Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMARTHUMOR         (machado antonio)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
BUSHWICK BRUISER Jun25 May26 May01 Feb13 Jan23 (deiter ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
CURTEIS Jul01 May26 Apr30 Apr14 Feb20 (dankanich nicol)CENTENO E 120 4.50    
FROG PRINCE Jun25 May28       (merryman mich)ALVELO C 116 15.00    
KEYS DISCOUNT Jun25 Mar18       (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
STEADY EDDIE Jul02 Jun05 May19     (buckle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00    
PURSUING PACE Jul02 May28 Apr30     (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
CALL ME VIVIAN Jun17 May05       (merryman e)ROWLAND MADELINE 108 20.00    
CROSSLAND Jun25 May28 May01     (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00 7% 12.90    
10  CALIFORNIA FLIRT Jun28 Jun05 May23 Apr13 Mar12 (hawthorne bobb)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
LRL-2   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAWNDO Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 Mar02 Feb12 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 120 3.50    
SCR  DREAM HAPPY Jun24 May29       (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 33% 2.10    
JACKIE A         (capuano dale)ALVELO C 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Jul09 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20   (serey mar)BETANCOURT R 122 10.00 12% 7.30    
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jul03 Jun23 Jun11 Jun04 May26 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 116 4.00    
RIDGEPOINTE Jun17 May22 May06 Apr15   (magee kieron)CENTENO E 116 4.50    
 
LRL-3   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MA DE TAW Jun25 Jun19 May23     (rogers w)CENTENO E 126 10.00    
GENNIE HIGHWAY Jun05 Apr24 Mar20 Feb23 Jan29 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.50 20% 3.90    
BEHIND THE COUCH Jun26 Jun04 May19 May06 Apr15 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 8% 11.20    
OLIVE KAT Jun22 May19 May06 Jan02   (gorham michael )MENA E 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
PERFECT DIRECTION Jun28 Jun11 May31 Mar08 Feb01 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 30.00    
CLAIRE'S DARLING Jun19         (capuano dale)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Jul01 Jun19 May23     (demari)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 8.00    
POLISHED GAL Jul01 Jun04       (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 10.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  ALWAYS SOMETHING Jul01 May14 Apr24 Mar19 Feb19 (testerman v)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
10  MUCHA MEZQUINA Jun30 Jun04 Apr23 Feb13   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 11% 8.10    
 
LRL-4   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOQUENT LADY Jul01 May30 May14 Apr30 Apr03 (pradenas se)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 5.00    
RAN CHAR May30 May08 Mar26 Mar18 Feb06 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
SICK PACK SARA May30 May26 Apr28 Apr03 Mar18 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 1.80    
STAY OUT Jun09         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
DAT DARES GOLD Jun10 Apr30 Apr03 Mar20 Feb26 (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
R TRUE SENSATION Jun10 May19 Apr30 Mar26 Mar11 (downs le)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00    
 
LRL-5   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERMAT Jun26 May30 Apr28 Mar06   (mcmullen marilyn)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
JOHNG Jun19 May20       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00 5% 18.50    
POWER BACK Jul04 Jun03 May12 Apr22 Mar19 (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
BRYCE CANYON Jun16 Apr30 Mar27     (toner jam)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
SCR  TATE Jun25 Jun11 May13 Apr23 Apr03 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 8.00 27% 2.70    
BORGOBYTHESEA Jun15 May25 Feb25 Feb04   (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CALL ME PLUCKY Jun26 May13 Feb25 Jan22   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH Jun26 May20 Apr14 Mar20   (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50    
SAINT MARCO Jul04 Jun07 Apr29     (alexander)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00    
10  BENNY HAVENS Jun26 Jun17       (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
11  TOE CURLIN' KISS Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Apr24 (magana j)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
12  AMENDED Jul04 Jun26 May29 May07 Apr21 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
13  CELTIC TREASURE Jun01 Apr28 Apr13 Mar15 Feb21 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
LRL-6   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERUSALEMA (IRE) Jul03 May19 May07 Mar26 Feb12 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS CUPID Jun28 May23 Mar24 Feb23 Jan26 (preciado guada)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Feb18 Jan27 Jan14     (maldonado jonath)AVILES YAN 110 20.00    
SENSON Jul02 Jun12 May05 Apr22 Apr01 (salzma)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 6.00    
MISS CHAMITA Jun23 May22 Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 8.00    
PEACHY WEACHY Jun17 May19 Apr21 Mar17 Feb20 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
JACKIE THE JOKER Jul03 May19 Apr16 Apr09 Feb26 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
JOE MIKE JIM Jul06 Jun18 May27 Apr24 Mar27 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00    
SCR  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Jun24 May19 Apr21 Feb27 Jan20 (sano anto)CARRASCO R 121 10.00    
 
LRL-7   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARMING WAY Jun11 May19 Apr09 Feb26 Jan28 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
BOURBON WILDCAT Jul02 Jun18 May27 May08 Jan30 (magana )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 12.00    
GASTOWN BABE Jun18         (nixon justin)ARAUJO DENIS 117 3.50    
IRIE EMPRESS Jul08 Jun03 May23 May09 Mar30 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 15.00    
PIE KILLER Jun19         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
SCR  ACADIAN GIRL Jul01 May05 Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 (geralis emanu)ALVELO C 126 1.60 13% 6.50    
BATYAH         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.80 5% 18.50    
I'M BLUSHING Jun19 May12 Apr16 Mar01 Feb05 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
GLOWSITY Jul02 Jun10 May27 May07 Apr30 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 117 6.00    
 
LRL-8   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE THE FIRE         (andreadakis)CORUJO LEONARDO 116 12.00 18% 4.70    
POLICE WOMAN         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 18% 4.70    
MEJORAMIGA Jun26 May28 May14     (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 113 4.50    
BIZZY BIZZY Jul04 Jun11 Apr09 Jan20   (haughton)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
KOBE'S GIRL Jul04 Jun26 Jun05 May26 Apr28 (serey mar)BETANCOURT R 116 3.00 13% 6.90    
MANITOULIN ISLAND         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00 18% 4.70    
GLIDE         (keefe timot)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 3.50    
CAGED PIXIE Jul04 Jun11 May30     (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.