Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECIOUS NOTES Aug19 Jul30 May20     (bell ken)ZENTENO RAFAEL 123 10.00    
MIDNIGHT TAKE Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
SHE'S EXPENSIVE Aug28 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 21% 3.70    
STEAMIN DEMON Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 Jul08 Jun24 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
PERPETUAL BLISS Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 (grieves ron)BALROOP SVEN 117 2.00 25% 3.00    
CHILLIN WITH CHIP Sep02 Jul30 Jul09     (kettleson )RIZO ALEXIS 123 6.00    
 
CTM-2   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE THE RAKE Aug19 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
I'M SATISFIED Jul09 Jun10       (biggs seymo)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
RUN ROSSCO RUN Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (petrowski jo)WALCOTT W 126 2.00 31% 2.30    
SPARK PLUG Sep03 Aug06       (cone rodne)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 10.00    
SPIRIT RACER Jul30 Jun11 May27 May07   (petrowski joa)MUIR SHAMAREE 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
REMAIN CALM Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 8.00    
 
CTM-3   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER LADY Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May07   (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
MUSICAL RELOAD Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (cone rodney)MUIR SHAMAREE 120 2.50    
HUMBOLDTSTRONG Sep02 Jul16 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00    
LITTLE HARPER Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 Jun03 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
IM A WHISKY GAL Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul01 Jun17 (bourne elige)BALROOP SVEN 117 10.00    
STOLEN JEWEL Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 May07 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 5.00    
 
CTM-4   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIDE EYED WILEY Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 (walper dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
PRENTON         (bott sharon)ZENTENO RAFAEL 123 10.00 11% 8.10    
COSMIC MARINE Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
GOLD'S UP Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun25 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
STREAKIN AGAIN Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jun11 May27 (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 6.00    
ZURI RISASI Sep07 Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Jun13 (amthor gor)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 8.00    
AMIGO QUERIDO Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 (petrowski jo)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 5.00    
 
CTM-5   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONVINCE Jul30 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
GO MAMA Aug27 Jul22 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 3.50 28% 2.60    
NO BAKK TALK Aug27 Apr30       (smith k)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 6.00    
MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (kenway thomas)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
CAPA BELLA Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 May27 Apr30 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 5.00    
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul16 Jun25 (gourdeau bri)ZENTENO RAFAEL 125 10.00 9% 10.10    
NO COLLUSION Sep02 Aug12 Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 (joseph lione)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
 
CTM-6   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITEROSE SPIRIT Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 122 8.00 12% 7.70    
LIL MISS MUD Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00    
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (petrowski jo)ZENTENO RAFAEL 125 4.00    
SWIFT SWALLOW Sep03 Aug20 May13     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
LASKA (CHI) Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00 31% 2.30    
STORM CANYON Jun24 May28 May13     (petrowski joan)BALROOP SVEN 120 10.00    
SAKKARY Aug27 Aug13       (cone r)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
APRIL'S IMPERIAL Sep03 Aug14       (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 6.00    
 
CTM-7   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORIST Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
EDGE OF OKOTOKS Sep02 Jul16 Jun17 May28 May13 (mcdonald rob)WALCOTT W 125 5.00    
MARYAM Aug27 Aug19 Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
BABS DELIGHT Jul22 Jul02 May13     (grieves ron)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 8.00    
LETS GO ALL THEWAY Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 Mar09 (kingston robert)NELSON DANE 125 8.00    
FAIRY BARB Aug19 Aug13 Aug05 Jul22 May13 (joseph lionel)FRASER MEAGAN 115 10.00    
SUGAR MOON Sep03 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50    
LUCY TREASURE Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
CTM-8   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES BARNEY Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
ROLLIN SEVENS Aug05 Jul08       (walper dea)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 126 8.00    
DREADNAUGHT Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 6.00    
BIG AL'S VISION Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 (frey carson)BRYAN D 126 3.00 16% 5.40    
SOUTHERN WARLORD Jul30 Jul23 Jun10 May21   (smith cra)ZENTENO JR 126 5.00 40% 1.50    
DAD'S LEGACY Sep02 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 12.00    
IRISH TRICK Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (brown r)WALCOTT W 126 10.00 6% 16.90    
BON PRIX Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 (wyness)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 2.00 9% 10.00    
DUNE D'ORO Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (hawkes dar)RIZO ALEXIS 126 15.00 6% 16.10    
10  ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 126 10.00    
11  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul10 Jul02 (joseph lio)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.