Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Sunday - September 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHIE MCTROPHY Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (cone rodne)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES Aug06 Jul30 Jul17 Jun25 May28 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00 ★    
3  REDS LITTLE STAR Aug27 Aug05 Jun17 Jun04   (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 ★    
4  TEMPLE OF ZOOM Sep03 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22   (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  BLACKBERRY LISA Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (frey carson)BALROOP SVEN 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
 
CTM-3   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIATURE Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 (robertson je)WALCOTT W 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  PARKING PERMIT Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 May21 (walper dea)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 126 4.00 8% 12.10    
3  LINCHPIN STORM Aug13 Jul16 May14 Apr25 Mar17 (brown r)NELSON DANE 126 6.00 28% 2.60    
4  EXPLODE Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun19 May21 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 10.00 ★    
5  WALKTHELINE Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (mcdonald r)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 3.00 ★    
 
CTM-4   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKARITA Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul09 Jun25 (smith r)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 2.00 31% 2.30    
2  LIGHT FAST FEET Aug27 Aug13 Jul02 Jun17 May27 (hawkes darc)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 10.00 ★    
3  CHICA HERMOSA Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jun18 May21 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  KEKE KIMONO Aug20 Jul29 Jun17 May21   (smith craig )WALCOTT W 122 15.00 7% 12.40    
5  FAVORITE Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 Jul15 Jul04 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIPLOMATICA Aug20 Jul31 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.00    
7  SUDDENLY MISTY Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 6.00    
 
CTM-5   09/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THAT GOLD Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (russell mo)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 126 12.00    
2  MAKE'N TRACKS Sep02 Aug20 Jul22     (pozzo jack)BRYAN D 124 20.00    
3  LONESOME CAT Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 (ward anderso)WALCOTT W 126 2.50 ★    
4  FOREVER JIMMY Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun18 May20 (zielke madi)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 6.00    
5  GRAY ADMIRAL Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 (brown r)NELSON DANE 126 4.00 52% 0.90    
6  LONE PIONEER Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 ★    
7  CATS TOUCH Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (oberholtzer )ZENTENO RAFAEL 126 10.00 24% 3.20    
8  EXHI KID Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.00 ★    
 
CTM-6   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERUFFSIDEOFEXHI Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (zielke madison)NELSON DANE 123 1.50 40% 1.50    
2  MANGOTANGO Sep02 Jun11 May22 May06 Apr15 (cone rodney)WALCOTT W 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  IT'S ALEXUS Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jul23 Jun25 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 23% 3.30    
4  COUNT ON IT Aug13 Jul16       (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 ★    
5  SAYGE'S SPIRIT Sep03 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09   (joseph lio)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00    
6  CHATTY GAL Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (jones dan)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
7  FLASHY BIZ Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul16 (frey c)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00    
8  AMBER PRINCESS Sep02 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (joseph lio)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 4.00    
 
CTM-7   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINY TYCOON Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jun18 May21 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
2  FIRST BASE Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun03 (petrowski joa)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 8.00    
3  IMPERIALITE Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul10 Jun18 (ferguson laurie)BRYAN D 124 6.00 7% 13.00    
4  BRADYDABOSS Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul31 Jul15 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 17% 4.70    
5  GRADY'S SONG Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 126 5.00 21% 3.80    
6  PAULIE WALNUTS Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul02 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 4.00 8% 11.20    
7  BLAZING CHANNING Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul24 Jul17 (gilkyson ashl)LUNAN RICHARD 124 15.00    
8  MEAN STREAK Sep03 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 116 2.00 24% 3.20    
9  DANZA UNBRIDLED Aug21 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun18 (coney j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 10.00    
10  NORTHERN KID Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun12 May29 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 126 10.00    
 
CTM-8   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMING VINTAGE Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 (wyness)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  MARANGO Aug20 Jul29 Jun03 May21   (bell ken)ZENTENO RAFAEL 124 20.00    
3  TAKE NO PRISONERS Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 (hawkes darcy)WALCOTT W 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  MUCHO MAGIC Aug20 Aug05       (grieves ron)BALROOP SVEN 116 2.50 13% 6.60    
5  LIGHTENING ANNA Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 Jun18   (tin)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.00 11% 8.50    
6  KEEP YOUR COOL Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (humbke cheryl)NELSON DANE 124 8.00 8% 10.80    
7  ICE BOX INDY Aug06         (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 10.00    
8  HIGH KELLY SONG Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 6.00    
9  SOMETHIN HAPPENIN Sep03 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (rycroft tom)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
10  CHESTER SLEW Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 (biggs seymour)MUIR SHAMAREE 126 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.