Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - May 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/27/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMING OAKIE         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 ★    
2  INVINCIBILITY May06 Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 Jan17 (a)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  D C HERO May06 Mar26 Mar16 Feb25 Feb10 (villafranco ma)LUZZI J 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  GOLDEN ALE May06 Mar24 Feb16     (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50    
5  PUTMAN May13 May01       (vazquez m)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
6  BALKY Apr07 Mar24 Jan28 Jan08   (duhon paul)HUGHES CARLY 117 20.00    
7  CAPT. ST. JACQUES May13 Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 Jan22 (willis mindy)MONTALVO C 122 5.00 5% 18.90    
8  BELEWS GOLD May06 Mar26 Feb17 Jan28 Jan08 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PAST POST Apr24 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 8.00    
 
LS-2   05/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHERISH THE DAY Feb23 Jan29 Jan08     (villafranco ma)HUGHES CARLY 118 8.00 ★    
2  NELLIE DEE         (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00 ★    
3  ATHENIAN PRINCESS May12 Mar19 Feb25 Jan29   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  IZEADISTORTEDLADY May06 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12   (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  DIAL IT IN Mar19 Feb12 Jan27 Jan14   (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
6  VENUS ISLAND May07         (tuley rhonda)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 10.00    
7  IT'S ALL A BLUR May10 Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 Jan27 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 6.00    
 
LS-3   05/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAU MAU (BRZ) May08 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 Feb09 (pish danny)MONTALVO C 124 15.00    
2  PAYNTER PARTY May13 Apr07 Jan30 Jan08   (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PIVOLIN May01 Feb09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00    
4  SILVER GALAXY May08 Mar27 Jan27     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
5  CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT May08 Mar16 Feb09 Jan08   (lucarelli fra)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
6  TENSAS TODDY May14 Apr30 Mar17 Feb05 Jan07 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
SCR  DUST EM May08 Mar26 Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 (dela)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 ★    
8  BEYOND HELLO Apr28         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 5.00    
9  U S NAVY CROSS May22 Feb21 Jan21     (broberg karl)QUINONEZ S 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
10  AVAILABLE STAR May14 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 Feb05 (jacks e)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
LS-4   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMANTE DE SARA May06 Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb10 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
2  MORO NALA May06 Apr02       (glover trace)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  PEEK FACTOR May06 Feb16 Jan14     (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  BERINGS LIGHT May06         (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
5  SHE'S A RIDGE May06 Apr02 Mar19     (kotara ronal)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
6  TRINITY QUEEN         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 8.00 ★    
7  L L COOL GREY May06 Apr02 Mar03     (gusta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 3.00 14% 6.40    
8  EAGLE CAT Apr02 Feb18       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.50 ★    
 
LS-5   05/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTERBACK DAK May01 Feb26 Jan29     (villafranc)ERAMIA E 120 10.00 ★    
2  KENAI BOB Mar26 Feb19 Jan20     (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  GOLD PILOT May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
4  ALGEBRA Apr29 Mar26 Feb19 Jan08   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.00 14% 6.00    
5  WITT'S TAQUITO May08 Apr09 Mar18 Mar02 Feb11 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 ★    
 
LS-6   05/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE THE PURSES May15 Jan08       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 2.00 ★    
2  MOOGIE SON May15 Mar25 Feb16 Jan28   (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  SGT. QUINCANNON         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00    
SCR  COUNTRY BRAVE May07 Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 Jan07 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 10.00    
5  SECRET HOLIDAY May07 Apr28 Apr08     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 4.50 ★    
6  SCREENPLAY May07 Apr07 Mar23 Jan28   (davis h)LUZZI J 124 5.00 ★    
7  CROSS TIMBERS Apr20         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00 29% 2.40    
8  BOLD MOON May07         (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN ALL ALONE May06 Mar30 Feb19 Jan22 Jan07 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00 7% 13.80    
2  TEXAS RED BEL May06 Mar31 Mar10 Feb26 Feb05 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  IMA SKY TRAVELER May13 Apr29 Mar26 Mar18 Mar03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00    
4  IT'S MY MONEY May07 Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 Jan14 (baldillez a)WETHEY JR 119 6.00    
5  BEBOP BABY May06 Mar26 Mar16 Feb11 Jan22 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 ★    
6  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Apr29 Mar26 Mar03 Feb09 Jan13 (caldwell j )MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.40 36% 1.70    
7  HAPPY SAILOR May21 May07 Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 4.50 ★    
 
LS-8   05/27/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY May19         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  FIRE AND SPEIGHT May06         (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 30.00    
3  RELIANT May06         (green greg)ERAMIA E 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  AMERICAN COALMINER Apr29         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 120 5.00 ★    
5  LATE NITE MUSIC May06 Mar12 Feb23     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  ESPERANZA ROSE Mar10 Feb18       (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 20.00    
7  AVARIE         (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 20.00    
8  ALL AFLUTTER         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 30.00    
9  COLORATURA May06 Jan22 Jan08     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 4.50 ★    
10  GOOD LIQUOR May06 Mar11 Feb05 Jan06   (davidson n)SORENSON D 123 10.00    
11  VICENZA GOLD May06         (w)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.