Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARTINA SPLASH Jun13         (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  MISS GOLD MEDALIST Jun28 Jun07 May25 May10 Apr25 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 6.00 ★    
3  GRASSMISS Jun21 May10 Apr25     (baker ch)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 10.00 8% 12.20    
4  LET'S MAGA Jul04 Jun07 May24     (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00    
5  EYE'S ON YOU Jun28         (anderson br)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 ★    
6  BEYONDELLE Jun28 Jun13 May10     (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  CHASING LOSSES Jun28 Jun08 May24 May11 Apr25 (bond brent)GOMEZ O 122 8.00    
 
FL-2   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUZ UR PRETTY         (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  PUZZLE Jun05         (barrow p)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
SCR  E Z TOLL Jun25         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 ★    
4  OCEAN HONEY         (chapman k)PEREZ E 120 5.00 ★    
5  TRUE DESTINY         (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  ISABEL LUVS GOLD         (ferraro mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
 
FL-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTELLE Jun21 Jun06       (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS ROSS         (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 124 10.00    
3  PLEASEDONTBOUNCE Jul05 Jun20 May25     (d'alessa)DAVIS A 124 2.50    
4  PURPLE MALINDA Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 May16   (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
5  SARATOGA PRINCESS Jun29 May25       (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  SMOKIN ZIVA Jun20 May30 May10 Apr25   (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
7  SPILL THE TEA Jun24 Apr07 Mar18 Feb11 Jan19 (hillegass alexa)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00 ★    
8  STARSHIP PRANKSTER Jun20 Jun06 May23 May10 Apr25 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
 
FL-4   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENNINAS ROSE Jun20 May18 May02 Jan19   (fal)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
2  YES YOUR HONOR Jun21 May10       (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 ★    
3  WATER WIZARD Jul04 Jun21 May23 May09 Apr10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  HIDEOUT Jul06 Jun22 Jun05 May14   (bireta donna)FRET STEVEN 120 15.00    
5  DELAWARE DESTINY Jul04 Jun21 Jun06     (chamberlin )IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
6  DONNA'SWAY Jun21 Jun06       (cook w)ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
7  LASAGNA Jul04 Jun21 May24     (d'alessa)DAVIS A 124 15.00 ★    
8  ONE TICKED LADY Jun20 May30 May10 May02   (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
FL-5   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOO BA LA Jul06 Jun14 Jun02     (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
2  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Mar25         (rice linda)GOMEZ O 120 3.00    
3  FLIRTACIOUS KISS Jun15 Jun01 May16 May02   (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00    
4  TESSARION         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWEET MAEVE Jun26 May30 May12     (huertas )DAVIS A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  IMPOSING TREASURE         (miller-saul)CAMILO D 120 15.00    
7  CERTIFIED FREAK         (anderson d)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROAD TO ROYALTY Jul06 Jun27       (breed a)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
9  CINDY'S CHOICE Apr22 Feb19 Jan22     (lev)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTY'S EXPRESS Jun03 Apr21 Mar09 Jan20   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  CROATIAN Jun27 Jun07 May12 May07 Feb26 (englehart jeff)COA J 122 2.50 ★    
2  CORAGESCONTENDER Jun27 May31       (dixon li)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 6.00    
3  SOUTH AFRICA Jun13 May21 Mar31 Feb19 Jan28 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  DOS VAQUEROS Jun21 May25 May09 Apr26 Feb05 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00    
5  SON OF DARKNESS Jun02 May10 Apr26     (breed jr)GOMEZ O 122 10.00    
6  THESIS Jun27 Jun07 May09     (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 118 8.00 ★    
7  TWISTED SUNSET Jul06 Jun20 May30 May16 Apr25 (morales )DAVIS A 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
8  SAMAY (PER) Jul04 Jun13 May30 May17 May02 (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
FL-7   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY GALE         (falk jacqueline)FRATES D 120 15.00    
2  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Feb12 Jan14       (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 4.00 ★    
3  CORRE FELIZ         (and)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
4  DRAW OFF Jun27 Jun14 May30 May12 Apr28 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  PAJAMA JAM Jun14 May30       (bond bre)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 8.00 ★    
6  SUBTLE GIANT Jul06 May30       (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
7  ALL ABOUT BELLA Jun27 May11 Apr26     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
8  RACING QUEEN Jul04 Jun17 May30 May11   (huertas )DAVIS A 120 8.00    
9  ROLL'OVA         (progno christophe)PEREZ E 120 12.00 ★    
10  ALBANY YATES Jun27         (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 12.00    
 
FL-8   07/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGGREGATION May30 Apr16       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 36% 1.70    
2  BEST IDEA May30 May01 Mar13 Feb12   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  STATE PLANNING Jun26 May14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 (rohena rafael )ADORNO ABNER 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  GRABBING THE MONEY Jun27 Jun07 May16 May01 Apr05 (brown glenroy)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00 ★    
5  BARESE Jun25 Apr23 Apr09 Feb12 Jan09 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 1.20 19% 4.40    
 
FL-9   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR MAN MIKE Jun16 Apr16 Feb20 Jan14   (ferraro mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
SCR  FATHER WALSH Jun20 May31 May02 Apr10 Mar02 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 6.00 ★    
3  NIGHT ESCORT Jun20         (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 15.00 ★    
4  MOMMIE'S JEWEL Jun20 Jun07       (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
5  PRINTRACK Jun22 Mar13 Feb25 Jan27   (rice linda)GOMEZ O 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  ZIRCON Jul05 May09       (progno christ)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
7  PRODUCTION CREDIT Jul06 Jun07 May24 May02   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
8  GOTANDA Jul06 Jun20 May31 May19 Apr22 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
9  DOC ADVANTAGE Jun20         (barrow paul)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 13% 6.40    
10  GIMMEDAMONEY Jun29 Jun20 May24 Apr26 Mar30 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.