Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   05/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANSOULTITLE May16 Apr16 Apr02 Mar25 Jan09 (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 10.00    
WORBOTHOR         (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 19% 4.20    
ANOTHER SOFTBALL         (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.00    
MAKES GOOD SENSE Mar19 Mar10 Feb15 Jan24   (roman malvin )DELGADO DAVID 121 4.50    
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE         (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
FIREHORN Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 Jan05   (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 6.00    
 
PID-2   05/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIM         (brion keri)MARTINEZ W 124 12.00    
BENCH WALK Apr20 Apr03 Mar06 Feb09 Jan16 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 15.00    
AMERICAN DRAMA Jan08         (brion keri)SPIETH S 124 2.50    
SEA CAPTAIN         (potts g)ALLEN D 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
SUMMER BOSS May04 Apr20 Apr03 Jan07   (hoffman )GALLARDO A 117 5.00 11% 8.40    
ALPHA PREDATOR Feb16         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
CREATIVE CHOICE May17 Apr22 Apr01 Mar04 Feb16 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
PID-3   05/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)         (demario charles )AVILES YAN 117 8.00    
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE         (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50    
DON'T MAKE ME BEG Mar25 Feb17 Jan26     (brooks gerald)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.00 13% 6.50    
MARIPOSA D'ORO Apr24 Apr11 Mar18 Feb19 Jan15 (miller arizona)SPIETH S 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
WORKING OVERTIME Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Mar06 Feb26 (barron rory)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
MA DE TAW         (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
PID-4   05/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIC N WILBUR Apr09 Mar25 Feb12     (ferraro )GALLARDO A 121 4.00    
CANDY CRUSHEM Apr13 Apr02 Mar20 Feb20 Feb04 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  FUEL THE BERN May16 Jan28 Jan12     (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 121 4.50 43% 1.30    
OUR DOMINATOR         (rogers mic)AYALA J 121 8.00    
CEDUNA Mar17 Feb18 Jan16     (upton m)MOJICA JR 121 2.00    
YADI         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
PID-5   05/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSAC         (depasquale ki)WALKER M 121 15.00    
MIDNIGHT PUNK Feb20 Jan23 Jan02     (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
SAVE THE DRAMA         (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
TOTAL DISTRACTION         (rotunno r)MARTINEZ W 121 4.00    
ANOTHER BREEZE Apr05 Mar14 Feb21 Jan19   (pappad)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 5.00    
SAMURAI LEGACY         (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  TOPPING Feb26 Jan23 Jan09     (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
 
PID-6   05/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN SPRINGS Apr23         (gonzalez aldana)MARTINEZ W 118 3.00 6% 15.70    
HIDDEN MEDAL         (stokes lance)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SLENDER BETSY         (rice kevin)WALKER M 118 4.00    
ETTAPLACE         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
ROSES FOR DEBRA         (brafford michel)MOJICA JR 118 5.00    
MORE RANSOM         (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
SCR  MOTITO         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
PID-7   05/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMBIE Mar19 Feb23 Jan22     (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 20.00    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Apr10 Jan01       (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 117 15.00    
ALL IN SYNC May01 Apr08 Feb11 Jan01   (asmussen ste)BRIDGMOHAN X 124 4.00    
SCR  CONCRETE GLORY May07 Apr24 Apr09 Jan01   (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  MOWINS Apr30         (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 117 12.00    
SCR  NOBALS May01 Apr02 Jan08     (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
ONE TIMER         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 1.60 13% 6.70    
CIRCLE BACK JACK Apr10 Mar12       (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 117 12.00    
 
PID-8   05/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER PALACE         (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
JINGLE BELLS         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
SQUIRREL         (ruberto loui)AYALA J 121 10.00    
GET ALONG         (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 121 15.00    
WILD ENOUGH Apr04 Jan11       (pappada michael )MARTINEZ W 121 8.00    
KIANG         (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
KICKS ON SIXTY SIX         (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.