Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVECOMMATWO Jul08         (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
ICE CUBE BABY         (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00    
SPENCERIAN Jul08         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00    
ALAS AND ALACK Jul02         (smith a)AVILES YAN 115 12.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  MY FOREVER FRIEND         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
GALACTIC TIDE Jul15 Jun19 May30 Apr30   (young c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 15.00    
 
LRL-2   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF SORTS Jul18 Jun14 May21 Apr23 Feb19 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
TOWERING GAZE Jun17 Apr27 Apr03 Mar26 Mar06 (goberdhan c)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 6% 15.20    
MY CANDY GIRL Jul08 May12       (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
I LOVE YOU Jul01         (capuano a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50 7% 12.60    
FOLLY Jul12 Jun22 Jun02 May21 May01 (maldonado jonath)AVILES YAN 118 15.00    
PIE KILLER Jul17 Jun19       (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  HASHTAG LUCKY Jul01 Jun17 May21 May01 Apr16 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80    
WITTY BANTER Jul11 Jun25 May21     (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
 
LRL-3   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEN MASTER Jun30 May26 Apr09 Mar26 Feb12 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.50 6% 14.70    
ROYAL SPY Jul15 Jun11       (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 12.00    
MAXIMUM IMPACT Jul08 Jun22 Jun10 Apr27 Mar25 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 112 4.50    
SCR  GOLDENIZE Jul15 Jun19 May21 Apr14 Mar27 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 121 3.00 13% 7.00    
BLUE COLLAR BOOM Jun24         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
ONE TEN Jul08 Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr30 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 117 6.00    
 
LRL-4   07/30/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EIGHT AND SAND         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.50 6% 16.20    
MO MONEY MO BETTA         (rivera jus)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 8.00    
HIDDEN ROD Jul21 Jun29       (cuprill l)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
DOCTOR DAVIS         (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 1.80 13% 6.90    
CELTIC SEA Jul13 Jul01 May05     (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 120 30.00    
LUNAR DASH Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
SCR  SUPERSTITIEUX Jul03 Jun10 Mar13 Feb05   (lopez berna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 8% 11.10    
CATCHTHISWINNER Jul19 Apr15       (munoz carlos)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.00    
IRISH MCDOUGAL May20         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 15.00    
 
LRL-5   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET GRACIE Jul10 Jun18 May27 May01 Apr10 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 118 12.00    
LITTLE BIT OF THAT May27 May08       (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 116 8.00 6% 15.30    
DRY WELL Jul10 Jul02 Jun10 Apr14   (walters henry)KARAMANOS A 116 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL WHISPER Jun18 May13       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 116 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  CHARMING WAY Jun11 May19 Apr09 Feb26 Jan28 (meyers f)NO RIDER 116 8.00 12% 7.40    
PETITION PRAYER Jun18         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 4.00 18% 4.50    
DIVINE HUNTRESS Jun11 May20 Apr09 Feb19 Jan19 (motion h )CARRASCO R 116 1.40    
 
LRL-6   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGIE'S HEAVEN Jun26 May14       (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 12.00 7% 13.80    
MATTITUDE Jul03 Jun05 May06 Apr22 Mar20 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 121 5.00    
SPUN GLASS Jun25 Jun05 May20     (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
GOLDEN CAN Jun22 May26 May19     (elamri hassan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 7% 13.10    
ELLANATION Jul03 Jun04       (trombetta m)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DENDROBIA Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 Apr23   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00    
CAN THE QUEEN Jun19 May20 Apr23     (sanchez-s)CARRASCO R 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER Jul10 Jun12 May26     (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 116 10.00    
ISLAND PHILO Jul19 Jun18 Jun05 Apr28 Apr15 (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 119 30.00    
 
LRL-7   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOCAL MOTIVE May21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29   (salzman e)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
SUPER LOVE Jun19 May05 Apr16     (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
AL LOVES JOSIE Jul09 Jun17 Mar11 Feb21 Jan30 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 5.00    
ALOTTAHOPE Jul02 Jun11 May21 May07 Jan29 (robb j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  UNCLE IRISH Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.50 9% 10.30    
BUFF HELLO Jun27 Jun04 May14     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 116 10.00    
CYNERGY'S STAR Jul15 Jun19 May27     (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 12.00    
 
LRL-8   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWTIME CAT Jun25 May19       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 30.00    
KENNY HAD A NOTION Jul07 Jun23       (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 119 30.00    
SCR  MATTA Jul18 May29       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  ALWAYSINAHURRY Jul10 Jun19 Jun10     (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00    
JAXON TRAVELER May21 Apr21 Mar19 Jan29   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Jul03 Jun17 May15     (capuano dale)ALVELO C 121 10.00    
DOUBLE CROWN Jul04 Jun18 Jun05 Mar24 Feb21 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00 8% 11.10    
GRATEFUL BRED Jul18 May21 Apr23     (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
YOUNGEST OF FIVE Apr16 Mar19 Jan29     (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
 
LRL-9   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDIN WITH BIDEN Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr20   (reid e)PENNINGTON F 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
TAPPIN CAT Jul07 Jun04 May25     (capuano g)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  ARMANDO R Jun12 May21 Apr22 Apr02 Feb20 (dilodovico damon)RUIZ JORGE 120 3.50    
PLOT THE DOTS Jun19 Jun04 May08 Apr23 Mar26 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
TREASURE TROVE Jun26 May20 Apr21 Mar26 Mar04 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 120 6.00    
COMMANDEER Apr02 Jan29       (toner jam)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
MAGIC MICHAEL Jul09 Jun14       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-10   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD OF FOOLS Jul14 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May29 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 15.00 7% 13.50    
DONTCROSSFUZZY Jan20         (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
SCR  RAHMER Jul10 Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 Jan16 (barr dona)HERNANDEZ A 126 2.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  REMEMBERING WILBUR Jun26 May27 Apr22 Apr03 Mar18 (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 115 4.00    
LOADED SNIPER Jun18 May13 Apr22 Mar19 Feb20 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00 8% 11.50    
BOURBON AND ICE Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 May06 Apr16 (magana j)AVILES YAN 121 2.50    
MARYLAND PRIDE         (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50    
FLANK SPEED Jun18 May29 Apr28 Apr16 Jan04 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCOTTY BROWN Jul11 May29 May06 Mar25 Feb16 (cibelli j)CARRASCO R 126 5.00 9% 10.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.