Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - June 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADY O'BRADY         (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 ★    
2  OVERBEARING May31 Mar05 Feb15 Jan24   (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR May08 Apr25 Apr12 Mar16 Mar07 (humber j)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
4  FAFA FOOEY         (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
5  CAPTAIN SIDNEY         (carter doug)MORENO OMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FEDERAL LAW May31         (warner k)SINGH S 120 12.00    
SCR  SUMERIAN BELL         (lada)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00    
8  BE THE CHANGE         (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
9  SUMMER RETREAT Jun07         (bird alan)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
FE-2   06/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.226K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD THE APPLAUSE May31         (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  ROSIEJEWEL DANCER May31         (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 ★    
3  JARA May31 Apr27 Apr06 Mar26 Mar06 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 ★    
4  ZOYSIA May31         (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  CLASSY MISTRESS         (meli s)ALDERSON IAN 120 10.00    
6  HIGH SOCIETY GIRL Jun07 May06 Apr23     (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
FE-3   06/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMIC SHOT Apr24         (wieczorek kend)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
2  SHE AINT NO JOKE May31         (rabste)ALDERSON IAN 118 4.50 ★    
3  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ May31 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  ASHBURY         (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
5  HONEY GIRL May31         (maynard desmond)SINGH S 120 5.00 ★    
6  SEAQUELLE May31         (neubauer michae)HEIN NICOLE 115 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
FE-4   06/13/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CULATELLO May26         (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 ★    
2  NEW YORK COMMANDER May06         (mustoe cindy)MORENO OMAR 120 6.00    
3  CEEBETT'S BOW         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
4  KATY AND EMMA Apr29 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  MS. P'S BELLA May31 May15 Apr30 Apr16   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  CHALDEA         (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
7  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER May12 Apr30       (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  POLAR APPEAL May26 May12 Apr23     (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
FE-5   06/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ENDING Apr27 Mar30 Mar16 Feb25 Feb05 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.00 ★    
2  FOUR KNIGHTS         (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  A I INITIATIVE May31 May13 May01 Apr17   (simms )ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
4  DEEP EXPLORER         (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  DE ONLY SOLUTION May31 May13       (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 ★    
6  CHASING VINNY May31         (chudobiak gary)SINGH S 120 4.00    
 
FE-6   06/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILEY O'RIELLY         (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  SHAKOO MAKOO         (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  TOBRUK May31         (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BALA FALLS         (warner k)SINGH S 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
5  HIT THIS TOWN May31 Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 Jan15 (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00    
SCR  ABSTEMIOUS         (warner robert )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
7  FED FEVER May31 Mar18 Mar04 Feb23 Feb01 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 2.50 ★    
 
FE-7   06/13/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNCHROMESH         (humber joseph)JADOO STEVE 118 15.00    
2  JMR AWESOM SILENCE         (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00    
3  SAILIN STREET May31         (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 ★    
4  PARTY OF NO         (bailey)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRINITY THUNDAH Jun07         (powell a)SINGH S 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
6  SALT MINE TEDDY May31 Jan22 Jan04     (loescher paula)HEIN NICOLE 113 10.00    
7  SUN FORESTER May26 Apr24       (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 4.00 ★    
8  READY AT DAWN May26 May13       (ezra daryl)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50    
9  WILD RIVER WOLF Jun05 May22 May01 Apr17   (chudobiak gary)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.