Handicappers' Racing Form

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Great Falls
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
GF-1   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIE ARKANSAS         (lafferty duane)SMITH H 121 3.00    
AUTUMN TRIP         (schmitt bill)BENNETT TERRY 126 2.00 19% 4.20    
MISSLUCIEJANE         (mccracken memory)GAMEZ M 121 7.00    
RUN LIKE KONA Mar18 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07   (holds jr)WOOD DAKOTA 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
ARLEN'S PROSPECT         (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 8.00 16% 5.50    
SCR  DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE Jun26 Jun19 Jun05     (little bea)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 4.50    
 
GF-2   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH OUT Jun25 Jun17 Jun10     (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
TOSS THE FLAG Jun25 May08       (warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50    
CORKY Jun04         (schmitt bill)BENNETT TERRY 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
WESTON May22 May01 Apr01 Feb21 Jan22 (hanson )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00    
MAGIC BRO Jun04         (mccracken memory)GAMEZ M 126 3.00    
BIG BAD BRIAN Jul04 Jun28       (craig jame)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
GF-3   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECADENT DIAMOND         (laforge kirt)BENNETT TERRY 121 4.00    
DAISY CREEK         (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 10.00    
THREE POINT CASH May15         (birdrattler tim)SMITH H 126 3.50    
SONGBIRD EYDIE         (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 8.00    
MR VIEW May15 May08 Mar19 Feb26 Feb02 (birdrattler harla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.60 55% 0.80    
TCHULA SUNSET         (lawrence jostin)GERVAIS M 126 10.00 7% 14.20    
SHANGHAI CURLY Jul03 Jun21       (craig r)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 7% 13.70    
 
GF-4   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYLAN J. T.         (lawrence jostin)BENNETT TERRY 126 7.00    
REDDISH Jun25 Jun19 Jun12 Apr20 Mar25 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
HADLEYS CHARM May22 May14 May08     (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 4.50    
DARK LEOPARD Jun24 Jun18 Jun05 May22 May14 (schindler jeff)SMITH H 122 2.00    
MONTANA JACK Jun25 Jun19 Jun12 Jun04 May06 (macdonald d)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
SUPERSERG         (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
GF-5   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREFERRED PROSPECT Jun04 May28 May14 Apr23 Apr01 (holds jr)WOOD DAKOTA 126 6.00    
OOPPER WALLAH         (birdrattler harlan)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 15% 5.60    
TICK TACK MO Jun26 Jun04 May21 May07 Apr24 (olson kenneth)BENNETT TERRY 126 4.00    
XTREME LYRA Jun26 Jun24 Jun04 May22 Apr16 (schindler jeff)SMITH H 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
FACTORIAL Jun19 Jun04       (hanson )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 3.00 20% 3.90    
MOONLIGHT BLUE May22 May15 May14 Apr02 Mar26 (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 2.00    
 
GF-6   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TIGER Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 May15 Apr19 (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 7.00 17% 5.00    
HAVE A LIL PEPPER Apr11 Mar30 Mar09 Feb02   (birdrattler harla)GERVAIS M 126 10.00 11% 8.30    
AFLEETASHA Jun26 Jun19       (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.00    
FANTASTRY (BRZ) Jun26 Jun19       (lafferty duane)SMITH H 126 1.20 46% 1.20    
CARSON'S FIREBALL         (birdrattler sha)BENNETT TERRY 126 5.00    
MINIMUM NOISE         (mccracken memory)GAMEZ M 126 3.00    
 
GF-8   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABRAA JABRAA Jun25 May22 Apr20 Mar31 Mar17 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
UNLAWFUL ASSEMBLY Jun26 Jun18 May15     (lafferty duane)SMITH H 126 6.00    
SUNRISE IN THE BAR Jun26 Jun18 Jun12 Jun04 May13 (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 3.00    
INGLENOOK Jun17 Jun04 May06 Mar22 Feb08 (pyle dylan)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00    
XINGFU Jun25 Jun18 Jun10 May21 May15 (crooked dale)GERVAIS M 126 15.00    
SCR  FOREST SONG Jun26 May22 May15     (schmitt bill)BENNETT TERRY 126 3.50    
JADED TIGER Jul04 Jun25 Jun12 May29   (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.