Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN Apr25 Apr12 Mar23     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 1.40 33% 2.10    
2  GINGERMYSISTER         (melancon paul)BUSH V 123 4.00 ★    
3  NANA ROZE         (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00 ★    
4  DIAL AGAIN May10 Apr15 Mar09 Feb17 Jan09 (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
5  MAYBE FRANKY Jan22         (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 117 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOESTER May06 Apr04       (cline robert )BRACHO A 117 6.00    
2  SIMON SAYS Apr29         (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Apr15 Mar05 Jan05     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  SILENCE May11 Apr15       (hamm timothy)REYES R 117 3.50 ★    
5  NOPICKINONCHARLIE         (riley bar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 8.00 ★    
6  QUIMBY May06 Apr26 Apr06 Mar21 Mar09 (evans ii)LEON SONNY 117 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
BTP-3   05/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOM THE BOMB Mar25 Feb23       (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 1.80 ★    
1A  D'MONEY HONEY         (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 1.80 62% 0.60    
2  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Apr06 Mar20 Mar05 Feb23 Jan29 (torres r)MOJICA JR 123 4.50 ★    
3  UNDER THE COUVERS Mar31 Feb18 Jan22 Jan02   (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 ★    
4  CATES SWOOSH         (fletcher ke)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 ★    
5  DANZO May11 Apr29 Mar18     (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00    
6  SAY IT AIN'T SO May04         (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 118 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
BTP-4   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA DOG Feb18 Jan15       (reed r)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  PERFECT PAINTING Apr20 Mar25 Mar09 Feb25   (beck rowena)REYES R 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
3  BLACKSMITH STRONG May12 Mar19 Mar04 Feb23   (jurado luis)LEZCANO ABEL 117 3.50 ★    
4  SONIC BURN May03 Feb25 Jan29 Jan01   (peterson anne)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
5  WILLIAM BOY Apr23 Apr03 Feb12 Jan02   (beck rowe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.50    
6  MR ZYDECO         (ashcraft david)OUZTS W 123 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-5   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTIC MISCHIEF         (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 116 8.00 ★    
2  ORB OF THE BORO May04 Mar02 Feb18 Jan23   (crozier)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 4.50    
3  JERRY'S SECRET         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  TRATO May12 May04 Mar09 Feb25   (helmbrecht willia)OUZTS W 121 6.00 ★    
5  KANTPAYTHETOLL May12 Mar04 Feb10     (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  AIN'T STRAIGHT Apr04 Mar02 Feb18 Jan22   (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
BTP-6   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON GO         (laugherty joe)AYALA ISAIAS 125 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  LITTLE RED SCOOTER         (fernandez edw)DE AZAEL 125 4.50 ★    
3  BE MY DOCTOR         (wilson d)MOJICA JR 125 8.00 10% 9.40    
4  SEA LANE May04 Mar25 Mar09 Feb23 Feb12 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  ROCKA BARRY May04         (coyle verno)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  HIDDEN HOOK May04         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
7  MAHAL KITA May11 Apr19 Apr02 Mar17   (livers charli)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
 
BTP-7   05/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TORNADO BOY May03 Apr01 Feb18 Jan16   (nocero carm)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 6.00    
2  DOWN HOME KITTEN May10 Mar25 Mar09 Feb17 Feb10 (baez sergio)HALDAR J 125 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  BIG FALCON ROCKET Apr20 Apr09 Mar25 Mar10 Feb28 (barker r)LEON SONNY 125 3.50 ★    
4  FATHER DENNIS May03 Apr12 Jan26     (haehn r)OUZTS W 125 30.00 22% 3.50    
5  BLUE SKY PAINTER May13 Apr18 Mar26 Feb26 Feb11 (mitchell sherm)REYES R 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CROWN TO THE GOLD May10 May04 Feb26 Feb10 Jan22 (calderon enriqu)MOJICA JR 125 30.00    
7  WHEREWEGOIN May06 Apr09 Feb17 Jan22   (lauer micha)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 15.00    
8  BRODYTHEOXMAN Feb26 Feb10 Jan25 Jan05   (lopez carlo)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 5.00    
SCR  GRAY HOPE May03 Mar25 Mar09 Feb17 Jan16 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.50 26% 2.80    
10  NEW YEAR'S LUCK May06 Apr13 Mar31 Jan16 Jan02 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00    
 
BTP-8   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINA DEL BALI May03 Mar24 Feb11     (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 119 20.00    
2  WINDOW SHAKER May11 Apr26       (livers charli)BRACHO A 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
3  WICKED VALENTINE May12 Apr28 Apr09 Mar26 Mar10 (langley joshua)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 ★    
4  MS. LINA May10 Apr28 Apr02 Mar19 Feb24 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 4.50 ★    
5  BORDEAUX LEGACY May11 Apr28 Feb18 Jan16   (stephen anthon)REYES R 125 4.00 9% 9.80    
6  HIGH MEADOWS May03 Mar19 Feb11 Jan07   (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  SNOWCREST         (holsapple )VILLASANA CARLOS 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.