Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Monday - May 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HST-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HST-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HST-4   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    PK3 (3)-(4/5)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITER Aug14 Jul24 Jul10     (heads barbar)WILLIAMS SCOTT 124 1.20 25% 3.00    
SHE'S ON FIRE Oct16 Oct02 Sep17     (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
JERSEYS IMAGE Oct16 Oct02       (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 124 10.00    
ENGLISH BAY TEDDY Oct16 Jul24       (snow mel)SANTO KIMAL 117 3.00    
BE SPARKY         (barroby frank )AEBLY FRASER 110 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
HST-2   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON W Apr30 Oct22 Oct02 Aug01 Jun05 (neigel tara)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 1.60 14% 6.00    
ONE FIFTY ONE Sep10 Jul31 Jun25 May29   (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
SHARPZAN Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Aug14 (vanoverschof r)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
BROKE AN BROKEN Nov27 Nov11 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 (jordan terr)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.50    
COCORITA May13 Jan17 Dec15 Nov24 Oct29 (beneen g)GOMEZ ROBERTO 115 8.00    
 
HST-3   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOBRAH Oct16 Sep17 Aug01 Jul16   (barroby frank )AEBLY FRASER 113 4.00    
MARYS TAPPIN SHOES Nov04 Oct16 Sep10 Aug22 Jul16 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 4.00    
VIVA LA VINO Oct16 Oct02 Sep10 Aug30 Aug14 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 2.50    
KAPALUA CANDY May21         (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
OSTRACIZE Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 Aug06 (mendoza edg)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
HST-4   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAKZONE May06 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 120 12.00    
KANDY KATIE May06 Oct22 Oct09 Jun26 May07 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
IMA DAREDEVIL Apr30 Dec08 Dec01 Nov05 Oct20 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  LASTING LIGHT May06 Oct15 Sep24 Aug30 Aug13 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 3.00    
ANIMA Oct15 Sep24 Aug14 Jul03 Jun12 (lemasuri)GOMEZ ROBERTO 120 4.50    
STORM CRUISER         (lav)MAMDEEN ROY 116 12.00    
HARLAN'S ANGEL May06 Oct15 Sep18 Aug29 Aug06 (krasner cind)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
HST-5   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPITS CHOICE May06 Oct15       (barroby frank )AEBLY FRASER 113 10.00    
CAIRO CRUSADER Oct08 Sep25       (head)REYES AMBROSIO 117 4.50    
BAK TO LIBERTY May06 Oct22 Oct01 Aug22 Aug01 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 117 2.50 74% 0.30    
JOSE JOSE Jun25 Jun05       (gilker robe)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 3.50    
MAGIC ROAD May06 Oct01 Aug22 Aug01   (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 117 5.00    
UNION MAN May06 Oct28 Oct08 Sep10   (condilenios )WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 12.00    
SCR  ROAD CLOSURE Oct01 Sep10 Aug13 Jul24   (macpherson )MORALES SILVINO 117 3.00    
 
HST-6   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANNY BAY ALI         (gilker r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 115 8.00    
VIVA CON WOW Jun26         (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 117 10.00    
CHI CHI'S SONG Aug13 Jun26       (forster dave)AEBLY FRASER 110 8.00    
LICORICE May06 Aug22 Jul24     (condilenios )WILLIAMS SCOTT 117 1.60 61% 0.60    
FREESTYLE May06 Oct01 Aug13     (head)REYES AMBROSIO 117 2.50 17% 4.90    
ELLAMEISTER May06 Oct08       (heads barbar)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 6.00    
ARUNDEL CASTLE May06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25   (pederson ke)KHELAWAN KERRON 117 8.00    
 
HST-7   05/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGH WITH ME Oct16 Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Aug07 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
TIZ VICIOUS May06 Feb17 Jan14 Dec26 Nov19 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 3.00    
SLEW'S DA BOSS Oct22 Oct08 Aug22 Jul17 Jun19 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 12.00    
VALUABLE COWBOY May06 Oct16 Sep18 Aug06 Jul23 (o'connell b)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
JUST MAKE BELIEVE Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug29 Jul16 (bremner bren)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 10.00    
ARCH PRINCE Oct22 Oct08 Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 (milburn peter)POWELL KURI 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
BABY GRAND (IRE) May06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 (milburn david)SANTO KIMAL 120 10.00    
DRILLER May06 Oct28 Oct09 Sep18 Aug22 (snow mel)AEBLY FRASER 111 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.