Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOM HERE GIRL Jun14 May27 Mar17 Feb11 Jan14 (craig e)LIMA FELINO 111 6.00    
CURVE APPEAL May28 Apr22 Mar17     (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
MEDAL GENIUS Jul07 Jun18 May18 Apr16 Apr06 (rangel )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
GLOBAL EMPRESS Jun02 May12 Mar10     (anderson pa)RAMGEET R 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
JU JU'S HEAT Jul02 Jun03 May18     (tobin l)CECIL Y 118 20.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Jul07 Jun09 Apr16 Apr08 Mar17 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.80 10% 9.00    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul07 Jun18 Jun03 May28 May12 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   07/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN G Jun24 Jun09 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 10% 9.20    
LANTAU Jul03 Jun11 May20 Apr21 Apr02 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 116 2.00 23% 3.40    
IMPETUOUS Jun09 May26 May13 Apr22 Mar23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
INSIDE RISK Jun25 Jun16 Feb12     (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Jun24 Jun03 Mar04 Feb11   (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
MR TINGLES Jun24 Jun18 May29 May17 Apr16 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
NEWS FLASH Jun24 Jun03       (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-3   07/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOROFACLOUD Jul04 Jun18 May28 May15 Apr28 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00    
WHOSE THAT LADY Jun24 Jun02 May12     (armstrong ja)BATISTA A 124 8.00    
CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jun24 Jun02 May20     (rideout a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
HIDDEN PERSUASION Jul02 Jun17       (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jun24 May07 Apr16 Mar26 Feb04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
TOUGH ONE Jun17 Jun05 May15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
BOCA BIRDIE Jun24 Jun02 May07 Apr14 Mar26 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 5.00    
I B NASTY Jun24 Jun03 May07 Apr14 Mar26 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
 
CT-4   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE WARRIOR Jun25 May21 Apr16 Mar30 Mar11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
BRIAN'S AVENUE Jun17 May06 Mar25 Feb11   (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
BETTER BOOGIE Jun24 May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 7% 12.90    
DYNAMIC DAY May18 Mar31 Feb11     (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00    
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME Jul09 May21 May13 Apr08 Mar13 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
SCR  J J WEDGIT MAN Jul07 Jun30 May18 Apr23 Apr06 (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 5.00    
MY SACRED PLACE Jun25 May28 May12 Mar25 Feb19 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
CT-5   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOK THE CHAIN Jun24 Jun02 May14 Apr30 Apr16 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 116 5.00    
CEDAR RUN'S FIRE Jun18         (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
HOW IS SHE Jun16 May25 May04 Apr07 Mar18 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
SHOOFLY PIE Jun24 Jun02 May14 Apr07 Feb24 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 6% 15.70    
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Jul05 Jun02 Apr25 Apr09 Mar09 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 14% 6.40    
CHOPRA Jun02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar16 Feb26 (knoblauch-p)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
SOOEY'S PRINCESS Jun18 May25 May14 Apr28 Apr06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.50    
MAGNIFICENT ROCKET May14 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar03 (laster rober)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   07/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAXJAXXORJACKS May27 Apr20 Apr02 Feb26 Feb02 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
SPECTACULO Jun11 Jun02 May11 Apr13 Mar26 (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MASTER THIS May27 May05 Apr20 Apr02 Mar24 (tobin l)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
DOCTOR MCCOY Jun18         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
THORN OF ROSE HILL May26 Apr15 Apr02 Mar24 Mar03 (espinos)NUNEZ ANAHI 121 20.00    
WEAVINTHEBLOCKS Jun29 Jun04 Apr29 Apr15 Mar24 (lucas anth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00    
REY O REYES Jun18 Jun09 May18 Apr15 Apr06 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
LET'S GET PHYSICAL Jun25 May26 Apr29 Apr20 Mar24 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
 
CT-7   07/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO'S MAN Jun16 Apr23       (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
REMYS SHOWTIME Jun25 May19 Apr27 Apr13 Mar26 (grams c)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00    
RUNNIN'TOLUVYA Apr30         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
MUAD'DIB         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 38% 1.60    
BOASTER May18 Apr23 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50    
 
CT-8   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL         (dunham be)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
NANCYSAIDSO Jul01 Jun21 Jun05 May02 Apr19 (scott l)CECIL Y 124 10.00    
MAE SAI PRINCESS Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr28 Apr02 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
DUSTWHIRL WONDER Jun25 Jun03 May14 Apr30 Apr09 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00    
FRENCH NOUGET Jul01 Jun04 May14 Apr09 Apr02 (sandoval michael)CULLUM W 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE FIGURES Jun24 Jun03 May20 Apr28 Apr14 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
TAKE ME HOME Jun25 Jun04 Apr28 Apr06   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00 51% 0.90    
SECRET CASTLE May28 May20 May11 Apr01 Feb24 (obed-letts ketu)LIMA FELINO 117 4.50    
FLOATING BY Jun25 Jun04 May14     (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.