Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE LIL DARLING         (garcia luis)ROSENDO J 118 12.00    
2  PUT A BOW ON IT Mar04 Jan19       (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 118 3.00 16% 5.10    
3  LITTLE E Feb25         (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
4  STELLA LINK Mar23 Jan07       (duhon o)BOREL H 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
5  FLOWERS APRIORITY         (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
6  LADY CHURCHILL May06 Feb05       (gustafso)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 ★    
7  HAVE I EVER Feb24 Jan01       (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
LAD-2   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS DELETE         (duhon o)BOREL H 118 2.50    
1A  TRUMP FLAG Feb04         (duhon o)BOREL H 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  HEZA ROYAL CAT         (ward ronnie)FLORES S 118 10.00 9% 10.10    
3  TOOCAN DANCE Mar05 Feb04 Jan15     (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 121 8.00 ★    
4  CONFESS May01 Apr10 Mar17 Feb25   (soto f)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.00 37% 1.70    
5  SHANKINSTINE         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.00 ★    
6  COWBOY HAY HAY Feb24 Jan20       (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
 
LAD-3   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSI ASPEN Apr22         (thomas lee)COTTO L 118 20.00 ★    
2  SHADY GRADY Mar05 Feb10 Jan22 Jan07   (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 ★    
3  BODEE BODEE Mar23 Mar11       (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONEFORVIVI Jan30 Jan06       (klanfer alan)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 1.40 69% 0.40    
5  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Mar20 Feb20 Jan21     (duhon o)BOREL H 118 15.00    
6  RONALDS GATSBY Feb11 Jan30 Jan17     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
7  CABRO TORO Feb19 Feb05 Jan14     (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 118 6.00 ★    
 
LAD-4   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Apr20 Mar11 Feb28 Jan30   (ney john)COTTO L 119 1.40 16% 5.10    
2  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Mar05 Feb17       (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MELODY ROSE Mar06 Feb21 Jan29     (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 4.00 ★    
4  THE COMPLETE COURT Mar11 Feb12 Jan30     (singh s)SINGH R 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  SAINT KENNEDY Jan14         (antwine mic)FLORES S 122 12.00 ★    
6  LOVE TO LEARN Apr18 Mar06 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
 
LAD-5   05/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNECT IT Feb13 Jan28 Jan01     (faucheux ron)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  MISS TONALIST Mar09 Feb16 Jan21     (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 118 5.00 7% 13.90    
3  EARLY DISMISSAL May01 Apr15       (witt ii)COTTO L 124 8.00    
4  SWIZZLECITY Apr28 Mar24 Jan14     (wilson shane)GILLIGAN JACK 118 1.60 ★    
SCR  ONAMARGARITADAY         (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 ★    
6  JAGO Feb04         (nixon w)GUZMAN JORGE 124 20.00    
7  AMERICAN DEPUTY Apr08 Feb14       (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
LAD-6   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLA STAR Mar04 Jan30       (schmidt denise)BACA L 122 12.00    
2  TAP OUT FAST Feb23 Jan20       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 6% 14.60    
3  DROP DEAD SEXY Mar04 Feb18       (wilson shane)GILLIGAN JACK 116 12.00    
4  CANADA'S CUSTOMS May01 Mar25 Mar10 Feb19 Jan16 (asmussen stev)VARGAS P 116 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  DEBBIES PASSAGE Apr23         (larrosa juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 ★    
6  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Apr14 Mar10 Feb18     (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 116 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  MY SISTER ANNETTE Feb23 Jan20       (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
8  EVE'S DELIGHT Apr27 Feb23 Jan28 Jan17   (goins garla)FLORES S 122 20.00    
9  SCRAPBOOK Feb23 Jan27 Jan01     (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 122 10.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC LIGHTNING Mar27 Mar13 Feb05 Jan16   (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50    
1A  HELAIRE Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan16   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.50 71% 0.40    
2  SALUTE NOW         (cascio a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
3  OCEOLA Feb26         (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
4  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Feb25 Feb11       (nixon thomas )VARGAS P 118 20.00    
5  HEZA SEXY ZONG Mar17 Feb25 Feb09 Jan22   (dison phillip )BACA L 124 8.00    
6  CALL ME COLLECT         (faucheux ron)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  CHECK ME OUT Mar27 Mar06       (cuccia j)MORALES ROBERTO 118 3.50 ★    
8  RY DONT LIE Mar05 Feb10 Jan21     (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 118 4.50 ★    
9  CHIEFWEAVE         (clark d)GUZMAN JORGE 124 15.00    
10  PITCH AND RUN Mar05 Feb11 Jan08     (dunn ray)COTTO L 118 15.00 5% 18.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.