Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/1/3)-(6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2/5)-(4/1/3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/4/2)-(6/1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/3/7)-(6/4/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(6/1/2/3)-(4/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/3)-(4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/3)-(4/6/7)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(2/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/3/4)-(2/6/5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5/4)-(2/1/6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/5)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/5)-(5/4/2)-(2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
SA-9   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/4/8/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOINITTHEHARDWAY Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 Sep11 Aug07 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of VIRTUOSO by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  CONQUISTAR Feb05         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY MISS CHIFF by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  SWEET TROUBLE Jan28 Jan06 Dec02     (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  RUBY NELL Jan22         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 18% 4.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  MONIQUE Nov25 Oct23 Aug21     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 10.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ECONOMY OF MOTION by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
SA-2   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANGRE AZUL Feb10 Jan06 Dec10 Nov26 Jan23 (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  FLATTERWITHJEWELS Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 Oct23 Sep16 (pineda milto)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
3  STARSHIP SKY Feb10 Dec26 Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 (saldana reed)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
4  RIGHTEOUSLY Jan06 Oct23 Sep05 Aug04 Jun25 (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  SPRING SPINNING Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 Sep04 (saldana reed)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 ★    
6  SHVERE ARBETER Feb10 Jan15 Jan06 Dec17 Oct23 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00    
 
SA-3   03/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 35 M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING AMY Feb05 Dec02 Nov05 Oct10 Sep22 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 118 20.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FLAMIN AMY by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
2  WHIMSICAL HEIR Dec03         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.60 23% 3.40    
  (by ORB out of QUIZZICAL by CINDAGO)
3  HAUTE CHAULKOLATTE         (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 8.00 ★    
  (by ACCLAMATION (GB) out of CHAULK O LATTEY by SILIC (FR))
4  KISS MY KAT Jan22         (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of QUITE A STORMKAT by BERNSTEIN)
5  ELUSIVE CLASS         (agarie rick)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 12.00    
  (by GREAT STUFF out of YUMIKO'S STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
6  BOLD CHOICE Feb12 Dec03 Mar18 Feb19 Jan30 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 126 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of BLAMEITONTHECAT by COWTOWN CAT)
7  SCATCHMEJAMIN Aug06         (jones p)LOPEZ REYNOSO 126 8.00 ★    
  (by POWER JAM out of SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
8  ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE Feb03         (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SANDI'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
SA-4   03/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP OF MY GAME Feb11 Jan21 Dec10 Dec02 Nov13 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
2  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Jan29 Oct28 Sep25 Aug19 Jul29 (periban jorg)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  KRIXUS FLASH Dec16 Nov25 Sep16 Sep01 Jul24 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  MENTIROSA Jan21 Dec10 Nov04 Oct15 Sep18 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
5  HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Dec10 Oct30 Aug26 Jul04 May20 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
6  LET HIM DO Dec10 Dec03 Oct30 Aug26 Aug11 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
SA-5   03/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY ACT Feb04 Jan06       (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  TEMPTING PROSPECT         (gaines carl)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00 6% 16.30    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of TIZN'T CAUGHT by TIZNOW)
3  STAR PROSPECT Feb03 Jan08 Nov27 Nov06   (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 5.00 ★    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  BRONKO NAGURSKI Feb03 Jan07 Dec16     (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUNDAY RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  SILVER N BLACK Feb11 Jan22 Dec16 Oct15 Sep24 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.00    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of BEALE STREET BELLE by TAPIT)
6  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Feb03 Jan08 Nov18 Aug11 Jul23 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of ONLY YOU BABE by THORN SONG)
7  J D'S RUDE BOY Feb03 Jan08 Dec11     (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 6% 15.80    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NORAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
SA-6   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPERMAN Feb05 Jan06 Dec16 Nov27 Nov06 (dea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
2  LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Feb05 Jan06 Dec11 Nov24 Oct10 (morfin sergio)MALDONADO E 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  OUTRIGHT Feb05 Jan06 Dec18 Nov05 Oct10 (pineda milt)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.00 ★    
4  NO HANG CHARLIE Jan29 Dec17 Oct09 Jul24 Jun03 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 2.50 ★    
5  KING OF SPEED Jan21 Nov26 Nov04 Sep24 Sep10 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Feb10 Feb04 Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 (campuzano l)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
 
SA-7   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROLE LOMBARD Jan07 Nov20 Nov05     (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  UNCONTROLLABLE Jan28 Dec10 Oct08 Sep05 Jul22 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.20 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN TEMPER Jan27 Jan02 Nov24 Nov05   (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
4  GOLDEN AGAIN Jan29 Jan07 Dec09 Oct29 Sep22 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00 ★    
5  NYVAN Feb12 Jan02 Dec02 Nov05 Sep09 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  TOOTUFFTOSWALLOW Jan02         (wallace jerry)BRAVO J 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  BIG HOPES Jan29 Sep05 Aug13     (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
 
SA-8   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Jan15 Dec10 Oct28 Sep24 Aug13 (mccarthy s)VAN DRAYDEN 124 8.00 ★    
2  ORDER AND LAW Dec31 Nov25 Oct16 Sep03 Jul24 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
3  BALADI Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 Dec11 Nov11 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
4  ROYAL ACT Jan28 Dec31 Nov04 Jul01   (eurton peter)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
5  BOLD ENDEAVOR Jan15 Dec31 Oct16 Sep04 Jul24 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  IMPOSSIBLE TASK Feb03 Dec31 Nov06 Oct08 Sep04 (ortiz s)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
7  CLUB ASPEN Feb03 Nov05 Oct09     (lewis craig)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 8.00    
 
SA-9   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HACKING IT UP Feb05 Nov27 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  ZOOKEEPER Feb03 Dec02 Oct23 Aug26 Aug07 (hanson ryan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
4  POST FACTO Feb03 Jan08 Nov12 Oct10 Aug21 (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 ★    
5  ZIO JO Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 Dec26 Oct29 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
8  LOW EXPECTATIONS Jan15 Dec26 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  DE LA LUNA Jan21 Jan02 Dec04 Nov12 Oct09 ( )TBA null      
SCR  PAULLIAC (IRE) Feb03 Dec04 Nov12     ( )TBA null      
SCR  PLEASE FOCUS Feb05 Dec18 Nov18 Oct22 Sep23 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.