Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - July 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULL MEECHUM Jun11 May25 Apr13 Mar26 Mar18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 17% 4.90    
MAJESTIC SEAS Jun17 May19 Apr27 Apr13 Feb24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
COMMAND THE CAT Jun25 May26 May04 Apr23 Mar31 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
FREEDOM IS RINGING Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 Feb03 (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Jun17 Jun09 May26 Apr27 Apr02 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00    
SCR  BE BE BOP Jun17 May19 Apr27 Apr05 Feb24 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
CT-2   07/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN BIZ         (dixon geof)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
CHARITABLY GIFTED Jun18 Apr16 Mar19 Feb17   (knoblauch-per)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
SALTY J J Jun30 Jun09 Apr28 Apr08 Mar03 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
JUBA JUNIOR Jun24 Jun03 Apr23 Apr02 Feb25 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE Jun09 May28 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 (jones michael)SIMPSON JASON 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
RACE TRACK ROAD Jun29 Jun22 May30     (dixon geoff)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
MINI BOLT Apr28 Mar25 Feb18 Jan13   (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   07/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CAROL Jun24 Apr17       (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 116 4.50    
FESSIN UP Jun02 Apr20 Mar24     (stahlin john)LARROSA G 118 4.00 7% 12.90    
JESS FOR KICKS Jun17 Apr13 Mar23 Mar16 Feb28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.00 11% 7.70    
BANTAM ROOSTER Jun11 May21 Mar16 Mar03 Feb04 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A BIRDIE Jun11 Apr09 Mar26 Feb26 Jan27 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 51% 0.90    
HURRICANE DIRECTOR Jun17 May27 May15 Apr15 Mar20 (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
CRISPY GAL Jul02 May19 Apr06 Mar16 Feb19 (lane scott )MCKENZIE CONNIE 109 20.00    
PRINCESS MIA ROSE Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15   (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 8.00    
LA REINA SUSAN Jun17 May04 Mar30 Mar06 Feb06 (mancil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 5.00    
 
CT-4   07/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSS BOSS Jun16 May25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar02 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
FLUENT IN SARCASM Jun16 May20 Apr22 Mar31 Mar03 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) Jun16 May25 May04 Feb25 Feb02 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
CAPE LOOKOUT Jun24 May26 May06     (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
PRIMAL DESTINY Jun09 May13 Apr01 Feb18   (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 0.80 44% 1.30    
TO THE FRONT Jun09 May26 May13 Apr22 Apr01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 35% 1.90    
 
CT-5   07/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRINGALE Jun24 May06 Apr13 Feb26 Feb05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00    
TY RAN A HOMER Jun17 May11 Apr04 Mar23 Mar08 (murtaugh an)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Jun08 May06 Apr28 Apr07 Mar10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  AWESOME BUZZ Jun16 May21 May12 Mar31 Mar11 (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCOTTSDALE Jun25 Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 Mar25 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
BOATSWAIN Jun17 May12 Mar02 Feb15 Jan26 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 5.00    
KING KOA         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
SILVER CASTLE Jun17 May25 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 20.00    
BRUTUS Jun17 May26       (scott llo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
10  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Jun16 May25 May04 Apr13   (schottroffe e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  RESIDENT Jun25 Jun10 May25 May12 Apr21 (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
SCR  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Jun07 Apr27 Mar31 Mar02 Jan27 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 5.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE VISIT May26 Apr29 Apr20 Mar31 Mar18 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50    
SCR  TAPSOLUTION Jun12 May30 May03 Apr19   (west aaro)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
 
CT-6   07/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13   (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 12.00    
LADY LICIOUS Jul01 Jun03 May11 Apr01 Mar23 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
NAJWA Jun24 May28 May07 Feb19 Feb02 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
COLLEGE KID Jun03 May18 Apr28 Mar18 Feb17 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 0.80 39% 1.60    
LUNAR PRAYER Jun03 May11 Apr06 Mar26 Mar11 (boykins kevin)SIMPSON JASON 124 6.00    
BELLA FEMMINA Jun03 May19 May05 Apr07 Mar24 (boykins kev)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
U S FUNDS Jul01 Jun10 Jun03 May11 Feb10 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00    
MARTHA'S BANNER Jun25         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 34% 2.00    
 
CT-7   07/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANVAS ART Mar09         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 116 4.50 26% 2.90    
AADHANA May26 Apr14 Mar19 Feb12   (comi ralph)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
MY BOSS Jun23 May01 Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 (capuano gar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 2.50 9% 10.30    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Mar23         (sterling micha)RIOS-CONDE A 116 5.00 8% 12.00    
WICKED WISDOM Jun17         (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
LUNAR NOTION Jun18 May27 May06 Apr15   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
MY SISTER CLURRIE Jun22 Jun02 May06 Apr09 Mar18 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 116 6.00    
 
CT-8   07/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGEBURG Jun17 Jun04 May14 Feb02   (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SIENTE EL AMOR Jun17 Jun02 May25 May14 Apr27 (stehr joseph)ROCHA WLADIMIR 116 15.00    
WEST VIRGINIA BOY Jun10         (rawlings amanda )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50    
RED HOT TODDY Jun17 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar18 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
WATCHING SNOW FLY Jun02 May11 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 116 12.00    
HARDIN Jun17         (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
TIMMY Jun17 May11 Apr06     (gazzier kri)RAMGEET R 116 6.00    
SCR  COUNTRY OUTLAW Jun17         (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
SCR  LOGSTRADAMUS Jun17 Jun02 May11     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 15.00    
SCR  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Jun04 May11 Apr13 Mar17   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00    
11  SCARE DEM Jun30 Jun16 May11 Apr23 Apr06 (pyke joseph)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 20.00    
12  THUNDER KITTEN         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 1.80 24% 3.20    
SCR  KVELLION Jun17         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.