05 Apr01 Mar12 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 122 10.00    
PORT O' CALL Jun11 May05 Apr09 Mar18 Feb18 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 11% 8.20    
RULER OF ANGELS Jul01 Jun11 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
DUPLICATION Jul04 Jun10 May26 Apr23 Mar26 (steiner jack)ALVARADO T 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  CORAZON DE LUCIA Jun18 May21 Apr23 Jan21 Dec20 (guerrero emili)HERRERA HUGO 122 12.00    
SCR  THANKS MAGGIO (ARG) May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar19 Feb11 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 2.00    
 
SAC-8   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBIE May29 May14 Apr23 Apr01 Mar12 (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 127 1.80 31% 2.30    
SCR  OUR BOLD PRINCE Jul04 Jun04 Apr23 Nov20 Oct28 (rich eduardo )AYUSO ARMANDO 125 5.00    
BLAZING JAMIE Jul04 Jun18 May20 Apr08 Mar12 (deli)ANTONGEORGI JR 127 3.00    
GRAZEN SUN Jul04 Jun04 May14 Apr26 Apr11 (wright blaine)ROMAN A 125 10.00    
STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Jun04 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Jul01 (moger jr)DURAN F 125 12.00 12% 7.60    
PLAYING HARDBALL Jul08 Jun11 May19 Feb26 Feb04 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 127 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
SAC-9   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BID ON THE PRIZE Jun05 Jan22       (eaton ter)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 6.00    
  (by SMART BID out of MY LOOLOO by PURE PRIZE)
SMILING FELON         (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SONOMA BRED by ALL THE GEARS)
ZEE PERFECT STORY Jul09 May27       (stortz marcia)PENA BRYAN 122 10.00    
  (by WHY NOT BE PERFECT out of SEA SIDE STORY by TALES NOT TOLD)
KERRY GOLD Jul04 Jun04 May04 Apr08 Mar09 (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of SMARTY CORN by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  BOBBED N LURED         (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 20.00    
  (by COACH BOB out of COUNT ME TWICE by ALYMAGIC)
TOWN PERFORMER Jul04 Jun11 May27     (tamayo isidro)DURAN F 122 8.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of SING AND TELL by ALYMAGIC)
MAJESTIC COTTON         (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of COTTON BAY by EL CORREDOR)
WESTERN CAPE Dec10 Nov18 Sep17 Sep02 Aug05 (lenzini micha)OROZCO IRVING 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
VINNIEBOB Jul09 Jun18 Dec11 Nov20 Nov06 (davis c)FLORES P 125 8.00    
  (by COIL out of ACLEVERSHADEOFJADE by CLEVER TRICK)
10  SLEW'S JOY Jul04 May27 May06 Apr15 Sep04 (moger ed)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of JOYFUL EMMA by TRIBAL RULE)
11  MY BUCKET LIST Jun24 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of Z Z TIGER by SMILING TIGER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.