Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - July 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT N TRAFFIC Jun18         (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
EASY CHANCE Jun26         (briley lonn)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50    
BUCK'S GLORY         (landry r)THORNTON G 118 3.00 9% 10.50    
LIFEASWEKNOWIT Jun18         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
PAYOFF CYCLE Jul02         (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
THE BOSS SOSS         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
EVD-2   07/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA PRIORITY Jun29 Jun15 May19 May07 Apr09 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
HALF OURS N STORMY Jun29 Jun02 May04 Apr07 Mar25 (alberto antonio)MELANCON G 120 10.00    
CHIMNEY ROCK Jun02 May11 Mar20 Feb21 Feb04 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.80 27% 2.70    
JAKE THE BAND MAN Jul02 Jun09 May04 Mar26 Feb21 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 5.00    
BINDING AGREEMENT Jun25 Jun02 Apr22 Mar27 Feb21 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
ROCKY BAR SIX Jul02 Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr14 (marlin i)MCMAHON J 123 2.50    
 
EVD-3   07/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIORS GEM Jun30 May07 Apr09 Feb20 Jan21 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 1.80 15% 5.60    
SCR  PURE VALOR Jun25 Feb28 Feb10 Jan16   (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00    
MR. PRIORITY Jun25 Jan16       (thompson kev)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
GUILTY AGAIN Jul08 Jun23 May25 May07 Apr29 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
WHY JOEY WHY         (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 117 3.50 29% 2.40    
ADIOS YANKEE Jun23 Mar05 Feb03     (west henry)STOKES A 117 15.00    
 
EVD-4   07/20/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZEONPOINT Jul01 Jun17 Feb18 Jan27   (gelner)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
BE A BANDIT Jul01 Jun11 May13 May04 Apr23 (zenon shelton)HERNANDEZ V 115 10.00    
MALARTACH Jun29 May28 May05 Apr15 Jan15 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
J Z'S FIRST Jul01 May19 Apr28 Mar20 Jan10 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
MY LITTLE JEN Jun29 May21 Mar20 Mar09 Feb14 (richards co)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 3.00    
SCR  KEHRON'S CREED Jun18 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 (lee louis)ATEMPA LIANDRO 117 15.00    
PRETTY PRODUCTION Jul01 Jun17 May28 May14 Apr14 (zeno benja)ALBERT S 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
HAVINFUNYET Jun18 May27 May07 Mar13 Feb20 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
EVD-5   07/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMON LAW CAT Jun29 Jun11 May21 Apr07 Feb26 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50    
NOSY BANKER Jun18 May26 May04 Mar16 Mar04 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 115 10.00    
FREE INDEED Jun29 Jun18 May07 Apr13 Mar03 (pomier d)BARNES JOSE 115 4.00 8% 11.10    
HIGH CRUISE Jun29 Jun11 May21 Apr27 Apr07 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  IN THE ARCH Jun30 Jun15 Apr21     (landry ray)STOKES J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNION STATION May25 May06 Apr07 Mar05 Feb02 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 8% 11.90    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Jul08 Jun03 May19 Apr27 Apr14 (latour nicholas)MELANCON G 118 8.00    
 
EVD-6   07/20/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY WELL SPENT Jun24 Mar20 Feb14 Jan07   (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 1.80 20% 4.10    
PAYTONSATTHEPLATE Jun29 May11 Mar25 Mar06 Feb12 (alonzo howard)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
SMOK'N RITA Jun23 Jun02 Apr23 Feb23 Jan27 (guidry mack)STOKES J 117 8.00    
ANGEL OF VERDUN Jun24 May18 May07 Mar13 Feb20 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00    
SAVVY SHIPMAN Jun23 Jun02 May21 Mar09 Feb14 (landry all)ALBERT S 112 5.00 11% 8.10    
BROKE FINANCING Jun18 Jan07       (jackson dwayne)HERNANDEZ V 120 20.00    
SCR  BAR TAP May27 May05 Apr06 Mar04 Jan13 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
EVD-7   07/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY RUNNER Jun25         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
COMMANDER SCOTT Jun22 May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar31 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00 12% 7.10    
COOL INDIVIDUAL Jun30 Apr08 Feb26 Feb11   (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 5.00    
WISH UPON A STAR Jun30 Jun18 May20 Apr28 Mar11 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Jul08 Jun23 May26 May11 Apr07 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
BAYOU JAM Jun30 May27 Apr08 Mar27 Feb05 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 118 3.00    
 
EVD-8   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST JOAN         (zeno benja)ALBERT S 118 20.00    
SHEEZA PRIORITY Jun30 Jun11       (jacobs dory)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.50 50% 1.00    
CUPIE CUTIE Jun30 Jun16 May13 Apr27 Apr06 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 4.00    
CUSTOM GUITAR Jul07 Jun16 May28 May07 Mar25 (schwandt emile)THORNTON G 118 2.50 11% 7.80    
SABERFIGHT Jul07 Jun16 May13     (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
HALOS ALARM Jun30 Jun01 May13 Apr06 Mar02 (breaux samuel)HERNANDEZ V 118 8.00    
BET ON BOURBON         (faucheux ro)BALTHAZAR JARED 118 5.00 11% 8.50    
SHOOTING STICK Jul06 Jun11 May27 May05 Apr09 (west henry)ATEMPA LIANDRO 123 15.00    
STERLING MEMORY Jun01 May13 Apr13 Jan13   (meza m)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 20.00    
10  GYPSY MISS         (west henry)FUSILIER C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.