Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG MONDAY Aug05 Jul17 May29 May14 Apr30 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 123 10.00 10% 9.50    
2  MAGIC IN A HAT Aug29 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  CYBER SNEAKER Aug28 Aug20 Aug05 Jul04 Mar04 (gonzalez isa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.00 ★    
4  FASHION FACT Aug19 Jul23 Jun13 May20 Apr08 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
5  READY TO GET LOUD Sep09 Aug29 Jul31 Jun24 Jun17 (martin)FLETCHER D 120 6.00    
6  IRISH CONTESSA Aug08 Jul16 Jul02 Jun13 May28 (arceo salvador)TOHILL S 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
PRM-5   09/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24.111K) 2 F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAMEA Sep02 Aug21 Jul25 Jul01   (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00    
2  UNGLUED Aug21 Jul25 Jul01 Jun19   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
3  KID BIZ Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22   (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
4  FARRAH FOWLER Sep02         (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  SONG OF PRAISE Aug27         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 6.00 ★    
6  S C SKYLARS EMPIRE Sep02 Jul22       (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 ★    
7  SWEET STROLL Aug21 Jul25       (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
PRM-6   09/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LURCH Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Jun27 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 112 8.00 11% 7.80    
2  BRASSY FIRE Aug28 Aug19 Jul31 Jul22 Jul04 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  PRAIRIE WOLF Aug19 Jul15 Jun04 May14 Apr03 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
4  DRIVER Aug19 Feb17 Jan27 Jan12   (martin timothy )ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00    
5  HANDSOME HUNTER Aug19 Jul23 Jul11 Jun10 May24 (ibarra jose)TOHILL S 123 4.00 ★    
6  GETTINHOT'NHERE Sep03 Jul16 Jun11 Mar23 Mar03 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
 
PRM-7   09/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE ME AS I AM Sep03 Aug19 Jul24 Jun26 May29 (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00 16% 5.10    
2  NOCTURNAL MISSION Aug15 Jun04 Apr30 Mar23 Mar11 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 8% 11.00    
3  HARLONS COMMISION Sep02 Jul18 Jun24 Jun05 Apr30 (gonzalez isa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 7% 12.90    
4  BREW CASA Aug15 Jul16 Jul02 Jun06 May20 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 May20 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 120 4.50 ★    
6  BLUSHING SCARLETT Aug29 Aug20 Aug05 Jul03 Jun24 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 115 3.50    
7  MAD TABBY Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 Jun06 (villafranco m)CANCHARI ALEX 121 12.00    
8  JAZZ BRUNCH Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.00    
 
PRM-8   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLE IN RED Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun27 Jun04 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 ★    
2  FIREBAUGH Sep05 Aug21 Aug06 Jun27 Jun18 (clark r)TOHILL S 120 8.00 ★    
3  RUDY TOOTY Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul10   (jacquo)FLETCHER D 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  STREAKIN' EASY Aug27 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 Jun04 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  HEY NELLIE Aug13         (clark kir)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
6  TAPIT'S LADY Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 Jun05 (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 120 1.80 16% 5.40    
 
PRM-9   09/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL PACKIN MAN Sep05 Aug26 Aug20 Jul25 Jul11 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 32% 2.20    
2  EVIL KNIEVEL Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 Jun04 (wellingto)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  DIXIE THREE G         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
4  NATIVE HELLRAISER Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 Jun20 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 3.00 ★    
5  TACTICAL REBEL Sep05 Aug20 Aug12 Jul11   (leaple)FLETCHER D 124 8.00    
6  ONE LAST CHANT Sep05 Aug26 Aug01     (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 120 5.00 ★    
7  MILTON STREET Sep03 Aug01 Jul10 Jun27   (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
 
PRM-10   09/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.201K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE CRYSTAL Sep03 Jun17 Jun11 May27   (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
2  STOP THE STORM         (reuer sharlene)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
3  SAW THE SUNRISE Aug01 Jul15 Jun06 May15 Apr23 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  DIRT ROAD COWBOY         (reiste tim)CANCHARI ALEX 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
5  SOLE SURVIVOR Aug20 Aug01 Jul10     (tibbit)FLETCHER D 120 12.00    
6  MR. PRIME TIME Aug26 Jul16 Jun30     (pearson m)CORBETT W 120 15.00    
7  STROLL LIKN OUTLAW Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 Jun13 May14 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 3.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  HANDSOME STRANGER Aug15 Jul31       (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
9  SOUTHERN SMOKE Sep03 Aug12       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.