Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - August 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   08/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($26.208K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SECRET BLARNEY Jul18 Jun25 Jun05 May28 Apr01 (young scott )JORDAN R 115 8.00 10% 9.40    
YEARS FLY BY Jul18 May20       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 21% 3.80    
RED WHITE AND LOUD Jul18 Jul08 Jun04 May23   (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 126 10.00    
SNAP'N TAP Jul18 Jun04 May14     (wellington tom)TOHILL S 124 3.50 25% 3.10    
SMART N INTUITIVE Jul18 Jun25 May22 Apr24 Feb09 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 126 4.00    
SCR  DISCREET INVASION Jul31 Jul18 Jun04 May23   (martinez )DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
KNIGHT COMMANDER Jun13 May20       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 128 2.00 11% 8.10    
 
PRM-5   08/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL DITTY'S KITTY Jul23 Jun11 May30 May16 Mar30 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
HOT CAVIAR Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 May27 May12 (lemburg mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
DERONDA Jul22 Jun18 Jun04 May23 May01 (villafranco )JORDAN R 115 3.50 23% 3.40    
FLIRTATIOUS SMILE Jul22 Jul10 Jun18 May16 May06 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  SUE HAPPY Jul18 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May23 (roe robert )GARCIA A 120 10.00    
CAMCORDIA Jul22 Jul03 Jun12     (martin e)BIRZER E 122 8.00    
ANIME DAY Jul10 Jun26 May30 May14   (clark r)TOHILL S 120 2.50    
 
PRM-6   08/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGGAM Jul23 Jul02       (murphy)FLETCHER D 119 15.00    
KOBE'S CAUSE         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
DARK WHISKEY Jun20         (mcshane d)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
DARK BARON         (young e)CORBETT W 119 4.00 10% 9.50    
ACCELERITAS Jun20         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 15.00    
DOING DAYS         (tracy tanne)GARCIA A 119 4.50    
QUARTERNIGHT         (fett brandi)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
SPUMONI FLOAT Jul17         (jacquot gene)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.00 18% 4.40    
 
PRM-7   08/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANGRIA SKY Jul23 Jul11 Jun20     (tibbitts dave)TOHILL S 119 3.00    
ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Jul23 Jun20       (rarick wade)JORDAN R 114 3.50 9% 10.20    
TEMPLE CITY RUN Jul02         (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
BABYS TIME TO SING Jul23 Jul02       (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
WILDATLANTICSTORM Jul08         (ashford ray)BIRZER E 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
BILLY WHO Jul02         (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 12.00    
IOWA CLUB Jul02         (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 4.00 12% 7.50    
ONE SOCK BILLY Jul11         (wellingto)TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
 
PRM-8   08/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILLEEN Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 May22 Mar26 (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
CONATIVE Jul23 Jun18 May29 May12 Apr29 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
SPEEDY FELLAR Jul24 May20 Mar26 Mar19 Jan20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
NEEDABETTERJOCK Jun27 May30 May23 Apr09 Mar24 (caldwell r)BIRZER E 122 2.00    
KWIK Jul17 Jun24 Jun13 Apr27 Apr04 (ibarra jo)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
RIVER CACTUS Jul15 Jul01 Apr29 Feb26 Jan09 (martin timot)JORDAN R 119 8.00    
FOXY ACE Jul24 May23 Mar31 Mar11 Feb20 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
 
PRM-9   08/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANX LEGACY Jul24 Jan15       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
ALL GOOD TIMES Jul08 Jun10 Apr03 Feb16 Jan23 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
BLESSED AGAIN Jul08 Jun10 Apr24 Mar18 Feb27 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 117 6.00    
CALL KRYSTAL Jun26 Jun04 May14 May01 Apr01 (von don)BIRZER E 122 3.50    
CLAY'S MOON STONE Jun10 Feb23 Jan19     (arnett jon )GARCIA A 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
HAILEY'S MELODY Apr30 Mar23 Feb25 Jan13   (offolter )DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
 
PRM-10   08/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24.111K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T MAKE ME Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 May27 May15 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
LET'S GO LACEY Jul16 Jun24 May15     (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
RISKY WHISKY Jul22         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 15.00    
BLITZED Jul01 Jun04       (leaple)FLETCHER D 124 15.00    
FREEIA TAP Jul10 Jun05 May15     (young e)CORBETT W 120 12.00    
FIREBAUGH Jun27 Jun18 Jun05 May20   (clark dick )GARCIA A 120 4.50    
TROUBLE IN RED Jul10 Jun27 Jun04     (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
SHELBY TO Jul22         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Jul22 Jul01       (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 6% 14.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.