Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWING SNOWMAN         (muller j)FRATES D 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
GUSTY WIND Jun27 Jun07       (barrow paul)IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
TAKE YOUR PLACE Jun22 Jun06 May09     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00 14% 6.40    
WINNING WITHHONOUR Jun27 May18 May02     (tasso mark)COA J 121 3.00    
TENENCY Jun27         (dukes j)FRET STEVEN 124 2.50    
STONE GUITAR May25 May11       (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00    
WHO IS JARETT Jun28         (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
FL-2   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCINTILLATION Jun13         (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 1.80 21% 3.90    
1A  IM GONNA WIN Jun22         (lecesse michae)COA J 121 1.80    
ADDISON Jun17 May23 Mar24 Feb17 Jan07 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
VITANZA Jun28 Jun21 Jun07 May10 Apr25 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 121 10.00    
DISCO PARTY Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr25 Apr01 (lopez arcadio)ROHENA JR 121 10.00    
STAY HOME MAMA Jun28 Jun01       (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50    
PASSION POLICE Jun22 Jun07       (domingue)DAVIS A 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
FL-3   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAVE MY WAY Jun24 May12       (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
SINGLE PURPOSE Jun29 May30 May11     (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
JACKIEGIRL Jun29 Jun14 May30     (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
DAKOTA DANCER Jan15         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  MONDEUSE Jun17 May21 Feb19 Feb04   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
BEAUTIFUL BANKS Jun29 Jun07 May11 Apr26 Apr03 (mastin kathleen)ROHENA JR 120 8.00    
 
FL-4   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MYSELF Jun22 May31       (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
MAGIC PRO Jul04 Jun14 Jun06 May18 Apr25 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 116 4.00 20% 3.90    
GOLDENINI Jun08         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
C J'S GRAND SLAM         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
CINCO LINKO Jun21 Jun08       (acquilano jame)COA J 120 2.50    
TREASURED IMAGE         (miller-saul)CAMILO D 120 6.00    
 
FL-5   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP STARTER May06 Apr03 Mar13     (henry n)ALVARADO R 120 20.00    
COLIGNY         (breed ro)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
PARS HEY ZEUS Jun27 May25 May11 Apr25   (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  COSMIC COWBOY Jun15         (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 9% 9.90    
PLATINUM ROAD May28 May05 Mar13     (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
WESWORLD         (ficarella brook)FRET STEVEN 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
C. B LOVES A FIGHT Jun27 Jun01 May09 Mar31 Feb25 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 4.00    
BEAUTY IS A BEAST Jun22 May11 Apr25     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
FL-6   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMFORTABLE CAT         (marino e)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 12% 7.10    
FABLES LOVE AFFAIR Jun17 May26 Apr15 Apr01 Mar24 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00    
REMOANE Jul04 Jun20 Jun08 May25 May09 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
CALL ME CARMELITA Jun21 Jun07 May24 May10 Apr26 (lopez d)ROHENA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
R WORKING GIRL Jun08 May06 Mar20 Feb24 Jan23 (baker charlton)PEREZ E 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
PEGGY SUE Jun21 May25       (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
I'M A GOOD LOOKER         (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
FL-7   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST STAY HOME Jun21 May30 Mar25 Feb20 Jan26 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
UNICORN SALLY Jun21 May30 Feb27 Jan16   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.20 36% 1.80    
LONG STORY SHORT Jun13         (rohena raf)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
MIND OF GOLD Jun21 Jun07 May24     (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
THE NEW MIAMI Jun13 May30 May10     (vasquez ramon)FRET STEVEN 121 12.00    
BIG RED GIRL Jun07         (baker ch)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
SHE'S A LUMBERJANE Jun21         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 15.00    
 
FL-8   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LISTENING IN Jun21 Apr03       (lugovich r)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  BOOK OF DELANCEY Jul02 Jun19 May17 May04 Apr15 (hillegass ale)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00    
NAVY KING Jun21 Mar04 Feb11     (ferraro anthony)FRATES D 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
ACH DU LIEBER Jun29 Jun22 May31 May11   (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR GHOST Jun29 Jun22 Jun05 Apr30 Apr20 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
WICKOSITY Jun22 May28 Mar31 Feb27 Feb12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
BENCH WALK Jun29 Jun13 May23 Apr20 Apr03 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 8.00    
REMEMBER NORMANDY Jun21 May28 Apr10 Mar24 Feb13 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
TRISAETUM Jun22 May31 May11     (acquilano jame)COA J 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
10  JUPITER RAIN Jun21 Jun04 May29 Apr30 Apr20 (sey)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.