Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lethbridge
Saturday - June 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LBG-2   06/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND WALKER Jun04 Feb02 Jan11     (depew jim)APANGO JUAN 124 1.20 64% 0.60    
WITTS SHORT STOP Jun04         (calfrobe noran)ROCHA O 124 2.00 8% 10.90    
FLEA FLICKER Jun05         (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
DR A TO D Jun05         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00    
SMILEY Jun05         (pigeau o)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00    
 
LBG-5   06/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HYBRID Jun04 May28       (gwilliam bob)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00    
CARLOT COWBOY May28         (mohindee mankumar)ROCHA O 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
CAPTAIN WILL Jun04 May21       (depew jim)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
GOLDEN BULLET Jun04         (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 2.50    
WHY NOT LIVE Jun04 May28       (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
HOTNTHIRSTY Jun05 May21       (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 1.50    
 
LBG-6   06/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($5.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY GEM Jun04         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.00 25% 3.00    
KVOTHE Jun05 May28       (clapton a)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
LOOKIECOOKIE         (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
GEM STATE Jun05 May28 May21 May07   (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00    
THISISMYSTORY Jun04 May21       (cummins m)ROCHA O 124 1.60 30% 2.40    
FORGOTABOUTME Mar15 Mar01       (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 5.00    
FATS DOMINUS Jun04 May21 Mar18 Feb16 Jan12 (weeseekase )GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.