Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   07/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO LEGIT Jul08 Jun18 May26 Apr17   (mck)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00    
WHISKEY VICTOR Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 May20   (polsinelli domin)CRAWFORD J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PUGIN (IRE) Jul08 Jun17 Jun05 May15 May01 (patykewich)ANDERSON JODEIEN 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
PEPPERONI Jul07         (dunslo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 6.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jul07 Jun10 May12 Apr17   (tiller rober)CARROLL DECLAN 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
YZERMAN Jul08 Jun17       (polsinelli domi)DEFREITAS C 124 15.00    
PRIDE AND PASSION Jun17 May20 Apr24 Mar26 Feb16 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.00    
 
WO-2   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUTALITY Jul10 Jun26       (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
SOCIETY EXPRESS Jul15 Jun30 May27 May13   (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 6.00    
MR. COMMISH Jul08 Jun18 Jun04     (pion sylvain)MUNOZ LARRY 120 12.00    
CHOICE PLAYER Jul08 Jul01 Jun11 May20   (sadler ronald )STEIN JUSTIN 120 10.00    
SOCIAL JUSTICE Jul15 Jun11       (pollock bruce)JONES SLADE 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ANSELMO Jun30 Jun19       (tharrenos )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 8.00    
SUMMER HARRY Jun30 Jun11       (villeneuve fra)FLORES ESWAN 120 3.50    
SON OF MY FATHER Jul12 Jul04       (lafond e)SALLES LEO 122 20.00 9% 10.70    
 
WO-3   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALADA Jun17 Jun02 Apr30     (banach d)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
YOU THRILL ME Jun30 Jun17 May12     (mohabir chetram)DEFREITAS C 122 20.00    
SKINNY DIPPIN Jul09 Jun19 May27 Apr30 Mar13 (drexler martin)FLORES ESWAN 120 2.00    
DUSTY'S CHANCE May26         (attard c)MORAN DAVID 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
TERRIFIC LADY Jul16         (pion sylvain)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.00    
POSITIVE (GB) Jul07 May27 May13     (dipaola sant)CONTRERAS LUIS null      
IVICTORY Jul08 Jun12 May15     (yu danny)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHAZEEN May12         (eshelman bonn)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 10.00    
 
WO-4   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT THE POINT Jul15         (armata v)SALLES LEO 121 6.00    
CRYPTIC CREED Jun23 Jun10 Feb24 Feb05   (tharrenos wi)CARROLL DECLAN 118 12.00    
SOCIETY JOE Jun19 May06       (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
TRINITY GOLD Jun23 Jun03 May15     (attard kevin)CONTRERAS LUIS 125 2.00    
MUROMEC Jul15 May27 May19 Mar12 Feb12 (tharrenos will)STEIN JUSTIN 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
FIFTH SEASON         (ma)BOULANGER CHANCE 123 10.00 21% 3.80    
GENDRAGON Jun23         (boreland d)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 8.00    
STOP THE HUMBUG Jul10 Jun23 May15 May01   (morden ri)WILSON JAYNE 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
WO-5   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAME AGAIN DOC Jul08 Jun11 May29     (glennon da)HUSBANDS J 114 3.50 17% 5.10    
MAYOR OF ESSA Jul14 May29       (buttigieg )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 8.00    
NORTHERN CONQUEST Jul15 Jun30       (armata v)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
GRAND GIZMO Jul15 Jun30 May19 May07   (ladauceur haro)STEIN JUSTIN 124 2.00    
ALL TIME CLASSIC Jul14 Jun17       (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
BLACK BOGANDA         (jones a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 8% 11.20    
PAINTING THE MOON Jul01         (cotey )ALDERSON IAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
MIGHTY PELE Jul08 Jun03 May13     (banach da)WILSON JAYNE 124 10.00    
 
WO-6   07/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($126.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST'N SEXY Jul09 Jun18 May28 May14   (katryan abraham )SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
KEEN FLATTER Jun12         (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 3.50    
SOONER LUNAR Jun24 May29       (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CONFUSING Jun30 May21       (cox gail)FLORES ESWAN 121 12.00    
NATURAL ENERGY         (pottinger an)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
CALUSA DONNIE Jun30         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LADY GABRIELLE Jul02 May14       (cox gail)JONES SLADE 110 3.00    
GRAN SPIRITED Jul17         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 118 10.00    
 
WO-7   07/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($35.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANI'S VICTORY Jun19 Jun05 May13 May01 Mar19 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
JEGOS FIRE Jul08 Jun19 Jun04 May22 May06 (holder tedston)JONES SLADE 119 12.00    
HALLIE'S HERO Jul07 Jun05 May19 May01   (mcclachr)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
DOCTOR UPTOWN Jul11 Jul01 Jun19     (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00    
MIRIAM'S SKY Jun19 May13 Mar02 Feb13 Jan28 (ross a)SALLES LEO 124 2.50    
SCR  STREET LEGAL Jun19 Jun05       (borsk a)STEIN JUSTIN 122 10.00    
DR. SHANE Jul07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan20   (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 122 3.50 59% 0.70    
FIRST SPRING Jul08 Jun19 Jun10     (crook alison)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00    
 
WO-8   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH OF ROUGE Jul16         (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
BABY DRIVER         (holder ted)ANDERSON JODEIEN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAPITURE WAY Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May15   (lopez shana)HOYTE JASON 123 10.00    
FLAT OUT FABULOUS         (samulak julia)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
FLAWLESS PINK Jun26 Jun09 May12 Apr23   (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 121 20.00    
CORA Jul08 Jun18 May26 May12 Apr23 (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 6.00 7% 12.90    
ALLPAIDUP Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 May26 May12 (tho)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00    
LOAD ABROAD Jun30 May15 Apr30     (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
A. A. SWEET CHILLI Jul09 Jun16 May22     (desruisseaux d)STEIN JUSTIN 122 2.50 10% 9.40    
10  SHISHKA Jul08 Jun18 May26 May12 Apr23 (pottinger )HUSBANDS J 111 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.