Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWTIME CAT         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
REMYS SHOWTIME Apr27 Apr13 Mar26 Feb11   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE         (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 12.00    
FIBER STRONG Apr27 Apr13 Mar26 Feb26 Feb11 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 0.80 34% 2.00    
FOREVER TAKES TIME Apr13         (barber donal)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   05/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEROIC DEED Apr29 Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 0.80 41% 1.40    
SHANGHAI CANDY May06 Apr15 Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 4.50    
REGHITTO Apr29 Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 (runco c)MARRERO CARLOS 116 5.00    
PALACE KING Apr29 Apr22       (tobin l)RIOS-CONDE A 118 30.00    
KAZU May06 Apr15 Mar27 Mar05 Feb13 (milosevic m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 4.00    
MOTIVATED SPEAKER May04 Apr15 Mar18 Feb03 Jan12 (covello a)CECIL Y 118 8.00 32% 2.20    
 
CT-3   05/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRISPY GAL Apr06 Mar16 Feb19 Feb11   (lane j)BATISTA A 117 12.00 6% 16.20    
BUFF'S CAT May06         (ashby r)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00    
PIGEON FORGE Mar03         (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 117 6.00    
FANELLI Apr19 Mar08 Jan31     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 49% 1.00    
NOBLE PRESENT Apr30 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Mar03 (sandoval mi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 108 10.00    
BUCKS LODGE Mar11 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13   (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
FROSTY THE BULL May07 Apr08 Feb25     (perez ernes)RAMGEET R 122 3.50    
 
CT-4   05/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDARS BULLS EYE Apr30 Apr20 Mar25 Mar04   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
THE SKY IS FALLING Apr22         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 40% 1.50    
ARROWWOOD Apr07 Mar04       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Apr20 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
CEDAR'S WISH Apr20 Mar25 Feb24 Feb10   (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 118 10.00    
THE BETTER ONE May06 Apr22 Apr09     (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50    
 
CT-5   05/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET LUCKY         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
IT'S A REAL HONOR Apr29         (laster b)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SILVER RULES         (kopecki e)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
LEMONSONDESURPRISE         (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
SCR  EMBERLY Feb10 Jan13       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
ON IT Apr21 Mar24 Feb11     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 23% 3.30    
YESSIROFFICER Apr29 Mar24       (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
TRUE FLIRT         (lewis willia)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   05/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYLADDIE Apr14 Mar09 Feb04     (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
EX RATED Apr30 Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 Feb02 (jackso)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
KATALIMA Apr30 Apr07 Mar09 Feb04   (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
DIXIE SUNRISE May07 Apr22 Apr07 Feb04   (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00    
FEEL THE LOVE Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Feb24   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40    
ANGELS CASTLE Apr30         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
EXCUSES EXCUSES May12 Apr27 Apr09 Mar26 Mar10 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-7   05/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE BE BOP Apr27 Apr05 Feb24 Jan27   (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.00 43% 1.30    
DAN THE MAN CAN Apr28 Apr01 Mar10 Feb24   (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  CHARITABLY GIFTED Apr16 Mar19 Feb17     (knoblauch-p)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
MORGAN COUNTY Apr13 Feb24       (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
BLACK CANDY Apr27 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan15 (tomczak mark)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  RUSH TO THE CASTLE         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
MAJESTIC SEAS Apr27 Apr13 Feb24 Feb11   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   05/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYRRH         (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
BELLA FEMMINA May05 Apr07 Mar24 Feb19   (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 20.00    
MAMBA QUEEN Apr30 Apr09 Jan23     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
GRAM'S GAL May07 Apr22 Apr13 Mar23 Mar04 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
BRONZE DIVA Apr22 Mar24 Feb11 Jan26   (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
NY BETH GETSITDONE Apr30 Apr16 Mar27 Feb26   (joy j)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 7% 14.20    
AT THE HALF Apr06 Mar11 Feb24 Jan12   (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Apr14 Mar17 Jan26     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.