Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/3/1/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-2   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(2/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(2/3/1/7)-(7/5/4/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-3   WIN (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/3/1/7)-(7/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/7)-(7/5/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-4   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(2/4/5/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-5   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/1/4/2)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/2)-(2/4/5/6)-(6/4/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-6   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(6/4/3)-(6/9/1/4/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/9/1/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
WO-8   WIN (6/9/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/4/8)-(6/9/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/4/8)-(6/9/1/4/8)-(6/9/1/4/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 2 ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IF YOU INSIST         (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 4.50    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of OK ONE MORE by INCLUDE)
FROST BITTEN         (krasauskaite lau)HUSBANDS P 118 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SPIDER DUST by BROKEN VOW)
PARTY ON         (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of NO CURFEW by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
VALYRIAN SKY         (ros)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of SAN ANDREA'S FAULT by GAUTENG)
JOHNNY GOLD         (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MERMAID OF HONOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
BEARING DOWN         (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of BEARALLLEGS by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
WO-2   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT O'TIPPERARY May26 Dec09 Nov11     (leblanc p)MORAN DAVID 124 20.00    
SMOKEN CHLOE Jun22 Jun03 May05 Dec10 Dec01 (mcclachrie deny)BOULANGER G 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
MUCHALINA         (attard c)MUNGER RYAN 122 4.00 13% 6.40    
HARD ROCK WARRIOR Jul01 Jun15 Jun01 Dec02 Nov19 (marrocco jason)MORENO OMAR 124 6.00    
SOCIAL DRINKER Jun29 Jun17 May12     (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CASTLETON Jun22 May26       (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
MISS LINDYSUE Jun03         (drexle)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.00 16% 5.40    
DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Jun17 May25 Jun25 Jun09   (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 10.00    
 
WO-3   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENAGERIE Jun26 Jun13 May23 Nov19 Oct08 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
P. S. RISING STAR Jul01 Jun16 May27 May07 Oct22 (hall philip)WALCOTT W 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
FOREVER DANISH Jun22 Jun01       (leblanc wa)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
TAKE CHANCES Jun16 May19 Dec10 Nov27   (paterson marjo)STEIN JUSTIN 118 10.00    
FRAULEIN VICTORIA Jun15         (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 113 6.00    
ASHLEE'S RING Jun15 May25 Apr29 Dec10 Nov17 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00    
ALCOM'SOUTINTHWASH Jun15 May19 Dec03 Nov19 Oct29 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEADING FORCE Jun16 May05 Sep17     (krasau)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00    
 
WO-4   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S B F F Jun03 May27 May13 Dec08 Nov27 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 123 3.00    
BILLYJANE Jun24 May13 Apr22 Dec08 Nov19 (hall philip)WALCOTT W 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOADED VIXEN Jun22 Apr30 Nov03 Oct07 Aug27 (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 121 10.00    
TAKOTA Jun23 May27 Apr22 Dec08 Nov19 (mcclac)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
LOADED QUESTION Jun03 May12 Dec11 Nov12 Oct27 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 8.00 7% 13.80    
ISHIYAYA Jun23 Nov19 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (mattine michael)VIVES SOFIA 116 4.50    
VERDEJO Jun03 May13 Apr22 Nov05 Oct08 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
 
WO-5   07/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINALIST Jun11 May21 Nov06 Oct30 Oct09 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
BET Jun29 May20 Apr30 Dec11 Dec02 (ladauceur haro)STEIN JUSTIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAILOR'S PASSION Jun25 Jun01 May14 Nov25 Nov04 (rombis de)WILSON JAYNE 122 4.00 57% 0.70    
STOP THE HUMBUG Jun15 Nov27 Nov11 Sep10 Aug26 (morden richard )VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
LION'S GOLDENHEART Jun17 May06 Aug05 Jun26 May27 (colbourne gordo)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00    
FLAT OUT VIXEN Jun17 May25 May06 Oct15 Sep15 (katryan ab)CAMPOS LUIS 119 2.00    
COLEYVILLE Jun29 Jun17 May19 Dec11 Dec02 (knight)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 2.50    
 
WO-6   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN GABLES Jun22 Jun02 Apr30 Nov24 Nov10 (macrae donal)CARROLL DECLAN 123 2.00    
JILL Jun22 Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 Sep24 (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
QUIET MADDELENA May27 Apr22 Dec01 Nov17 Oct11 (raghunath raven)VIVES SOFIA 113 15.00    
PERFECT PROVISION May19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan19 Dec28 (armata v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
OLD SECRETS Jun24 Jun02 May12 Dec11 Nov12 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
OLYMPIC FENCER Jun29 Jun10 May27 Nov25 Nov13 (katryan auste)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPANISH BEAUTY Jun23 Jun02 May19 May12 Apr22 (huarte fra)CAMPOS LUIS 123 4.00    
 
WO-7   07/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEBERRY FIELDS Jun11 Dec10 Oct29     (greer brando)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 3.00    
INDIANA ROAD Nov19 Oct09       (mchugh saul)SALLES LEO 120 20.00    
LIAM'S AWESOME Jun22 Jun11 May21 Nov19 Oct08 (chartrand-hoek)STEIN JUSTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SENSATIONAL SARAH Jun25 May27 Apr29 Dec01 Nov19 (mattine john)MUNGER RYAN 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
MARDENE Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 Sep03 (pion sylvain)FLORES ESWAN 124 2.50    
SILENT SKY Jun16 May14 Oct01     (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
WO-8   07/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANNA PLAY Jun29 Nov18 Oct27 Oct13 Aug27 (desouza bancroft)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
BABA'S GIRL Jul01 Jun15 Aug27     (hinds austin)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 20.00    
PERFECTLY LEGAL Jun15         (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 113 8.00    
NAVY BLUE ANGEL Jun23 May27 Dec09     (charalambous)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
LOADED MISTRESS Jun16 May27 May07 Dec09   (grant carl)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 10.00    
SECRET SUNSHINE Jun13 May27 May07 Dec09 Oct29 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50 27% 2.60    
SMART IRENE Jun29 Jun16 May19 Dec08 Nov18 (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 122 20.00    
FAVORITE CHANNEL Jun22 Jun15 May13 Jul21 Jun25 (armata)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SIXTOFIVE Jun29 Jun11 Dec09 Nov05   (armata jr)BYNOE DESEAN 115 6.00 27% 2.80    
10  IT'S A BIG SONG Jul02         (mcknight n)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.