Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Camarero Race Track (Pr)
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CMR-1   03/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM4000C ($4K) Purse ($5.88K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOCHE ESTRELLADA Jul21         (correa salv)MONSERRATE ERIK null   24% 3.20    
GATA BRAVA         (garcia orozco )GARCIA JOMAR null      
PURA BRISA Dec09 Aug19       (calderon ang)HERNANDEZ ANDY null   52% 0.90    
OUTFORARIDE Dec24         (mercado marcia)ORTIZ JOSHUA null      
MASCARILLA (PR) Jul21         (johnson reese)ADORNO Y null      
 
CMR-2   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY ALW14406 ($0K) Purse ($14.406K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC GOLD Jul21         (capote r)CASTRO E null      
ITSMYLUCKYGIRL Jan27         (torres melvin)VELEZ I null   41% 1.50    
SIOMI C. Jul21 Mar18       (ojeda a)ADORNO Y null      
LADY FROSTED Sep13 Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 Apr26 (morales ram)SANTIAGO JAVIER null      
AUDITORA Jul21 Jan22       (morales raym)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   17% 4.90    
 
CMR-3   03/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM4000C ($4K) Purse ($6K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE GARDENS         (moralescastill)GARCIA JOMAR null   16% 5.40    
MISS KEEN Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 May15   (negron ricardo)DIAZ JR null      
BACCARAT HONOR Jul14         (class isaul)RAMIREZ ERICK null   33% 2.00    
DESIRADE         (morales ray)GUADALUPE JESUS null   14% 6.10    
IRISH THUNDER Feb25         (perez jorg)GONZALEZ L null      
ANOTHERSONGNDANCE Jul21 Feb25       (calderon angel )CRUZ ISMAEL null      
 
CMR-4   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY MCL14000 ($14K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A TROMPA LIMPIA         (calderon angel)CORREA JULIO null   14% 6.20    
FASHION COLOR         (torres erne)MONSERRATE ERIK null      
KING OF ORLANDO         (garcia orozco)RIVERA F null   14% 6.20    
GIANT GOLD Feb16         (molinari ange)VELEZ I null   14% 6.20    
BOLD ARROW         (nunez eliasib)DIAZ C null   38% 1.60    
HARRY EL GALLERO Feb16         (torres er)MONSERRATE STEVEN null      
DIARA MOON NIGHT Aug19 Jul08 May20 Feb11   (colorad)MALDONADO N null      
 
CMR-5   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY MCL4000 ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODELO NOIR         (garcia jos)RODRIGUEZ C null   10% 9.00    
REINA ALEGRE         (negron ricard)VELEZ I null      
SHE'S N THE MOMENT         (diaz mois)MONSERRATE STEVEN null   10% 9.00    
MARY         (morales raymon)GARCIA JOMAR null   10% 9.00    
LA EQUIVOCADA         (garcia v)DIAZ C null   10% 9.00    
SHEZA LADY         (baez n)ORTIZ JOSHUA null   10% 9.00    
GOLD SUN (ARG)         (cruz axe)MARTINEZ A null      
TEMPLAR'S LADY Aug19 Apr01       (negron ricardo)DIAZ JR null      
LA FUNDA         (texidor edwi)NAVARRO JOSHUA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.