Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   09/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINE (ARG) Aug22         (magalhae)SEECHARAN C 120 15.00    
BOLD ARCH Aug23 Aug01 Jun19 Jun04 May21 (morrison jo)MORALES SILVINO 120 1.20 33% 2.10    
PARKER POINT Aug13 Jul17 Jun19 May29   (pederson kei)WILLIAMS SCOTT 124 6.00    
SET TO SHINE Aug01 Jul01 Jun04 May15   (head)REYES AMBROSIO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
BIG UNION Aug22 Aug01 Jun19 May28 May07 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 124 4.50    
SLEW'S BAK May15         (anderson r)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
HST-2   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFINITE PATIENCE Aug20 Aug01 Jul01     (head)REYES AMBROSIO 128 0.40 63% 0.60    
DAPHNE Aug22 Aug01 Jul16 Jun04   (forster )GOMEZ ROBERTO 120 5.00    
SOLARITY Aug20 Aug01 Jul01 Jun04 May14 (heads barbar)WILLIAMS SCOTT 119 6.00    
WE B THREE Aug22 Aug01 Jul01 Jun18 May29 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 118 8.00 8% 12.00    
KICK UP THE DUST Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May29 May07 (vanoverscho)KHELAWAN KERRON 115 15.00    
 
HST-3   09/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY GRAND (IRE) Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (milburn david)SANTO KIMAL 122 5.00    
LAUGH WITH ME Aug23 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
MASTER EWEN Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (maybin rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 12.00 8% 11.70    
MCMURPHY Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 Jun05 May21 (leaney p)SEECHARAN C 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
PINEAPPLE TIDBITS Aug30 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (topouzis de)MORALES SILVINO 117 6.00    
APPELLANT Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 May28 (jewell ian)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
SANAWAR Aug23 Aug07 Jul09 Jun12 May28 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 3.50    
 
HST-4   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD CLOSURE Aug13 Jul24       (macpherson)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 119 2.50 57% 0.80    
BACK SHACK Aug13         (macpherson )KHELAWAN KERRON 119 6.00    
TIME TICKER Aug22 Aug01 Jul16     (head)REYES AMBROSIO 119 5.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  TAPITS CHOICE         (barroby fra)MORALES GABRIEL 122 10.00    
UNION MAN         (condilen)GOMEZ ROBERTO 122 15.00    
MILITARY CROSS         (morrison jo)MORALES SILVINO 119 10.00    
PURSUE Aug13         (macpherso)SANCHEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
WICKED NIGHT         (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 122 12.00    
ROARING DESTINY Aug01         (miller ch)SEECHARAN A 119 12.00    
10  ASKMENOQUESTIONS Jul01         (heads barbar)WILLIAMS SCOTT 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
HST-5   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTER GENT Aug23 Aug01 Jul01 Jun04 May15 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 124 1.20 27% 2.70    
SYNERGY Aug23 Aug01       (heads barbar)WILLIAMS SCOTT 119 6.00    
BE QUICK Aug22 Jul01 Jun04     (mendoza ed)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 4.00    
FORT LANGLEY Aug23 Aug01 Jul01 Jun19 May21 (leaney patr)MORALES SILVINO 117 15.00    
UNCHARACTERISTIC Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04   (vanoverscho)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 5.00 27% 2.80    
AT ATTENTION Aug20 Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 May21 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
HST-6   09/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TESS ME Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jun18 Jun05 (henson rober)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 15.00    
ANAAMY Aug22 Jul31 Jul23 May21   (cloutier ma)MORALES SILVINO 116 6.00 8% 11.10    
SILK STILETTOS Aug22 Jul31 Jul10 Jul03 May29 (macpherson)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 116 2.50 25% 3.00    
COUNTESS CAT Jul31 Jul01 Jun12 May29 May07 (gregory s)SEECHARAN A 116 15.00    
QUALITY COMMAND Aug06 Jun25 Jun11 May07   (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 115 3.50 26% 2.80    
SOUTHERN LASS Aug13 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May15 (topouzis dem)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 8.00    
FLICKER DANCE Aug22 Jun25       (krasner cindy)SANTO KIMAL 116 8.00 6% 14.90    
PAGODA RIDGE Aug23 Aug06 Jul17 Jun18 May29 (jarvis p)GOMEZ ROBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  DONE THAT Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 (maybin r)SEECHARAN C 116 15.00    
10  LIVING SKY Aug29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 May07 (kras)REYES AMBROSIO 116 8.00 12% 7.50    
 
HST-7   09/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURROW DOWN Aug20 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 May08 (krasner cin)MORALES SILVINO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
AYELLOWROSEOFTEXAS Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 Jan08   (heads barbar)WILLIAMS SCOTT 121 12.00    
SHAMRA Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 May22   (mendoza ed)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
KLOEPATRA Aug22 Aug01 Jul16 Jul03 Jun04 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 121 8.00    
BELCARRA PARK Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 May29 May07 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 121 15.00    
MARYS TAPPIN SHOES Aug22 Jul16 Jul03 Jun11 May22 (snow mel)BALGOBIN RIDGE 121 15.00    
MISS THE HYPE Aug14 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 (maybin robe)KHELAWAN KERRON 121 30.00    
SCR  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun10 May20 (metz je)SCRATCHED SCRATCHED 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
VIVA LA VINO Aug30 Aug14       (heads barba)MORALES GABRIEL 121 20.00    
10  U DID IT Aug20 Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 May22 (mend)REYES AMBROSIO 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
HST-8   09/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST JIMMY Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 May22   (macpherson )MORALES GABRIEL 126 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TIZ A SWEEP by TIZNOW)
AROLLERCOASTERRIDE Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 Jun04 May14 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 126 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by CURLIN out of CATCH THE THRILL by A.P. INDY)
BOITANO Aug13 Jun19 May07 Jan30 Jan07 (snow mel)SANTO KIMAL 126 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CALLA LILY by PULPIT)
REGAL RIOT Aug20 Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 May22 (anderson r)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of REGAL RED by ON TARGET)
COUNTRIFIED Aug20 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 May20 (henson steve)WILLIAMS SCOTT 126 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of POUNDS TO PENNIES by EXCHANGE RATE)
SOARINGFORTHESUN Aug20 Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 May22 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by SUNGOLD out of RANDOM HIGHS by HIGH DEMAND)
STORMY BLUE Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 (lausten car)MORALES SILVINO 126 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BLUEGRASS GIN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ITSMYDAY Aug20 Jul29 Jul23 Jul09 Jun19 (vanoverscho)KHELAWAN KERRON 126 12.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of MAGIC VIXEN by TAPIT)
BETTER TONE Aug30 Jul31 Jul03 May29 May14 (condilenios )BALGOBIN RIDGE 126 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BETTER BE BETTER by SMART STRIKE)
 
HST-9   09/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'RE IN COMMAND Aug29 Aug07 Jul09 Jun26 May28 (gutierrez e)MORALES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
YOU DON'T OWN ME Aug30 Aug14 Aug06 Jul24 Jul17 (milburn d)SEECHARAN A 116 8.00    
MUSTACHIO Aug14 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (maybin robe)MORALES SILVINO 122 10.00    
FRANKIE MACHINE Aug29 Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (henson steve)WILLIAMS SCOTT 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
ACE DEUCE Aug14 Jul16 Jun18 May28 May14 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ERLICH Aug29 Jul31 Jul09 Jun19 May28 (anderson ro)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
VON DOM Aug23 Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (grieve larry)PEREZ AMADEO 124 6.00    
ONE FIFTY ONE Jul31 Jun25 May29     (mcneil jos)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.