Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - May 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMMEASOUND Apr20 Feb02 Jan14     (landry ray)STOKES J 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
FULL POWER Apr21 Mar02 Jan21     (noel dane)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
EGEAUXTISM Apr21 Mar19 Feb16     (landry r)THORNTON G 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
BOURBON SKY Apr27 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 Jan03 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.50    
BODE'S LIGHT Mar18 Feb16       (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00    
YUKIO Apr16 Jan30       (marlin i)BOURQUE J 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
EVD-2   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH CROWN May06 Apr22 Apr06     (moran clyde)MORALES ROBERTO 118 4.50    
THAT ONE GUITAR Apr27 Mar19 Feb19 Jan20   (henry eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.00    
SCR  RISKY PRIORITY         (thomas lee)BARNES JOSE 118 6.00 11% 7.70    
PERMANENTDETENTION Apr22 Mar27 Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 (williams kevi)SMITH J 123 10.00 8% 11.50    
JUSTA BUSTER Apr29 Mar17 Feb25 Feb09   (cormier houston)MELANCON G 123 2.00 14% 6.00    
T D Z HI COURT Apr21 Feb25       (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  K R TARGET Feb18 Jan21       (roberts ke)ALBERT S 113 12.00    
 
EVD-3   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALIGNED INTEREST May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar17 Mar03 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 1.80 16% 5.10    
SIR POKERFACE Apr22 Apr07 Mar17 Feb25 Jan12 (peterson jes)MAGNON H 123 8.00    
SCR  CUSTOM KAT Apr27 Apr06 Mar11 Jan10   (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
HIGH RIDGE Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24   (alberto antonio)MELANCON G 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
MY BOOK Apr29 Apr07       (cormier hou)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00    
NOW YOU RULES Apr22         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 16% 5.30    
J C'S IN TOWN         (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 123 15.00 7% 13.90    
 
EVD-4   05/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  I'LL RAISE YOU May07 Apr09 Feb18 Feb10 Jan15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  WILSON TO LOCKETT Feb05         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00    
HONOR MY SPEED Apr20 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 Jan08 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 10.00    
SCR  MIAS MOONBEAM Mar25 Mar04 Feb13 Jan22   (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00    
HALF A BITE Apr09 Feb18 Jan15     (alberto antonio)MELANCON G 117 12.00    
OFF SIXES Apr23 Apr13 Feb24 Jan30   (vance james)SMITH J 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
WAYFARING STRANGER         (haywood va)MARQUEZ L 117 15.00    
TOO MUCH BOURBON Apr23 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
OUTLAW X. Apr13 Mar16 Feb19 Jan26   (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 3.00    
 
EVD-5   05/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMELIA MADELYN May07         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 3.00    
CAVE CREEK Apr30 Apr06 Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 (dussette alvin)STOKES A 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
LIZZ A BEE May04 Apr13       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
ANGEL OF VERDUN May07 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 Jan07 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.60 38% 1.60    
CANDY'S PARADE Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 Jan30   (harrison cortlan)MELANCON G 123 2.50    
DUEPEG Jan23         (brinkman bre)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
 
EVD-6   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BIG IRISHMAN Apr14 Feb18 Feb05 Jan20 Jan06 (bernard joh)MORALES ROBERTO 123 8.00    
TIN DELAY Apr27 Apr14 Mar17 Feb23 Feb05 (charles keith)FUSILIER C 120 2.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  CARRIES MAN Apr21         (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 123 20.00    
FLASHBURN May05 Feb23 Feb03 Jan12   (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
HOT STOVE LEAGUE Apr22 Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 Jan13 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 123 4.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  AND YET ANOTHER Apr14 Feb02       (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00    
HE'S A LUCKY MAN Apr14 Mar04 Jan07     (chatters bena)SMITH J 123 12.00    
LAST TO KNOW Apr14 Feb23 Jan29 Jan07   (rubin donald)MELANCON G 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
EVD-7   05/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CITY PARK Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21   (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
LIKE MIKE Apr22 Mar16 Feb13 Jan23   (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00    
WISE VERDICT Apr22 Feb24 Jan06     (brinkman brett)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
FORESTDUNGONE Apr22 Mar27 Feb16 Feb05 Jan07 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
JACI'S ROYALTY Feb12 Jan21       (harrison cortla)BARNES JOSE 120 6.00    
GET THEM JUSTIN Apr22 Feb12 Jan27 Jan06   (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
EVD-8   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOETRICK Apr22 Mar02 Feb14 Jan12   (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 118 2.50 7% 12.60    
BIT PART May04 Apr22 Mar02 Feb10 Jan19 (richard c)STOKES J 115 12.00    
KANNON WITH A K Apr22 Mar23 Mar05 Jan19   (charles jo)ALBERT S 115 3.50 29% 2.40    
PALIMONIUM May07 Apr14 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
I'M A FLASHY KID May05 Apr14 Mar13     (besancon dann)SMITH J 123 15.00    
SCR  LUCKLY GOLD Apr22 Apr07       (broussard vince)BOURQUE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNBRIDLED HOPE Apr28 Apr08 Mar23 Mar03 Feb12 (dussette alvin)STOKES A 120 6.00    
COUNTRY CUT Mar02         (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.