Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWORD ZORRO (IRE)         (sadler joh)VAN DRAYDEN 126 3.50 15% 5.70    
2  VANTASTIC Mar12 Feb05       (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00    
3  HUDSON RIDGE Apr09 Mar11       (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 ★    
4  TIDAL FORCES         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00 15% 5.80    
5  MOODY JIM (IRE) Apr16 Feb04 Jan07     (mullins jeff)BAZE C 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
6  THERE GOES HARVARD Apr17 Mar19       (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 126 4.00 25% 3.10    
7  IRIDEO (ARG) Apr16         (polanco marcelo)ESPINOZA V 126 12.00    
 
SA-2   05/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKOUT GUY         (periban jo)VAN DRAYDEN 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
2  ROYAL HALO         (mendez lui)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  GOOD N THIRSTY         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 118 4.00    
4  LOV U MEAN IT         (solis walther)BAZE C 115 5.00 ★    
5  MR. FIGHTER         (deleon rafael)ESPINOZA JUAN 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SMOKEM HOWARD         (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOT MEMORIES         (miyadi s)ELLINGWOOD A 111 4.00    
 
SA-3   05/14/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRESSED Apr02         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00 ★    
2  SHE LOVES KARAOKE Apr10 Mar18 Jan22     (saavedra an)HERRERA A 126 12.00 ★    
3  WESTWARD BREEZE Apr08 Feb11 Jan07     (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 3.50    
4  AVENTAPP Apr01 Mar11 Jan21     (glatt mark)BAZE C 126 5.00    
5  GIRL RANGER Apr15 Mar12 Jan08     (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 27% 2.60    
6  ROSES AND CANDY Apr08         (mcanally ronald)FREY KYLE 126 4.00 ★    
7  FOUNDER'S DAY Apr08 Feb27 Feb05     (hess b)SMITH E 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
SA-4   05/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLF DRAMA         (bonde jeff)BAZE C 118 5.00    
2  SMOKIN AMELIA Apr15         (periban jorge)PAYERAS EDGAR 115 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING         (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  FORDY G         (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  THIRSTY JOHN         (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★    
6  KRIXUS FLASH         (solis walther)VALDIVIA JR 118 10.00    
7  MY MAN BIGGIE         (periban jorge)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00 ★    
 
SA-5   05/14/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN GODDESS Mar26 Feb12       (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 126 1.20 24% 3.30    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of ROYAL STORY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  NEW HEAT Apr17 Mar20 Feb19 Jan28   (saavedra k)BAZE C 122 12.00 ★    
  (by UNUSUAL HEAT out of HELLUVA HOOLEY by TOUCH GOLD)
3  QUEEN OFTHE TEMPLE Apr08 Mar12       (blacker da)VAN DRAYDEN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
4  NEIGE BLANCHE (FR) Mar26 Jan17       (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BIANCA NEVE by GIACOMO)
5  COVER VERSION Apr09 Mar15 Feb11 Jan14   (saldana reed)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VAGUELY FAMILIAR by A.P. INDY)
6  CARPE VINUM Apr17 Mar26 Jan21     (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MARTITA SANGRITA by JOHAR)
 
SA-6   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HEIDELBERG Mar27 Feb18 Jan07     (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 118 3.00 ★    
2  YOUR RINGER         (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
SCR  DARLING DONNA Mar11 Jan29       (cerin vladimir)BAZE C 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  MISS MENSA Apr01         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 118 5.00    
5  VIOLENT RUNNER Mar13         (sadler j)ELLINGWOOD A 119 8.00 ★    
6  POET LAUREATE         (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 ★    
 
SA-7   05/14/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVINCIBELLA (GB) Mar22 Mar03 Jan01     (alvarado ruben )VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
2  RESPECTFULLY Apr16 Mar05 Jan29     (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
3  FLYING TO THE LINE Mar15 Jan27 Jan14     (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  NORTHERN GEM May01 Apr01 Feb20 Feb06 Jan07 (barocio )ELLINGWOOD A 115 20.00    
5  HARPER'S GALLOP         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
6  STORMING LADY Mar05 Jan29       (mullins jeff)PYFER JESSICA 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  SUITE MADAM BLUE Apr10 Mar19 Feb12 Jan22   (hess b)SMITH E 124 3.00    
8  RESPECT MY CANDOR Apr10         (alvarado r)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
9  DRAW ME Apr10 Feb05       (eaton terri)BAZE C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-8   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALAGIO Apr16         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 118 6.00 ★    
2  ONE MORE BID Mar27 Mar05       (hanson ryan)BAZE C 118 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  Q B ONE Apr17 Mar27       (mandella r)VAN DRAYDEN 126 5.00    
4  LORD SHELDON         (shirreffs john)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TROUBADOUR Apr16 Mar06       (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 ★    
6  GO JOE WON Apr17 Mar26       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
SA-9   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRULENTE (FR) Apr15 Mar06 Jan16     (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
2  JIMMYSSMOKEDCARROT Mar19 Feb21 Jan09     (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 8.00    
3  SKY ON ICE Mar19 Feb21       (sadler joh)VAN DRAYDEN 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  WITH THIS VOW May01 Mar13 Feb27 Jan22   (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00 12% 7.40    
5  AGREETODISAGREE Mar19 Feb21 Jan09     (eurton pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  BRITTLE AND YOO Apr22 Feb13 Jan22     (ellis ronald )PYFER JESSICA 126 12.00 6% 15.20    
7  SONG OF FIRE Apr16 Mar25 Feb18     (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 15.00    
8  FLORAL ESSENCE Apr15 Feb18 Jan17     (mullins jeff)BAZE C 126 12.00    
9  ROSE'S CRYSTAL Mar19 Feb20 Jan16     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 126 4.00 17% 5.00    
10  DREAM PRINCESS Apr08 Jan22       (sadler w)FREY KYLE 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.