Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINTECENTS Sep03 Jul04 Jun04 May07   (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
DEVIL MOON Aug13 Mar26 Feb25     (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
ONE MORE BID Sep04 Aug05 Jun04 May14 Mar27 (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
DANCING RINCA Sep03         (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
LORD SHELDON Aug04 Jun18 May14     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 6.00    
KEY PLAYER Sep03         (callaghan simon)FREY KYLE 120 20.00    
CHICAGO SOLDIER (IRE) Sep03         (glatt mark)SMITH E 120 5.00    
ONE TIME MARK Aug25 Jun19       (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00    
 
SA-2   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EQUILOVE (IRE) Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jun25 May30 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 112 12.00    
SATURDAY HEIST Sep09 Aug11 Jun25 Jan16 Jan02 (brinkerhoff v)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
BOWL OF CHERRIES Sep04 Aug05 Mar19 Feb11 Jan21 (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00    
ANNIE GRAHAM Aug26 Aug06 Jun10 Apr15 Jan29 (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 124 1.20 33% 2.10    
LITTLE RACHEL Sep17 Jul29 Apr30 Apr10 Feb27 (bonde jeff)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
TIZ A MASTER Mar18 Feb11 Jan28 Jan02   (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 5.00    
 
SA-3   10/01/2022 6600ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Sep03 Jul24 Jun18 Apr30 Apr02 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BELARDO out of MAGNIFICA by MOUNTAIN CAT)
BREAKPOINT (CHI) Sep10 Jun19       (drysdale neil)BAZE C 124 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SAFAWI by SEEKING THE DIA)
DICEY MO CHARA (GB) Sep03 Jul24 May30 Apr30 Mar12 (powell leonar)CURATOLO RYAN 122 3.00    
  (by ADAAY out of LEONICA by LION CAVERN)
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Sep03 Jul31 May30 Apr30 Mar25 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of OUTSTANDING by GALILEO)
TROPICAL TERROR Sep10         (cassidy james)SMITH E 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN BALLS (IRE) out of OCEAN STYLE by OCEAN SOUND (IRE))
CASH EQUITY (FR) Jul31 May22 Apr16     (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00    
  (by TORONADO out of FUNNY CRAZY by CHICHICASTENANGO (FR))
 
SA-4   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 Jun07 May07 (engler jeff)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 12.00 8% 11.70    
SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Sep05 Jul29 Jul04 May29 May13 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00    
ANGEL NADESHIKO Sep11 Jul30 Jun12 May15 Apr15 (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
FUN TO DREAM Sep04 Jul28 May28     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 52% 0.90    
ANACAPA Sep04 Jul22 Jun17     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 118 4.00    
KRISTI'S TIGER Sep05 Aug07 Jul08 Jun19 Jan23 (bell r)SMITH E 122 6.00    
 
SA-5   10/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) Sep03 Jul31 Jun18     (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
  (by ALHEBAYEB out of DRUMCLIFFE DANCER by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND (GB))
IRIDEO (ARG) Sep03 Jul24 Jun12 May14 Apr16 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by EASING ALONG out of INFILTRADA by ALL AMERICAN (AUS))
BEYOND BRILLIANT Jul31 Apr30 Mar05     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 126 1.20 27% 2.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUMMER ON THE LAWN by FIRST DEFENCE)
TARANTINO Sep03 Jun19       (moger jr)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of WITHOUT DELAY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
PRINCE ABAMA (IRE) Sep10 Feb05       (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ABAMA LADY by MR. GREELEY)
KANDEREL Aug05 May29 Apr10     (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of STORMICA by STORM CAT)
 
SA-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C Z ROCKET Aug27 Jul23 Jan14     (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CITY ZIP out of SUCCESSFUL SARAH by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
FORBIDDEN KINGDOM Apr09 Mar05 Jan29     (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
HOWBEIT Aug27 Jul30 Jul02     (glatt mark)SMITH E 122 8.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
NONE ABOVE THE LAW Sep03 Aug06       (miller peter)BRAVO J 122 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LEGALLY BLANCA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SUPER OCHO (CHI) Sep04 Jun22       (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
  (by DUBAI SKY out of BERRY BLOSSOM by GRAND REWARD)
KID CORLEONE Aug27 Jul22       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 4.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of CORLEONE by BALLISTIC BILLY)
SCR  TODO FINO (CHI) Sep03         (sanchez ama)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SUPERDOTADA by SCAT DADDY)
 
SA-7   10/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANE WAY Sep04 Jul30       (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CORDEROSA by ALDEBARAN)
AIR FORCE RED Sep03 Aug05 Jun12 Apr30 Apr02 (powell leonard)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
GOLIAD Sep03 Jul30 Jun19     (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CHOREOGRAPH by DYNAFORMER)
GREGORIAN CHANT (GB) Jul24 Jun11 May06 Mar25   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
COULTHARD (IRE) Sep04 Jul30 Apr09 Feb05 Jan02 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by COULSTY out of IAMNOANGEL by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Sep04 Jul16 Jun11 May07 Mar12 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 122 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Sep04 Aug05 Jun23 Jun11 May06 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 122 8.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REGGAE ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
DUBAI KEY (ARG) Sep04 Aug05 Jan05     (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by KEY DEPUTY out of DUBAI GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
TANGO TANGO TANGO Sep03 Jul31 May21 May01 Mar27 (sisterson jack)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of FIRST CONSUL by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
 
SA-8   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZUL COAST         (baffer)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 20.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SKY TREASURE by SKY MESA)
ROYAL SHIP (BRZ) Sep03 Jul30 May30 Apr10   (mandella richard )SMITH E 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELA VAL by VAL ROYAL (FR))
HIGH CONNECTION Sep03 Jul09 Jun11 May08 Mar26 (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FOREST LEGEND by WOODMAN)
COUNTRY GRAMMER Sep03 Jul30       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by TONALIST out of ARABIAN SONG by FORESTRY)
TRIPOLI Jul30 Jun19       (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
DEFUNDED Aug27 Jul30 May30 May08   (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
EXPRESS TRAIN Sep03 Apr30 Mar05 Feb05   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of I'M A FLAKE by MINESHAFT)
SLOW DOWN ANDY Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 Mar27 Feb19 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EDWINA E by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
SA-9   10/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($85K) 3 F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANDON'SMYLAWYER Aug19 Jul04 May29     (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
DELMONA (IRE) Aug11 Jul16 May07 Mar26 Feb25 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
SCR  LEXINGTON HUMOR Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 May14   (wong jonat)VAN DRAYDEN 120 12.00 6% 17.20    
COUNTESS ROSINA (IRE) Jul23 Jun12 May07 Mar13   (mullins jeff)CURATOLO RYAN 120 12.00    
CONNIE SWINGLE Sep02 Jul28 Jun11 May07 Apr09 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
PAMMY'S READY Aug19 Aug04 Mar26 Mar06 Jan29 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
GRACE ADLER Sep04 Jul28       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
TEZZARAY (GB) Aug20 Jul23       (miller)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00    
ISLAND OF LOVE (IRE) Aug20 Jul23 May29 May07 Mar06 (d'amato philip)BRAVO J 124 5.00    
10  BRIEFCASE GIRL Sep04 Aug12 May06     (gaines carla)SMITH E 120 5.00    
SCR  GEM MINE Jul23 Jun12 May07 Mar26   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-10   10/01/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DASH AWAY         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
MI MIMITA Aug25 Jul01       (wong jonathan)VALDIVIA JR 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  POETICA         (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
BROADWAY GIRLS Aug21         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 12.00 14% 5.90    
MIZZTIFY DOLL         (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
CAHUILLA Sep10 Aug20 Jun11     (o'neill doug)BAZE C 120 8.00    
THE DANCE BETWEEN Aug25         (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00    
PLEASANT WAVE         (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 10.00    
CANDY CARAMEL Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul04   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50    
10  RAGTIME ROSE         (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
11  CHEEKIEST         (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00    
12  GOOD AS GONE Aug21 Jul23       (knapp stev)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 30.00    
13  KANTHARA Sep04         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.